Odds overview
TSG Hoffenheim are clear favourites: the away win is available at 1.68, while the home win and draw are quoted at 4.50 and 4.40. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 is favoured at 1.42 against 2.65 for Under 2.5. At handicap 0, TSG Hoffenheim Draw No Bet at 1.30 is considerably preferred to SC Paderborn 07 Draw No Bet at 3.25.
Why TSG Hoffenheim are favourites
The bookmakers favour the visitors: a TSG Hoffenheim win is available at 1.68 (around a 57.0% probability without margin), while the draw is offered at 4.40 and an SC Paderborn 07 win at 4.50.
- SC Paderborn 07 have failed to win any of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
- TSG Hoffenheim have consistently been involved in high-scoring matches: at least three goals have been scored in 9 of their last 10 league games.
Form and Line-up SC Paderborn 07
In the previous round, SC Paderborn 07 suffered a heavy 0:3 away defeat to Borussia Dortmund. They conceded the first goal as early as the fifth minute, and their defence could not cope with the pressure late in the match, conceding twice more.
Their lack of attacking threat is reflected in expected goals: SC Paderborn 07 are bottom of the league's pre-match xG rankings with 0.67. Their home matches are often closely contested, however — SC Paderborn 07 players have received at least two yellow cards in each of their last 10 home games.
- SC Paderborn 07 have failed to win 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
- At least 9 corners have been taken in 9 of SC Paderborn 07's last 10 Bundesliga home games.
- At least 4 yellow cards have been shown in 9 of SC Paderborn 07's last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
Probable SC Paderborn 07 line-up (3-5-2): Nahuel Noll, Jano ter Horst, Tjark Scheller, Mattes Hansen, Laurin Curda, Santiago Castañeda, Raphael Obermair, Laurin Ulrich, Gabriel Vidović, Marvin Pieringer, Stefano Marino
Form and Line-up TSG Hoffenheim
In Matchday 3, TSG Hoffenheim beat VfB Stuttgart 2:1 at home. The team were highly active in attack, registering 20 shots on the opposition goal, while Adam Hložek scored twice.
The visitors make active use of wide attacks and rank among the top three in the league's pre-match rankings for average corners (7.33 per game). Their away matches are traditionally open: at least three goals have been scored in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga away games.
- TSG Hoffenheim's opponents committed no more than 11 fouls in each of their last 10 Bundesliga away games.
- TSG Hoffenheim were caught offside at most once in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga away matches.
- TSG Hoffenheim did not receive more yellow cards than their opponents in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga away games.
Probable TSG Hoffenheim line-up (4-2-2-2): Oliver Baumann, Ozan Kabak, Albian Hajdari, Vladimír Coufal, Mats Rots, Leon Avdullahu, Wouter Burger, Bambasé Conté, Adam Hložek, Adam Daghim, Tim Lemperle
Team chances
The away win is available at 1.68, with fair odds of 1.76 and a probability of 57.0%, substantially higher than the respective figures for the home win — 4.50, 4.70 and 21.3% — and the draw — 4.40, 4.60 and 21.8%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 4.50 | 4.70 | 21.3% |
| Draw | 4.40 | 4.60 | 21.8% |
| TSG Hoffenheim win | 1.68 | 1.76 | 57.0% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 at 1.42 is quoted considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.65. At the 3.5 mark, the difference is closer: Under 3.5 is available at 1.77 and Over 3.5 at 2.05.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.65 | 1.42 |
| 3.5 | 1.77 | 2.05 |
Handicap prediction
TSG Hoffenheim (-1.5) at 2.55 is quoted shorter than SC Paderborn 07 (-1.5) at 7.10. At a 1.5 handicap, TSG Hoffenheim (+1.5) is available at 1.05 against 1.48 for SC Paderborn 07 (+1.5); at the -1 line, TSG Hoffenheim (-1) is at 2.05 and SC Paderborn 07 (-1) at 6.20. For a handicap of 1, the odds are 1.07 for TSG Hoffenheim (+1) and 1.77 for SC Paderborn 07 (+1), while at handicap 0, TSG Hoffenheim Draw No Bet is at 1.30 against 3.25 for SC Paderborn 07 Draw No Bet.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.10 | -1.5 | 2.55 |
| 1.48 | 1.5 | 1.05 |
| 6.20 | -1 | 2.05 |
| 1.77 | 1 | 1.07 |
| 3.25 | 0 | 1.30 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.45 is quoted considerably shorter than Both teams to score - No at 2.60, the option in which at least one team fails to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.45 |
| No | 2.60 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
23/20
|
9/50
|
1/5
|
| 888sport |
6/5
|
1/5
|
1/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: SC Paderborn 07 — 1 goal, TSG Hoffenheim — 2 goals.
SC Paderborn 07 team total
SC Paderborn 07 team total: Over 0.5 at 1.30 is quoted shorter than Under 0.5 at 3.15. At the 1 line, Over 1 is available at 1.68 against 2.12 for Under 1, while at the 1.5 mark, Under 1.5 at 1.48 is preferred to Over 1.5 at 2.55.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.15 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.12 | 1 | 1.68 |
| 1.48 | 1.5 | 2.55 |
TSG Hoffenheim team total
TSG Hoffenheim team total: Over 0.5 at 1.05 has a clear advantage over Under 0.5 at 7.20. Over 1.5 is available at 1.50 against 2.55 for Under 1.5; at the 2 line, the odds are almost level — 1.90 for Under 2 and 1.85 for Over 2. At the 2.5 mark, Under 2.5 at 1.50 is quoted shorter than Over 2.5 at 2.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.20 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
| 2.55 | 1.5 | 1.50 |
| 1.90 | 2 | 1.85 |
| 1.50 | 2.5 | 2.50 |
