Odds Overview
Home win at 1.65 is a clear favourite compared with the draw at 4.05 and away win at 5.20. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 at 1.77 has shorter odds than Under 2.5 at 2.05. In the handicap market, Home Draw No Bet at 1.25 is considerably favoured over Away Draw No Bet at 3.60.
Why Nottingham Forest are favourites
Nottingham Forest are available at 1.65 to win (a 58.0% probability excluding margin), with the draw at 4.05 and an away win at 5.20.
• Nottingham Forest come into the match after a 2:1 away win over Aston Villa in the Premier League and are 11th in the table with 5 points.
• Coventry lost 1:3 to Aston Villa in the League Cup only three days before the match, and the short recovery period increases the likelihood of rotation.
Form and Line-up Nottingham Forest
At home, Nottingham Forest reliably limit dangerous chances at their own goal: in 9 of their last 10 Premier League matches at the City Ground, opponents registered no more than five shots on target. Their matches average 2.0 goals per game (third lowest in the league), underlining the generally low-scoring nature of their fixtures.
- Nottingham Forest's opponents scored no more than one goal in each of their last 10 home Premier League matches.
- In 8 of 10 home Premier League matches, Nottingham Forest's opponents took no more than four corners.
- No more than four yellow cards were shown in 9 of Nottingham Forest's last 10 home Premier League matches.
Probable Nottingham Forest line-up (3-4-3): Matz Sels, Ola Aina, Ousmane Diomande, Murillo, Daniel Munoz, James McAtee, Xaver Schlager, Neco Williams, Dan Ndoye, Morgan Gibbs-White, Liam Delap
Absentees: Nicolo Savona, Jair Cunha, Nikola Milenkovic (injured)
Form and Line-up Coventry
Coventry's main problem at the start of the season remains their attack: with no goals scored, they are level at the bottom of the league. It is almost impossible to pick up points like that. Especially as opponents create plenty of chances against Coventry away from home — their xG reaches 1.82 per game, forcing the visitors to play cautiously in defence.
- No more than three goals were scored in 8 of Coventry's last 10 away matches in all competitions.
- Coventry's away matches featured no more than 10 corners in 8 of their last 10 fixtures in all competitions.
- No more than three goals were scored in three of Coventry's four Premier League matches this season.
Probable Coventry line-up (3-4-2-1): Carl Rushworth, Ethan Pinnock, Bobby Thomas, Joel Latibeaudiere, Milan van Ewijk, Frank Onyeka, Matt Grimes, Jay Dasilva, Jack Rudoni, Ephron Mason-Clark, Sidiki Cherif
Absentees: Haji Wright, Josh Eccles, Kane Kesler-Hayden, Luke Woolfenden, Aurele Amenda (injured), Taiwo Awoniyi (suspended)
Team Chances
Home win is available at 1.65, with fair odds of 1.72 and a probability of 58.0%. The draw is quoted at 4.05, with fair odds of 4.23 and a probability of 23.6%; away win is 5.20, 5.44 and 18.4% respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest win | 1.65 | 1.72 | 58.0% |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.23 | 23.6% |
| Coventry win | 5.20 | 5.44 | 18.4% |
Total Goals Prediction
At the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 at 2.05 has longer odds than Over 2.5 at 1.77. The situation is reversed at the 3.5 line: Under 3.5 at 1.40 is considerably shorter than Over 3.5 at 2.70.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.05 | 1.77 |
| 3.5 | 1.40 | 2.70 |
Handicap Prediction
Home (-1.5) is available at 2.70, while Away (+1.5) is available at 1.45. At the 1 line, the odds are 2.10 for Home (-1) and 1.75 for Away (+1). In the Draw No Bet market, Home at 1.25 has shorter odds than Away at 3.60.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.45 | |
| 2.10 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.75 | |
| 1.25 | 0 | 3.60 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.75 has shorter odds than Both teams to score - No at 2.00, meaning at least one team is not expected to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.75 |
| No | 2.00 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
7/50
|
11/50
|
13/10
|
| 888sport |
3/20
|
1/4
|
5/4
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team Total Goals Prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Nottingham Forest — 1.5 goals; Coventry — 1 goal.
Nottingham Forest Team Total
Nottingham Forest team total: Under 0.5 at 6.00 has considerably longer odds than Over 0.5 at 1.08; at the 1 line, the odds are 4.10 versus 1.18. Under 1.5 at 2.10 has longer odds than Over 1.5 at 1.70, while at the 2 line Under 2 at 1.57 has shorter odds than Over 2 at 2.35.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.00 | 0.5 | 1.08 |
| 4.10 | 1 | 1.18 |
| 2.10 | 1.5 | 1.70 |
| 1.57 | 2 | 2.35 |
Coventry Team Total
Coventry team total: Under 0.5 at 2.40 has longer odds than Over 0.5 at 1.55. At the 1 line, Under 1 at 1.60 has shorter odds than Over 1 at 2.30, while Under 1.5 at 1.27 is considerably shorter than Over 1.5 at 3.40.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 0.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.60 | 1 | 2.30 |
| 1.27 | 1.5 | 3.40 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Jarred Gillett (Australia)
Matches — 25 (Premier League, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 20;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.7;
Matches with red cards — 1 out of 25;
Matches with penalties — 5 out of 25.
