Odds overview
Red Bull Salzburg are clear favourites: an away win is 1.65, compared with 4.90 for a home win and 4.20 for a draw. Over 2.5 goals at 1.62 is favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.30. In the handicap market, Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5) at 2.60 are considerably shorter than Celje (-1.5) at 8.00.
Why Red Bull Salzburg are favourites
Bookmakers offer 1.65 for a Red Bull Salzburg win, compared with 4.90 for Celje and 4.20 for a draw.
- Celje are 35th in the UEFA Europa League table with no points and a 0:5 goal difference after the opening two matchdays.
- Red Bull Salzburg have lost just once in their last 17 competitive matches — 0:4 to Milan in the UEFA Europa League.
- Celje have won just once in their last six matches.
Form and Line-up Celje
Celje have changed head coach, with Zoran Zeljkovic taking charge. They drew 0:0 with Maribor in the Slovenian league and lost 0:3 at home to Omonia in European competition, having previously suffered another goalless defeat, 0:2 to Bayer Leverkusen.
- Celje's matches have finished with under 3.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 games in all competitions.
- Celje have scored under 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Celje's opponents have taken under 5.5 corners in 9 of the club's last 10 home matches in all competitions.
Probable Celje line-up (4-2-3-1): Zan-Luk Leban, Łukasz Bejger, Artemijus Tutyškinas, Žan Žužek, Milot Avdyli, Luka Ticic, Mark Zabukovnik, Yaya Dukuly, Papa Daniel, Svit Seslar, Blaz Kramer.
Absentees: Jost Pisek (injury).
Form and Line-up Red Bull Salzburg
Under Danny Röhl, Red Bull Salzburg recorded a convincing 3:0 win over Altach in the Austrian Bundesliga, but had earlier suffered a heavy 0:4 defeat to Milan in the UEFA Europa League. They did, however, beat Levski Sofia 1:0 away in the previous round of European competition.
- Red Bull Salzburg have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- Red Bull Salzburg have taken under 4.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- Red Bull Salzburg's opponents have committed under 12.5 fouls in 9 of the club's last 10 away matches in the UEFA Europa League.
Probable Red Bull Salzburg line-up (4-2-3-1): Christian Zawieschitzky, Leandro Morgalla, Valentin Zabransky, Kévin Boma, Dominik Schmid, Bartosz Mazurek, Abubakr Barry, Jesper Lindstrøm, Sota Kitano, Edmund Baidoo, Haris Tabakovic.
Absentees: Enrique Aguilar, Justin Omoregie, Nikolas Veratschnig (all injured), Karim Konaté (doubtful).
The teams' chances
A Red Bull Salzburg win is offered at 1.65, with fair odds of 1.73 and an implied probability of 57.8%. The corresponding figures for a draw are 4.20, 4.40 and 22.7%, while a Celje win is 4.90, 5.14 and 19.5%, respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celje win | 4.90 | 5.14 | 19.5% |
| Draw | 4.20 | 4.40 | 22.7% |
| Red Bull Salzburg win | 1.65 | 1.73 | 57.8% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.62 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.30. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 is the favourite at 1.55, compared with 2.40 for Over 3.5.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 3.5 | 1.55 | 2.40 |
Handicap prediction
Celje (-1.5) are offered at 8.00, considerably longer than Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5) at 2.60. On the 1.5 handicap line, Celje are 1.47 and Red Bull Salzburg 1.04; on the 1 line, they are 1.77 and 1.05 respectively. With a handicap of 0, Celje at 3.50 are longer than Red Bull Salzburg at 1.25.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.00 | -1.5 | 2.60 |
| 1.47 | 1.5 | 1.04 |
| 7.00 | -1 | 2.05 |
| 1.77 | 1 | 1.05 |
| 3.50 | 0 | 1.25 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.60 is favoured over Both teams to score — No at 2.25. The latter means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.60 |
| No | 2.25 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
5/4
|
11/50
|
7/50
|
| William Hill |
23/20
|
1/4
|
9/50
|
| 888sport |
23/20
|
1/4
|
9/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Celje — 1 goal; Red Bull Salzburg — 2 goals.
Celje team total goals
For Celje's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.43 is shorter than Under 0.5 at 2.65. On the 1-goal line, Under is 1.73 and Over is 2.05; on the 1.5-goal line, Under at 1.33 is considerably shorter than Over at 3.05.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 0.5 | 1.43 |
| 1.73 | 1 | 2.05 |
| 1.33 | 1.5 | 3.05 |
Red Bull Salzburg team total goals
For Red Bull Salzburg's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.07 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 at 6.30. On the 1.5-goal line, Over is 1.60 against 2.25 for Under; on the 2-goal line, Under at 1.68 is shorter than Over at 2.10, while on the 2.5-goal line the odds are 1.40 and 2.75 respectively.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.30 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
| 2.25 | 1.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.68 | 2 | 2.10 |
| 1.40 | 2.5 | 2.75 |
Who Will Referee the Match
John Brooks (England)
Matches — 5 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 28;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.2;
Matches with a red card — 0 of 5;
Matches with a penalty — 3 of 5.
