Odds overview
Pafos are favourites: a home win is available at 1.65, compared with 4.00 for a draw and 5.10 for a Riga win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.75 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.10. Riga (+1.5) at 1.45 looks more likely than Pafos (-1.5) at 2.70.
Why Pafos are favourites
Bookmakers favour Pafos: a home win is offered at 1.65, with a fair probability of 57.6%, while a draw is available at 4.00 and a Riga win at 5.10.
• Riga have struggled away from home in the competition, failing to win 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League away matches.
• Pafos have won all five of their most recent home matches in the UEFA Conference League.
Form and Line-up Pafos
Pafos drew 0:0 with APOEL in their most recent Cyprus league match. They typically start cautiously: fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in the first half of each of their last 10 matches across all competitions. That will be little consolation to their supporters after defeat in the opening round of the UEFA Conference League league phase: Pafos conceded three times before the break and lost 1:3 away to Atalanta.
- Pafos had fewer than 5.5 shots on target in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Pafos received more than 1.5 yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- There were fewer than 8.5 corners in 8 of Pafos's last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
Probable Pafos line-up (4-3-3): Radoslaw Majecki, Bruno, Samy Mmaee, David Luiz, Nicholas Ioannou, Pepe, Ivan Šunjić, Domingos Quina, Biel, Vlad Dragomir, Lelé
Form and Line-up Riga
Riga beat Super Nova 2:1 in their previous Latvian Higher League match thanks to a decisive strike from Mohamed Badamosi. Despite their away struggles in the UEFA Conference League, the Latvian club began the league phase with a 1:1 home draw against Kairat. They had to come from behind after the visitors opened the scoring from a penalty in the fifth minute.
- Riga have scored at least once in each of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Riga had more than 12.5 shots in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Riga had more than 3.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
Probable Riga line-up (4-2-3-1): Kenan Pirić, Raivis Jurkovskis, Baba Musah, Karl Gameni Wassom, Maksims Toņiševs, Ahmed Ankrah, Iago Siqueira Augusto, Meissa Diop, Salah Oulad M'Hand, Raki Aouani, Mohamed Badamosi
Absentees: Andrés Salazar (suspended)
The teams' chances
A Pafos win is offered at 1.65, with fair odds of 1.74 and a fair probability of 57.6%. For a draw, the figures are 4.00, 4.21 and 23.8%; for a Riga win, they are 5.10, 5.37 and 18.6%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos win | 1.65 | 1.74 | 57.6% |
| Draw | 4.00 | 4.21 | 23.8% |
| Riga win | 5.10 | 5.37 | 18.6% |
Total goals prediction
At a line of 2.5 goals, Under is available at 2.10 and Over at 1.75. At 3.5 goals, Under is offered at 1.42 and Over at 2.65.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.10 | 1.75 |
| 3.5 | 1.42 | 2.65 |
Handicap prediction
Pafos (-1.5) are offered at 2.70, while Riga (+1.5) are available at 1.45. Of Pafos (-1) at 2.10 and Riga (+1) at 1.75, the away handicap has the shorter odds. At the zero handicap line, Pafos Draw No Bet (0) is 1.25 and Riga Draw No Bet (0) is 3.60.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.45 | |
| 2.10 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.75 | |
| 1.25 | 0 | 3.60 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.73, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is 2.05.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.73 |
| No | 2.05 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
17/100
|
1/4
|
5/4
|
| William Hill |
9/50
|
11/50
|
6/5
|
| 888sport |
9/50
|
11/50
|
6/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goals lines for this match: 1.5 goals for Pafos and 1 goal for Riga.
Pafos team goals
For Pafos team goals, Under 0.5 is available at 6.00 and Over 0.5 at 1.08; Under 1 is 4.10 and Over 1 is 1.18. At a line of 1.5 goals, Under is offered at 2.10 and Over at 1.70; at 2 goals, Under is 1.58 and Over is 2.30.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.00 | 0.5 | 1.08 |
| 4.10 | 1 | 1.18 |
| 2.10 | 1.5 | 1.70 |
| 1.58 | 2 | 2.30 |
Riga team goals
For Riga team goals, Under 0.5 is available at 2.40 and Over 0.5 at 1.53; Under 1 is 1.60 and Over 1 is 2.25. At a line of 1.5 goals, Under is offered at 1.28 and Over at 3.35.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 0.5 | 1.53 |
| 1.60 | 1 | 2.25 |
| 1.28 | 1.5 | 3.35 |
