Odds overview
Paris Saint-Germain are clear favourites: they are 1.12 to win, while the draw is 9.80 and a Troyes win is 19.00. In the main 2.5-goal totals market, Over 2.5 at 1.26 is considered much more likely than Under 2.5 at 3.45.
Why Paris Saint-Germain are favourites
Paris Saint-Germain are the bookmakers' overwhelming favourites. A win for the Paris club is available at 1.12, the draw at 9.80 and a Troyes win at 19.00.
- Paris Saint-Germain have consistently avoided defeat: they have not lost in any of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- The visitors have struggled away from home in this competition: Troyes have not won in 9 of their last 10 away matches in Ligue 1.
Form and Line-up Paris Saint-Germain
In their most recent match, on 3 November, Paris Saint-Germain thrashed Villarreal 6:0 away from home. Earlier in October, they also won 3:1 away to Strasbourg in Ligue 1.
Paris Saint-Germain go into the match with defensive absences: Marquinhos has a thigh injury, while Nuno Mendes is out with a muscle injury.
- Paris Saint-Germain have scored at least one goal in all of their last 10 matches in official competitions.
- In all of Paris Saint-Germain's last 10 matches in official competitions, the two teams have recorded more than 5.5 shots on target combined.
Probable line-up: Matvei Safonov, Achraf Hakimi, Ilya Zabarnyi, Lucas Hernández, Lucas Digne, Warren Zaïre-Emery, Maghnes Akliouche, Dro Fernández, Ferran Torres, Senny Mayulu, Mika Godts
Paris Saint-Germain's injury list includes Marquinhos (thigh), Khvicha Kvarackhelija (cruciate ligaments), Ousmane Dembélé (thigh) and Nuno Mendes (muscle injury).
Form and Line-up Troyes
On 31 October, Troyes beat Le Mans 2:0 without conceding. Earlier in October, however, they lost to Lens (1:3) and Marseille (0:2), and drew with Dijon (2:2).
- Troyes have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches in Ligue 1.
- In 9 of Troyes' last 10 matches in all official competitions, the two teams have recorded no more than 9.5 shots on target combined.
Probable line-up: Hillel Konaté, Lucas Maronnier, Adrien Monfray, Michell Díaz, Paolo Gozzi, Antoine Mille, Karim Dermane, Mouhamed Diop, Merwan Ifnaoui, Renaud Ripart, Timothée Nkada
Anis Ouzenadji will miss the match for Troyes with a sprained ankle.
The teams' chances
Paris Saint-Germain are offered at 1.12 to win, with fair odds of 1.17 and a fair probability of 85.2%. The draw is 9.80, with fair odds of 10.27 and a 9.7% probability, while a Troyes win is 19.00, with fair odds of 19.90 and a 5.0% probability.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain win | 1.12 | 1.17 | 85.2% |
| Draw | 9.80 | 10.27 | 9.7% |
| Troyes win | 19.00 | 19.90 | 5.0% |
Total goals prediction
In the 2.5-goal totals market, Over 2.5 at 1.26 is much shorter than Under 2.5 at 3.45. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 is 1.08 against 5.90 for Under 2, while at 3.5 goals, Over 3.5 at 1.70 is a slight favourite over Under 3.5 at 2.06.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 3.45 | 1.26 |
| 2 | 5.90 | 1.08 |
| 3.5 | 2.06 | 1.70 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/50
|
3/50
|
6/1
|
| 888sport |
1/50
|
3/50
|
11/2
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: 3 goals for Paris Saint-Germain and 0.5 goals for Troyes.
Paris Saint-Germain team goals
For Paris Saint-Germain, Over 2.5 goals at 1.49 is favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.46. At the 3-goal line, Over 3 is 1.80 against 1.95 for Under 3, while at 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 at 1.60 is shorter than Over 3.5 at 2.22.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.46 | 2.5 | 1.49 |
| 1.95 | 3 | 1.80 |
| 1.60 | 3.5 | 2.22 |
Troyes team goals
For Troyes, Under 0.5 goals at 1.81 is considered slightly more likely than Over 0.5 at 1.93. Under 1.5 is offered at 1.11 against 5.20 for Over 1.5, while Under 2.5 at 1.01 is a much stronger favourite than Over 2.5 at 9.60.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.81 | 0.5 | 1.93 |
| 1.11 | 1.5 | 5.20 |
| 1.01 | 2.5 | 9.60 |
