Odds overview
Arsenal are clear favourites: an Arsenal win is available at 1.60, while the draw is 3.80 and a Nottingham Forest win is 6.00. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals and Over 2.5 goals are both 1.90. In the handicap markets, Arsenal (-1.5) at 2.65 is markedly riskier than Nottingham Forest (+1.5) at 1.45; Arsenal (-1) is 2.03 against 1.78 for Nottingham Forest (+1), while the Draw No Bet market favours the visitors more strongly: Arsenal (0) are 1.20 against 4.20 for Nottingham Forest (0).
Why Arsenal are favourites
Bookmakers make the visitors favourites: an Arsenal win is available at odds of 1.60, compared with 6.00 for a Nottingham Forest win and 3.80 for the draw.
• Arsenal have started the league season strongly and sit second after six matches with 15 points, having won five and lost one.
• The hosts have lost two of their last three league matches, going down at home to Coventry City (0:1) and away to Crystal Palace (1:3).
Form and Line-up Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest's only Premier League win this season came away to Aston Villa, 2:1. Oliver Glasner's side have picked up more points on the road (four) than at the City Ground (one). Despite sitting 15th in the table, they rank second for opponents' expected goals (1.21 xGA), which underlines their defensive strength.
- Nottingham Forest have received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in each of their last 10 home Premier League matches.
- Their opponents have scored no more than one goal in each of Nottingham Forest's last 10 home Premier League matches.
- There have been fewer than 10.5 corners in 9 of Nottingham Forest's last 10 home Premier League matches.
- Nottingham Forest have committed more than 10.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 home Premier League matches.
Probable Nottingham Forest line-up (4-5-1): Matz Sels, Ola Aina, Ousmane Diomande, Murillo, Neco Williams, James McAtee, Xaver Schlager, Daniel Muñoz, Morgan Gibbs-White, Dan Ndoye, Liam Delap
Absentees: Igor Jesus, Nikola Milenković, Nicolò Savona (injured)
Form and Line-up Arsenal
Over the past seven days, Arsenal have beaten Leeds United (2:1) in the Premier League and Lille (3:0) in the UEFA Champions League. It was a strong response to their heavy defeat by Brighton & Hove Albion (0:3) before the international break. Mikel Arteta's side have now won 9 of their 10 matches in all competitions this season.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in all 10 of Arsenal's last 10 Premier League matches.
- There have been fewer than 11.5 corners in all 10 of Arsenal's last 10 Premier League matches.
- The two teams have had no more than 26.5 shots combined in 9 of Arsenal's last 10 Premier League matches.
- There have been fewer than 4.5 offsides in 9 of Arsenal's last 10 away Premier League matches.
Probable Arsenal line-up (4-2-3-1): David Raya, Ben White, Gabriel Magalhães, Ezri Konsa, Riccardo Calafiori, Myles Lewis-Skelly, Noni Madueke, Martin Ødegaard, Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka, Kai Havertz
Absentees: Christos Tzolis, Martín Zubimendi, William Saliba, Piero Hincapié (injured)
The teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Arsenal a 59.3% chance of winning and fair odds of 1.69; an Arsenal win is available at 1.60. The draw is rated at 24.9%, with fair odds of 4.01 against 3.80 on offer, while a Nottingham Forest win is rated at 15.8%, with fair odds of 6.33 against 6.00 on offer.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest win | 6.00 | 6.33 | 15.8% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 4.01 | 24.9% |
| Arsenal win | 1.60 | 1.69 | 59.3% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals and Over 2.5 goals are level at 1.90 each. At the 3.5-goal line, the market leans much more strongly towards Under 3.5 goals at 1.35, while Over 3.5 goals is 2.95.
| Goal line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 3.5 | 1.35 | 2.95 |
Handicap prediction
Arsenal (-1.5) are offered at 2.65, while Nottingham Forest (+1.5) are 1.45. At the 1-goal handicap line, Arsenal (-1) are 2.03 against 1.78 for Nottingham Forest (+1). With a zero handicap, the odds favour Arsenal (0) at 1.20 over Nottingham Forest (0) at 4.20.
| Home team | Handicap | Away team |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.65 | |
| 1.45 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 2.03 | |
| 1.78 | 1 | |
| 4.20 | 0 | 1.20 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.85, while Both teams to score — No is 1.90: the market sees little between the two outcomes, with a slight edge for both teams scoring.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.85 |
| No | 1.90 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
5/4
|
1/4
|
7/50
|
| 888sport |
13/10
|
1/4
|
3/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal lines: Nottingham Forest — 0.5 goals; Arsenal — 1.5 goals.
Nottingham Forest team goals
For Nottingham Forest team goals, Over 0.5 is 1.65 against 2.20 for Under 0.5. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is 1.42 and Over 1 is 2.65; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is 1.20 and Over 1.5 is 3.90.
| Under | Team goal line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.20 | 0.5 | 1.65 |
| 1.42 | 1 | 2.65 |
| 1.20 | 1.5 | 3.90 |
Arsenal team goals
For Arsenal team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.10 is much shorter than Under 0.5 at 5.50, while Over 1 is 1.20 against 3.90 for Under 1. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are closer: Over 1.5 is 1.73 and Under 1.5 is 2.05. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.55 and Over 2 is 2.40.
| Under | Team goal line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.50 | 0.5 | 1.10 |
| 3.90 | 1 | 1.20 |
| 2.05 | 1.5 | 1.73 |
| 1.55 | 2 | 2.40 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Michael Oliver (England)
Matches — 34 (Premier League, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.1;
Matches with a red card — 3 out of 34;
Matches with a penalty — 3 out of 34.
