Odds overview
Manchester City to win at 1.73 are clear favourites ahead of Nottingham Forest to win at 4.50 and the draw at 4.05. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.25. Manchester City (0) at 1.30 have markedly shorter handicap odds than Nottingham Forest (0) at 3.20.
Why Manchester City are favourites
Manchester City travel as favourites: bookmakers offer odds of 1.73 on their win. The draw is available at 4.05 and a Nottingham Forest win at 4.50.
- Manchester City finished runners-up in England in 2026 and sit second in the 2026/27 Premier League table.
- Nottingham Forest are in the relegation zone in 19th place.
- Nottingham Forest are the only Premier League club yet to win at home this season.
Form and Line-up Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest lost their last match 0:2 away to Brentford. In their most recent match at the City Ground, on 18 October, they lost 0:1 to Arsenal. Forest have scored fewer goals than any other side in the league this season — six — which has contributed significantly to their place second from bottom in the table.
- Nottingham Forest have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 Premier League home matches.
- In 8 of Nottingham Forest's last 10 matches across all official competitions, both teams had fewer than 9.5 shots on target.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Matz Sels, Jair, Nikola Milenković, Murillo, Ola Aina, James McAtee, Xaver Schlager, Neco Williams, Dan Ndoye, Morgan Gibbs-White, Liam Delap
Absentees: Igor Jesus, Nicolò Savona, Nicolás Domínguez.
Form and Line-up Manchester City
This Wednesday, Manchester City beat RB Leipzig 3:2 away in the UEFA Champions League. Before that, however, they had suffered two straight Premier League defeats, against Brighton & Hove Albion (0:1) and Aston Villa (1:2), so the outcome is hard to predict — their defence is far from watertight. Going forward, City are relying chiefly on Erling Haaland, the Premier League's top scorer with nine goals.
- Manchester City have had more than 12.5 shots in 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches.
- In each of Manchester City's last 10 matches across all official competitions, both teams have had more than 5.5 shots on target.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Gianluigi Donnarumma, Matheus Nunes, Abdukodir Khusanov, Rúben Dias, Joško Gvardiol, Elliot Anderson, Phil Foden, Enzo Fernández, Jérémy Doku, Rayan Cherki, Erling Haaland
Absentees: Antoine Semenyo
The teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Nottingham Forest a 21.2% chance of winning, with average odds of 4.50 and fair odds of 4.71. The draw has a 23.6% chance, with average odds of 4.05 and fair odds of 4.24. Manchester City's win probability is 55.2%: average odds are 1.73 and fair odds are 1.81.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest win | 4.50 | 4.71 | 21.2% |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.24 | 23.6% |
| Manchester City win | 1.73 | 1.81 | 55.2% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.25, while Over 2.5 goals is offered at 1.65. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 is favoured at 1.50 over Over 3.5 at 2.45.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.25 | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 1.50 | 2.45 |
Handicap prediction
On the -1.5 line, Nottingham Forest (-1.5) are quoted at 7.70 against Manchester City (-1.5) at 2.80; at a handicap of 1, the odds are 1.40 and 1.05. On the -1 line, Nottingham Forest (-1) are available at 6.70 and Manchester City (-1) at 2.18; at a handicap of 1, the respective odds are 1.68 and 1.06. Nottingham Forest (0) at 3.20 have markedly longer odds than Manchester City (0) at 1.30.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.70 | -1.5 | 2.80 |
| 1.40 | 1.5 | 1.05 |
| 6.70 | -1 | 2.18 |
| 1.68 | 1 | 1.06 |
| 3.20 | 0 | 1.30 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.63 looks more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.20. The latter means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.63 |
| No | 2.20 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/10
|
11/50
|
9/50
|
| 888sport |
21/20
|
1/4
|
11/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal lines: Nottingham Forest — 1 goal; Manchester City — 1.5 goals.
Nottingham Forest team goals
For Nottingham Forest, Over 0.5 goals at 1.42 has shorter odds than Under 0.5 goals at 2.65. At the 1-goal line, the odds are close: Under 1 at 1.80 and Over 1 at 1.95. Under 1.5 at 1.35 is favoured over Over 1.5 at 2.95.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 0.5 | 1.42 |
| 1.80 | 1 | 1.95 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 2.95 |
Manchester City team goals
For Manchester City, Over 0.5 goals at 1.09 has much shorter odds than Under 0.5 goals at 5.70, while Over 1 at 1.20 is shorter than Under 1 at 4.15. At the 1.5-goal line, Over 1.5 is available at 1.68 against 2.12 for Under 1.5; at the 2-goal line, Over 2 is 2.20 and Under 2 is 1.62.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.70 | 0.5 | 1.09 |
| 4.15 | 1 | 1.20 |
| 2.12 | 1.5 | 1.68 |
| 1.62 | 2 | 2.20 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Sam Barrott (England)
Matches — 6 (Premier League, 2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 20;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.2;
Matches with a red card — 0 of 6;
Matches with a penalty — 2 of 6.
