Odds overview
Olympiacos are favourites at 1.55 to win, compared with 4.40 for the draw and 6.00 for a Sparta Prague win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.75 is favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.10. Olympiacos with a handicap of 0 at 1.20 are much shorter than Sparta Prague with a handicap of 0 at 4.30.
Why Olympiacos are favourites
Bookmakers give the Greek club a clear advantage: an Olympiacos win is offered at 1.55, the draw at 4.40 and a Sparta Prague win at 6.00.
- The hosts have performed well at home in European competition: Olympiacos have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 home UEFA Europa League matches.
- Sparta Prague are vulnerable away from home in European competition, and recently let a win slip in the closing minutes of a tournament match: their home game against Lillestrøm ended 1:1 after they conceded in the 91st minute.
Form and Line-up Olympiacos
Olympiacos have played cautiously and defensively in their recent competitive matches: they won 1:0 away to Marseille in the UEFA Europa League, then beat Panetolikos 2:0 in the Greek league.
The Greek side have contained opposing attacks effectively at home: in each of their last 10 home UEFA Europa League matches, Olympiacos' opponents have attempted fewer than 13.5 shots, including blocked attempts.
- Olympiacos' opponents have committed more than 11.5 fouls in each of their last 10 home UEFA Europa League matches.
- Olympiacos have had more than 3.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 home UEFA Europa League matches.
- More than 3.5 yellow cards have been shown in 9 of Olympiacos' last 10 home UEFA Europa League matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Stefan Ortega, Marcus Pedersen, Panagiotis Retsos, Lorenzo Pirola, Nayair Tiknizyan, Gustavo Puerta, Remo Freuler, Joel Roca, Gustavo Sá, Kostas Fortounis, Marius Mouandilmadji
Form and Line-up Sparta Prague
Sparta Prague are 11th in the overall UEFA Europa League table, with four points from their opening two matches.
In the latest round of the Czech league, Sparta Prague drew 0:0 away to Baník. Afterwards, defender Martin Suchomel said the team had played poorly in the first half and improved in the second, but lacked the quality to win.
- Sparta Prague have been caught offside more than 1.5 times in 9 of their last 10 away UEFA Europa League matches.
- Sparta Prague's opponents have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- Sparta Prague have attempted fewer than 12.5 shots in 8 of their last 10 away UEFA Europa League matches.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Jakub Surovcik, Ki-Jana Hoever, Tobias Guddal, Jaroslav Zelený, Martin Suchomel, Dominik Sochurek, Roman Macek, Patrik Vydra, John Mercado, Jonatan Braut Brunes, Josimar Alcócer
The teams' chances
An Olympiacos win is offered at 1.55, with fair odds of 1.61 and a 62.1% probability. The draw is available at 4.40, with fair odds of 4.57 and a 21.9% probability. A Sparta Prague win is offered at 6.00, with fair odds of 6.23 and a 16.0% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos to win | 1.55 | 1.61 | 62.1% |
| Draw | 4.40 | 4.57 | 21.9% |
| Sparta Prague to win | 6.00 | 6.23 | 16.0% |
Total goals betting analysis
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.75 is favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.10. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 at 1.42 is considered much more likely than Over 3.5 at 2.65.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.10 | 1.75 |
| 3.5 | 1.42 | 2.65 |
Handicap betting analysis
Olympiacos (-1.5) are available at 2.40, while Sparta Prague (1.5) are offered at 1.53. At a one-goal handicap, Olympiacos (-1) are quoted at 1.88 and Sparta Prague (1) at 1.93, so the odds are close. Olympiacos (0) at 1.20 are much shorter than Sparta Prague (0) at 4.30.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.53 | |
| 1.88 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.93 | |
| 1.20 | 0 | 4.30 |
Both teams to score betting analysis
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.82, while No is available at 1.92: the market slightly favours both teams scoring over at least one side failing to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.82 |
| No | 1.92 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/10
|
1/5
|
163/100
|
| William Hill |
3/25
|
11/50
|
3/2
|
| 888sport |
11/100
|
11/50
|
81/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals betting analysis
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: 2 goals for Olympiacos and 0.5 goals for Sparta Prague.
Olympiacos team goals
For Olympiacos team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.06 is strongly favoured over Under 0.5 at 6.60; at the 1.5-goal line, Over 1.5 at 1.60 is shorter than Under 1.5 at 2.25. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 1.67 is shorter than Over 2 at 2.13, while at 2.5 goals, Under 2.5 at 1.38 is much shorter than Over 2.5 at 2.80.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.60 | 0.5 | 1.06 |
| 2.25 | 1.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.67 | 2 | 2.13 |
| 1.38 | 2.5 | 2.80 |
Sparta Prague team goals
For Sparta Prague team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.65 is shorter than Under 0.5 at 2.20. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 at 1.47 is favoured over Over 1 at 2.60, while at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 at 1.23 is much shorter than Over 1.5 at 3.75.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.20 | 0.5 | 1.65 |
| 1.47 | 1 | 2.60 |
| 1.23 | 1.5 | 3.75 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Espen Eskås (Norway)
Matches — 15 (international fixtures, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.7;
Matches with a red card — 0 of 15;
Matches with a penalty — 7 of 15.
