Odds Overview
In the 1X2 market, a home win at 1.90 looks preferable to a draw at 3.60 and an away win at 3.75. In the main 2.5-goal market, Under 2.5 at 1.73 is priced lower than Over 2.5 at 2.05. In the handicaps, Home Draw No Bet at 1.45 is significantly shorter than Away Draw No Bet at 2.70.
Why Omonia are favourites
The home win is priced at 1.90, the draw is available at 3.60, and a Sint-Truiden victory is 3.75. The arguments for this assessment are:
Europa League statistics. Nine of Omonia's 10 matches in the competition have featured no more than three goals, while their opponents have scored a maximum of two goals in all 10 matches.
Sint-Truiden's inconsistency. The Belgians have won only one of their five matches in August.
The visitors' slender lead. A 1:0 scoreline does not guarantee progression, and Omonia are capable of coming back at home.
Form and Line-up Omonia
In their three Europa League matches so far, Omonia have recorded one win over Lincoln Red Imps (1:0), drawn with them once (1:1), and suffered a narrow defeat to Sint-Truiden (0:1). The Cypriots need to overturn a one-goal deficit, but their previous matches point to a pragmatic approach without forcing the pace.
Key numbers:
Under 2.5 goals has landed in five consecutive matches.
In their last 10 matches in all competitions, Omonia's opponents have scored no more than two goals.
Fewer than 10 corners have been taken in seven of the previous eight games.
Probable Omonia line-up (4-3-3): Fabiano — Jean-Kevin Duverne, Nicholas Panayiotou, Senou Coulibaly, Jure Balkovec — Mateo Maric, Muamer Tankovic, Panayiotis Andreou — Evandro, Lois Dioni, Jaidon Montnor.
Absentees: Mihlali Mayambela (doubtful).
Form and Line-up Sint-Truiden
Sint-Truiden travelled to Cyprus with a slender lead after a 1:0 home win, in which captain and defensive leader Shogo Taniguchi scored the only goal in the 90+3rd minute. The Belgians did not play in the league at the weekend, so they will approach the second leg in excellent shape.
Key numbers:
No more than four yellow cards have been shown in their last 10 away matches.
Under 2.5 goals has landed in five of the previous seven matches.
Fewer than 10 corners have been taken in four of the last five matches.
Probable Sint-Truiden line-up (4-3-3): Leo Kokubo — Robert-Jan Vanwesemael, Shogo Taniguchi, Visar Musliu, Joedrick Pupe — Ryan Merlen, Abdoulaye Sissako, Nelson Isewatari — Ilias Sebaoui, Frederik Soelle, Kaito Matsuzawa.
Absentees: —.
Team Chances
Home win: average odds of 1.90, a margin-free estimate of 2.03 and a probability of 49.2%. The draw is priced at 3.60, 3.85 without margin, with a probability of 25.9%; the away win is 3.75, 4.02 and 24.9% respectively.
Outcome | Average odds | Average margin-free odds | Margin-free probability |
Omonia Nicosia to win | 1.90 | 2.03 | 49.2% |
Draw | 3.60 | 3.85 | 25.9% |
Sint-Truiden to win | 3.75 | 4.02 | 24.9% |
Total Goals Prediction
In the 2.5-goal market, Under 2.5 at 1.73 is preferable to Over 2.5 at 2.05. The gap is more pronounced on the 3.5 line: Under at 1.28 versus Over at 3.35.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.73 | 2.05 |
3.5 | 1.28 | 3.35 |
Handicap Prediction
For the -1.5 line, Home (-1.5) is priced at 3.45 and Away (-1.5) at 8.00. On the 1.5 line, Home (+1.5) at 1.04 is shorter than Away (+1.5) at 1.25; on the -1 line, Home (-1) at 2.70 is against Away (-1) at 6.90. For the 1 line, Home (+1) is 1.06 and Away (+1) is 1.40, while on the zero line Home Draw No Bet is 1.45 and Away Draw No Bet is 2.70.
Home | Handicap | Away |
3.45 | -1.5 | 8.00 |
1.04 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
2.70 | -1 | 6.90 |
1.06 | 1 | 1.40 |
1.45 | 0 | 2.70 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
The market is almost even: Both teams to score - Yes is 1.87, while Both teams to score - No is 1.88; the latter option means that at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.87 |
No | 1.88 |
Double Chance Prediction
1X is priced at 1.25, 12 at 1.27, while X2 at 1.85 is priced higher.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.25 | 1.27 | 1.85 |
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Omonia Nicosia — 1.5 goals, Sint-Truiden — 1 goal.
Omonia Nicosia Team Total
Omonia Nicosia: in the 0.5 team-total market, Under at 4.10 is higher than Over at 1.20; on the 1 line, it is 2.95 versus 1.35. For the 1.5 line, Under is 1.67 and Over is 2.07, while on the 2 line they are 1.28 and 3.30 respectively.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.10 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
2.95 | 1 | 1.35 |
1.67 | 1.5 | 2.07 |
1.28 | 2 | 3.30 |
Sint-Truiden Team Total
Sint-Truiden: in the 0.5 team-total market, Under at 2.45 is higher than Over at 1.50. On the 1 line, Under at 1.65 is priced lower than Over at 2.10, while on the 1.5 line it is 1.30 versus 3.20.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.45 | 0.5 | 1.50 |
1.65 | 1 | 2.10 |
1.30 | 1.5 | 3.20 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Damian Sylwestrzak (Poland)
Matches — 10 (international matches, 2025–2026);
Average fouls per match — 28;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 4.9;
Matches with red cards — 2 of 10;
Matches with penalties — 5 of 10.
