Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Hungary are favourites at around 2.25, while the draw is available at 3.20 and a Northern Ireland win at 3.40. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals is much shorter than Over 2.5 goals, at 1.55 against 2.50. For a handicap of 0, Hungary at 1.60 are favoured over Northern Ireland at 2.35.
Why Hungary are favourites
Bookmakers favour the visitors: Hungary are offered at 2.25 to win, Northern Ireland at 3.40 and the draw at 3.20.
- Hungary have consistently contained opposing attacks: they conceded no more than two goals in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Northern Ireland have struggled in attack, scoring fewer than two goals in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
Form and Line-up Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland go into the match after a 16-day training camp, during which head coach Michael O'Neill praised the team's work and the positive atmosphere in the squad.
Over this run, the team have maintained a balanced defensive structure: their opponents scored no more than two goals in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions, while all 10 matches featured at least one goal.
- Northern Ireland allowed opponents fewer than 12.5 shot attempts in 9 of their last 10 home matches.
- There were fewer than 9.5 shots on target in 8 of Northern Ireland's last 10 home matches.
- Northern Ireland took more than 3.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 home matches.
Probable line-up (5-3-2): Pierce Charles, Trai Hume, Daniel Ballard, Paddy McNair, Kieran Brown, Brodie Spencer, Shea Charles, Ethan Galbraith, Isaac Price, Jamie Donley, Callum Marshall
Form and Line-up Hungary
Before the start of the campaign, head coach Marco Rossi said Hungary planned to regain possession quickly after losing the ball in midfield and were continuing to strengthen their defensive resilience.
Hungary remain productive in attack, having scored at least once in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions. However, they must go through the September fixtures without Barnabás Varga, Roland Sallai and Callum Styles, who are sidelined by injuries.
- Hungary's opponents took more than 3.5 corners in 8 of Hungary's last 10 away matches.
- Hungary committed fewer than 12.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Hungary received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Balázs Tóth, Willi Orban, Márk Csinger, Milos Kerkez, Bendeguz Bolla, Andras Schafer, Alex Tóth, Milán Vitális, Dominik Szoboszlai, Dániel Lukács, Donát Bárány
Teams' chances
Hungary to win is quoted at 2.25, with fair odds of 2.36 and a fair probability of 42.3%. The corresponding figures are 3.20, 3.36 and 29.7% for the draw, and 3.40, 3.57 and 28.0% for Northern Ireland to win.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Ireland to win | 3.40 | 3.57 | 28.0% |
| Draw | 3.20 | 3.36 | 29.7% |
| Hungary to win | 2.25 | 2.36 | 42.3% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.55, compared with 2.50 for Over 2.5 goals. At the 2-goal line, Over is slightly shorter than Under — 1.85 against 1.90. Under 3.5 goals is quoted at 1.14, while Over 3.5 goals is 4.60.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.55 | 2.50 |
| 2 | 1.90 | 1.85 |
| 3.5 | 1.14 | 4.60 |
Handicap prediction
Hungary (-1.5) at 4.60 are shorter than Northern Ireland (-1.5) at 7.70. For a +1 handicap, Hungary (+1) are shorter at 1.05 than Northern Ireland (+1) at 1.14; at the -1 line, Hungary (-1) are 3.70 and Northern Ireland (-1) are 6.70. Hungary (+1) at 1.06 are favoured over Northern Ireland (+1) at 1.23, while for a handicap of 0, Hungary are quoted at 1.60 against 2.35 for Northern Ireland.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.70 | -1.5 | 4.60 |
| 1.14 | 1.5 | 1.05 |
| 6.70 | -1 | 3.70 |
| 1.23 | 1 | 1.06 |
| 2.35 | 0 | 1.60 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — No is offered at 1.70, shorter than Yes at 2.10; this suggests that at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.10 |
| No | 1.70 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
2/5
|
2/5
|
2/5
|
| William Hill |
11/25
|
9/25
|
2/5
|
| 888sport |
11/25
|
2/5
|
2/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Team goal totals are available for both sides.
Northern Ireland team goals
For Northern Ireland's team goals, Over 0.5 is available at 1.55, compared with 2.35 for Under 0.5. At the 1-goal line, Under is 1.55 and Over is 2.40; at 1.5, the respective odds are 1.25 and 3.60.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.35 | 0.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.55 | 1 | 2.40 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 3.60 |
Hungary team goals
For Hungary's team goals, Over 0.5 is quoted at 1.35 and Under 0.5 at 3.00. At the 1-goal line, Over is slightly shorter than Under — 1.75 against 2.00 — while at 1.5, Under is 1.47 against 2.60 for Over.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.00 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 2.00 | 1 | 1.75 |
| 1.47 | 1.5 | 2.60 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Ricardo de Burgos (Spain)
Matches — 10 (international fixtures, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3;
Matches with a red card — 3 out of 10;
Matches with a penalty — 3 out of 10.
Pierce Joseph Charles
Ciaron Maurice Brown
Tom Joseph Atcheson
Trai Hume
Ethan Galbraith
Isaac Jude Price
Jamie Donley
Patrick Kelly
Ruairi McConville
Shea Emmanuel Charles
Bailey Peacock-Farrell
Conor Hazard
Michael Forbes
Patrick James Coleman McNair
Kieran Morrison
Terry Devlin
Joshua Magennis
Bendegúz Bence Bolla
Miloš Kerkez
Márk Csinger
Willi Thomas Orbán
Áron Csongvai
András Schäfer
Gábor Jurek
Dániel Lukács
Tamás Szűcs
Bence Gundel-Takács
Ármin Pécsi
Attila Osváth
Bence Várkonyi
Kornél Szűcs
Ákos Markgráf
Alex László Tóth
Milán Vitális
Áron Doktorics
Milán Tóth
Donát Bárány
