Odds overview
In the match-result market, Paris Saint-Germain and Barcelona are offered at almost identical odds of 2.40 and 2.45, while the draw is at 4.50. In the main 2.5-goal totals market, Over is a much stronger favourite than Under: 1.18 against 4.10. Paris Saint-Germain and Barcelona are level at 1.90 each in the handicap (0) market.
Why neither team are clear favourites
Bookmakers offer similar odds for either team to win: Paris Saint-Germain are at 2.40, Barcelona at 2.45 and the draw at 4.50.
Paris Saint-Germain lead the UEFA Champions League in average goals scored, with 5 per match.
Barcelona are next, averaging 4.5 goals per match.
Form and Line-up Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain came into this match after a 3:1 win over Strasbourg, having trailed at half-time and turned the game around only at the very end. They had also played two difficult away matches in four days.
Key numbers:
In Paris Saint-Germain's last 10 home UEFA Champions League matches, their opponents had fewer than 11.5 shots, including blocked shots.
In Paris Saint-Germain's last 10 home UEFA Champions League matches, their opponents took fewer than 5.5 corners.
Paris Saint-Germain avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 home UEFA Champions League matches.
Probable Paris Saint-Germain line-up: Matvei Safonov, Warren Zaïre-Emery, Ilya Zabarnyi, Lucas Hernandez, Lucas Digne, Dro Fernández, Lucas Beraldo, João Neves, Maghnes Akliouche, Ferran Torres, Khvicha Kvarackhelija.
Nuno Mendes — his availability has not been confirmed.
Form and Line-up Barcelona
Barcelona travel to Paris having played three matches in eight days. They thrashed Real Betis Balompié 5:2 in their latest game, which featured a sending-off and two disallowed goals. Such a congested schedule ahead of El Clásico against Real Madrid places an additional burden on the starting line-up.
Key numbers:
Barcelona committed fewer than 12.5 fouls in their last 10 away UEFA Champions League matches.
Barcelona took fewer than 4.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 away UEFA Champions League matches.
In 9 of Barcelona's last 10 away UEFA Champions League matches, the total number of shots, including blocked shots, exceeded 24.5.
Probable Barcelona line-up: Joan García, Xavi Espart, Gerard Martín, Pau Cubarsí, Jules Koundé, Lamine Yamal, Rodri, Fermín López, Pedri, Karim Adeyemi, Gabriel Jesus.
Frenkie de Jong and Raphinha have returned to the squad after injuries.
The teams' chances
Paris Saint-Germain to win is offered at 2.40, with fair odds of 2.51 and a fair probability of 39.8%. The corresponding figures for the draw are 4.50, 4.71 and 21.2%, and for Barcelona to win they are 2.45, 2.57 and 39.0%. Paris Saint-Germain have a marginal edge over Barcelona.
Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
Paris Saint-Germain win | 2.40 | 2.51 | 39.8% |
Draw | 4.50 | 4.71 | 21.2% |
Barcelona win | 2.45 | 2.57 | 39.0% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Over is available at 1.18 against 4.10 for Under. Over remains the favourite at 3.5 goals, but by a smaller margin: 1.52 against 2.45.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 4.10 | 1.18 |
3.5 | 2.45 | 1.52 |
Handicap betting
Paris Saint-Germain (-1.5) and Barcelona (-1.5) are offered at almost identical odds of 3.75 and 3.80. At the 1.5-goal line, Paris Saint-Germain (+1.5) and Barcelona (+1.5) are at 1.22 and 1.23, while Paris Saint-Germain (0) and Barcelona (0) are both at 1.90.
Home | Handicap | Away |
3.75 | -1.5 | 3.80 |
1.22 | 1.5 | 1.23 |
1.90 | 0 | 1.90 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score — Yes is the clear favourite at 1.20, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will not score, is offered at 3.90.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.20 |
No | 3.90 |
Double chance betting
The most likely double chance outcome is 12 at 1.20. The odds for 1X and X2 are close — 1.55 and 1.57.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.55 | 1.20 | 1.57 |
Team total goals betting
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: Paris Saint-Germain — 2.5 goals; Barcelona — 1.5 goals.
Paris Saint-Germain team total goals
For Paris Saint-Germain's team total, Over 0.5 goals is offered at 1.07 against 6.30 for Under 0.5; at the 1.5-goal line, the odds are 1.50 for Over and 2.55 for Under. At 2.5 goals, Under has the shorter odds of 1.50 against 2.50 for Over, while at 3.5 goals Under is at 1.14 against 4.60 for Over.
Under | Team total | Over |
6.30 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
2.55 | 1.5 | 1.50 |
1.50 | 2.5 | 2.50 |
1.14 | 3.5 | 4.60 |
Barcelona team total goals
For Barcelona's team total, Over 0.5 goals is available at 1.07 against 6.20 for Under 0.5; at the 1.5-goal line, the odds are 1.50 for Over and 2.50 for Under. At 2.5 goals, Under is offered at 1.50 and Over at 2.55.
Under | Team total | Over |
6.20 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
2.50 | 1.5 | 1.50 |
1.50 | 2.5 | 2.55 |
