Odds overview
Bayer Leverkusen are clear favourites: an away win is available at 1.23, compared with 11.50 for a home win and 6.80 for a draw. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.35 is much shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.95. Bayer Leverkusen (-1.5) are offered at 1.60, suggesting the market expects a convincing away win.
Why Bayer Leverkusen are favourites
Bookmakers make the visitors overwhelming favourites: Bayer Leverkusen are 1.23 to win, while OFI Crete are offered at 11.50 and the draw at 6.80.
- Bayer Leverkusen have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches, winning or drawing the vast majority of them.
- OFI Crete have taken 3 points from two UEFA Europa League matches and sit 18th in the league-phase table.
Form and Line-up OFI Crete
OFI Crete have lost their last two matches away from home, first to Rennes (1:2) in the UEFA Europa League and then to Kalamata (3:4) in Super League Greece. The hosts face a difficult match, but OFI Crete's attackers regularly create chances in front of their own fans.
- In 8 of OFI Crete's last 10 home matches across all competitions, their opponents committed more than 14.5 fouls per game.
- OFI Crete received fewer than 3.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions.
- The total number of cards was under 6.5 in each of OFI Crete's last 10 home matches across all competitions.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Nikolaos Christogeorgos, Krešimir Krizmanić, Dimitris Nikolaou, Konstantinos Kostoulas, Nikolaos Athanasiou, Georgios Kanellopoulos, Zisis Karachalios, Borja González, Anastasios Chatzigiovanis, Thiago Nuss, Kenan Kodro
Form and Line-up Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen travel to Crete after two convincing wins: 4:0 against Lech Poznań in European competition and 2:1 against Freiburg in the Bundesliga. Ibrahim Maza contributed a goal and an assist in the latter match, while Patrick Schick scored the winner. Bayer Leverkusen also sit last in the UEFA Europa League ranking for goals conceded away from home, having kept their opponents scoreless in every match in that sample.
- Bayer Leverkusen's opponents took fewer than 4.5 corners in each of their last 10 UEFA Europa League away matches.
- The total number of corners was under 10.5 in 9 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 10 UEFA Europa League away matches.
- The two teams combined for fewer than 26.5 shot attempts in 8 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 10 UEFA Europa League away matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Mark Flekken, Jarell Quansah, Edmond Tapsoba, Facundo Medina, Miguel Gutiérrez, Aleix García, Ezequiel Fernández, Moussa Diaby, Ibrahim Maza, Afonso Moreira, Patrick Schick
Teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Bayer Leverkusen a 77.6% chance of winning, with average odds of 1.23 and fair odds of 1.29. OFI Crete have an 8.3% chance (11.50 and 12.04), while the draw has a 14.0% probability (6.80 and 7.12).
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| OFI Crete win | 11.50 | 12.04 | 8.3% |
| Draw | 6.80 | 7.12 | 14.0% |
| Bayer Leverkusen win | 1.23 | 1.29 | 77.6% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.35 is a much stronger favourite than Under 2.5 at 2.95. The 3.5-goal line is evenly matched: Under 3.5 and Over 3.5 are both offered at 1.90.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.95 | 1.35 |
| 3.5 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
Handicap prediction
In the handicap market, Bayer Leverkusen (-1.5) are offered at 1.60 and OFI Crete (1.5) at 2.30. At the -1 line, Bayer Leverkusen (-1) are available at 1.30; at the 1 line, OFI Crete (1) are 3.30. With a zero handicap, OFI Crete (0) are 7.40 and Bayer Leverkusen (0) are 1.05 — the market clearly favours the visitors.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 1.60 | |
| 2.30 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 1.30 | |
| 3.30 | 1 | |
| 7.40 | 0 | 1.05 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.80, slightly shorter than Both teams to score — No at 1.95, which means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.80 |
| No | 1.95 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
333/100
|
1/10
|
1/20
|
| William Hill |
3/1
|
3/25
|
1/20
|
| 888sport |
3/1
|
3/25
|
1/20
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: OFI Crete — 0.5 goals; Bayer Leverkusen — 2.5 goals.
OFI Crete team total goals
OFI Crete team total goals: Under 0.5 — 2.00, Over 0.5 — 1.75; Under 1 — 1.35, Over 1 — 3.00; Under 1.5 — 1.16, Over 1.5 — 4.30. The market expects the hosts to score no more than one goal.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | 0.5 | 1.75 |
| 1.35 | 1 | 3.00 |
| 1.16 | 1.5 | 4.30 |
Bayer Leverkusen team total goals
Bayer Leverkusen team total goals: Under 2 — 2.90, Over 2 — 1.35; Under 2.5 — 2.00, Over 2.5 — 1.75; Under 3 — 1.63, Over 3 — 2.20. The odds suggest the visitors will score around two to three goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | 2 | 1.35 |
| 2.00 | 2.5 | 1.75 |
| 1.63 | 3 | 2.20 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Oleksiy Derevinskyi (Ukraine)
Matches — 9 (International fixtures, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 2.9;
Matches with a red card — 0 of 9;
Matches with a penalty — 4 of 9.
