Odds overview
Celje are slight favourites: 2.41 for a Celje win against 2.80 for Omonia Nicosia, with the draw at 3.55. In the main 2.5-goal totals market, Over 2.5 is shorter at 1.78 than Under 2.5 at 1.96. For the handicap (0) market, Celje at 1.79 are favoured over Omonia Nicosia at 1.95.
Why Celje are favourites
Bookmakers give the home side a slight edge: a Celje win is offered at 2.41, the draw at 3.55 and an Omonia Nicosia win at 2.80.
• Omonia Nicosia have struggled to win away in the UEFA Europa League: the Cypriot side have failed to win 9 of their last 10 away matches in the competition.
• Celje remain favourites thanks to home advantage, although the Slovenian club lost their previous match in the competition to Bayer Leverkusen (0:2).
Form and Line-up Celje
The Slovenian club began the league phase of the 2026–27 UEFA Europa League with a 0:2 away defeat to Bayer Leverkusen. Ahead of the second round, they sit below their upcoming opponents in the standings, 30th to 15th. Zoran Zeljkovic's side have since scored just one goal in two domestic league matches.
- Celje's opponents scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 9 of the club's last 10 home matches in all competitions.
- Celje won the corner count in 8 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 7 of Celje's last 10 home matches in all competitions.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Zan-Luk Leban, Pijus Širvys, Artemijus Tutyškinas, Łukasz Bejger, Milot Avdyli, Luka Ticic, Yaya Dukuly, Svit Seslar, Mark Zabukovnik, Benjamin Verbič, Armandas Kučys
Unavailable: Jost Pisek (injured)
Form and Line-up Omonia Nicosia
In their previous UEFA Europa League match, Omonia Nicosia beat Celta Vigo (1:0) thanks to a late long-range strike from Jure Balkovec. Henning Berg's side then thrashed Krasava ENY Ypsonas (4:1) at home and Karmiotissa (3:0) away in the Cypriot league, although both opponents are weaker than the reigning Slovenian champions.
- Omonia Nicosia scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- Omonia Nicosia registered fewer than 3.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- Omonia Nicosia took fewer than 4.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Europa League.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Fabiano, Lubomir Satka, Senou Coulibaly, Jean-Kévin Duverne, Jure Balkovec, Panayiotis Andreou, Mateo Marić, Evandro, Muamer Tanković, Jaden Montnor, Loïs Diony
Teams' chances
Average odds are 2.41 for Celje to win, 3.55 for a draw and 2.80 for Omonia Nicosia to win. The fair odds and implied probabilities are 2.54 and 39.4% for a Celje win, 3.74 and 26.7% for a draw, and 2.95 and 33.9% for an Omonia Nicosia win.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celje win | 2.41 | 2.54 | 39.4% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.74 | 26.7% |
| Omonia Nicosia win | 2.80 | 2.95 | 33.9% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 is shorter at 1.78 than Under 2.5 at 1.96. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 is favoured at 1.36 against 2.89 for Under 2, while at 3.5 goals Under 3.5 is shorter at 1.37 than Over 3.5 at 2.85.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.96 | 1.78 |
| 2 | 2.89 | 1.36 |
| 3.5 | 1.37 | 2.85 |
Handicap prediction
Celje with a handicap of 0 are shorter at 1.79 than Omonia Nicosia with a handicap of 0 at 1.95, indicating a slight preference for the home side.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.79 | 0 | 1.95 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
31/50
|
3/10
|
9/25
|
| William Hill |
11/20
|
33/100
|
2/5
|
| 888sport |
53/100
|
33/100
|
2/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Celje — 1.5 goals; Omonia Nicosia — 1.5 goals.
Celje team total goals
For Celje's team goal total, Over 0.5 is available at 1.25 against 3.50 for Under 0.5; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 is shorter at 1.58 than Under 1 at 2.28. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is shorter at 1.62 than Over 1.5 at 2.19, while at 2 goals Under 2 is 1.25 against 3.65 for Over 2.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.28 | 1 | 1.58 |
| 1.62 | 1.5 | 2.19 |
| 1.25 | 2 | 3.65 |
Omonia Nicosia team total goals
For Omonia Nicosia's team goal total, Over 0.5 is available at 1.28 against 3.30 for Under 0.5. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is shorter at 1.55 than Over 1.5 at 2.32, while at 2 goals Under 2 is 1.18 against 4.18 for Over 2.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | 0.5 | 1.28 |
| 1.55 | 1.5 | 2.32 |
| 1.18 | 2 | 4.18 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Elchin Masiyev (Azerbaijan)
Matches — 9 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellow cards) — 4.4;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 9;
Matches with a penalty — 0 of 9.
