Odds overview
Benfica are clear favourites, with odds of 1.38 for an away win, compared with 7.90 for a home win and 5.20 for a draw. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.57 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.35. Benfica (-1) are favoured at 1.55 over Omonia Nicosia (+1) at 2.35 in the handicap market.
Why Benfica are favourites
Bookmakers make Benfica clear favourites: an away win is offered at 1.38, while Omonia Nicosia are available at 7.90. A draw is available at 5.20.
- The Lisbon club have made a strong start to the UEFA Europa League league phase: after two matches, Benfica sit third in the table with six points and a goal difference of 6:1.
- Omonia Nicosia remain unbeaten in the Cypriot league, but its standard is clearly below that of the Portuguese league, where Benfica play.
- Benfica have lost only to Porto (1:3) in their last 15 matches across all competitions.
Form and Line-up Omonia Nicosia
The Cypriot side have won four and drawn one of their last five competitive matches across all competitions, including a convincing 3:0 away win over Celje and a 1:0 home win over Celta in the UEFA Europa League. Omonia Nicosia are third in the Cypriot league with 12 points from six matches (three wins and three draws).
- Omonia Nicosia committed fewer than 11.5 fouls in nine of their last 10 home matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- The total number of fouls was under 24.5 in eight of Omonia Nicosia's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- Omonia Nicosia are unbeaten in seven consecutive matches across all competitions.
Probable Omonia Nicosia line-up (4-2-3-1): Fabiano, Jean-Kévin Duverne, Senou Coulibaly, Lubomir Satka, Jure Balkovec, Mateo Marić, Panayiotis Andreou, Evandro, Muamer Tanković, Jaden Montnor, Loïs Diony.
Absentees: Babajide Akintola, Carel Eiting, Fotis Kitsos (all injured).
Form and Line-up Benfica
Before travelling to Cyprus, Benfica beat Vitória Guimarães 2:0 in the Portuguese league, bouncing back from a 1:3 defeat to Porto. They then thrashed Celtic 4:1 in the UEFA Europa League, scoring three goals before half-time. Earlier, the Lisbon club had beaten AC Milan 0:2 in their opening European match.
- There were over 2.5 goals in nine of Benfica's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- The total number of yellow cards did not exceed 4.5 in eight of Benfica's last 10 away matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- Benfica have not lost the offside count in nine of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
Probable Benfica line-up (4-2-3-1): Anatoliy Trubin, Alexander Bah, Tomás Araújo, Clément Lenglet, Samuel Dahl, Fredrik Aursnes, Joao Palinya, Dodi Lukebakio, Georgiy Sudakov, Gianluca Prestianni, Jhon Durán.
Absentees: Daniel Banjaqui, Enzo Barrenechea, Jakub Kamiński (all injured).
The teams' chances
Benfica to win: average odds of 1.38, fair odds of 1.44 and a probability of 69.4%. The figures for a draw are 5.20, 5.43 and 18.4%, and for an Omonia Nicosia win they are 7.90, 8.24 and 12.1%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Nicosia to win | 7.90 | 8.24 | 12.1% |
| Draw | 5.20 | 5.43 | 18.4% |
| Benfica to win | 1.38 | 1.44 | 69.4% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.57 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.35. At the 3.5-goal line, by contrast, Under 3.5 at 1.58 is shorter than Over 3.5 at 2.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 3.5 | 1.58 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
Omonia Nicosia (+1.5) at 1.75 are shorter than Benfica (-1.5) at 2.10. At the one-goal line, Benfica (-1) at 1.55 are favoured over Omonia Nicosia (+1) at 2.35, while Benfica (0) at 1.11 are considerably shorter than Omonia Nicosia (0) at 5.30 in the zero-handicap market.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.10 | |
| 1.75 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 1.55 | |
| 2.35 | 1 | |
| 5.30 | 0 | 1.11 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.80 is slightly shorter than Both teams to score — No at 1.95; the No option means that at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.80 |
| No | 1.95 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/4
|
17/100
|
7/100
|
| William Hill |
47/25
|
9/50
|
1/10
|
| 888sport |
47/25
|
9/50
|
1/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Omonia Nicosia — 0.5 goals; Benfica — 2 goals.
Omonia Nicosia team total goals
Omonia Nicosia team total goals: Over 0.5 at 1.67 is shorter than Under 0.5 at 2.15. At the one-goal line, Under 1 at 1.40 is favoured over Over 1 at 2.70; at 1.5, Under 1.5 is 1.18 compared with 4.05 for Over 1.5.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.15 | 0.5 | 1.67 |
| 1.40 | 1 | 2.70 |
| 1.18 | 1.5 | 4.05 |
Benfica team total goals
Benfica team total goals: Over 0.5 at 1.03 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 at 8.50. Over 1.5 at 1.40 is favoured over Under 1.5 at 2.70; Over 2 at 1.75 is shorter than Under 2 at 2.00; and Under 2.5 at 1.55 is shorter than Over 2.5 at 2.35.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 8.50 | 0.5 | 1.03 |
| 2.70 | 1.5 | 1.40 |
| 2.00 | 2 | 1.75 |
| 1.55 | 2.5 | 2.35 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Jasper Vergoote (Belgium)
Matches — 9 (international fixtures, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 25;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellow cards) — 3;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 9;
Matches with a penalty — 2 of 9.
