Odds overview
Bologna to win at 1.85 looks the more appealing option: the draw is available at 3.55 and a Parma win at 4.50. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.72 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.12. On the handicap line of 0, Bologna (0) at 1.33 are considerably shorter than Parma (0) at 3.05.
Why Bologna are favourites
Bologna are the bookmakers' favourites: an away win is offered at 1.85, the draw at 3.55 and a Parma win at 4.50.
- Bologna have scored consistently: they have averaged 1.4 goals per game in their last 10 Serie A matches.
- Parma regularly drop points and allow their opponents plenty of chances: they have failed to win 8 of their last 10 Serie A matches, conceding an average of 1.80 xG per game.
Form and Line-up Parma
In the previous round, on 2 November, Parma beat Atalanta away 3:0. Before that, on 28 October, they drew 0:0 at home to Udinese.
Parma will, however, be without midfielder Adrián Bernabé for the upcoming match — he is out with a muscle injury.
- Parma have failed to win 8 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- The two teams have scored fewer than 3.5 goals combined in 9 of Parma's last 10 home matches in Serie A.
Probable Parma line-up: Giovanni Daffara, Enrico Del Prato, Mariano Troilo, Sascha Britschgi, Dominik Drobnic, Giovanni Fabbian, Vincent Sierro, Mandela Keita, Emanuele Valeri, El Bilal Touré, Simone Lontani.
The hosts will be without Adrián Bernabé because of a thigh injury.
Form and Line-up Bologna
Bologna go into the game on a run of three consecutive wins. On 31 October, they beat Monza 2:1 at home. Before that, on 28 October, they won a high-scoring away match against AC Milan 4:2.
The visitors' injured players are Lorenzo De Silvestri, Jay Enem and Emil Holm, who are recovering from their injuries.
- Bologna have avoided defeat in 6 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- The two teams have scored fewer than 3.5 goals combined in 8 of Bologna's last 10 away matches in Serie A.
Probable Bologna line-up: Łukasz Skorupski, Nicolò Casale, Arthur Theate, Nadir Zortea, Martin Vitík, Lewis Ferguson, Tommaso Pobega, Juan Miranda, Federico Bernardeschi, Jens Odgaard, Nicolò Cambiaghi.
Bologna will be without Lorenzo De Silvestri, Jay Enem and Emil Holm because of various injuries.
The teams' chances
A Parma win is offered at 4.50, with fair odds of 4.70 and a probability of 21.3%. The draw is available at 3.55, with fair odds of 3.71 and a probability of 27%. A Bologna win at 1.85 corresponds to fair odds of 1.93 and a probability of 51.8%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma to win | 4.50 | 4.70 | 21.3% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.71 | 27.0% |
| Bologna to win | 1.85 | 1.93 | 51.8% |
Total goals betting
Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.72 and Over 2.5 goals at 2.12. On the 2-goal line, the odds are 2.30 for Under and 1.60 for Over; on the 3.5-goal line, they are 1.23 and 3.70 respectively.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.72 | 2.12 |
| 2 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 3.5 | 1.23 | 3.70 |
Handicap betting
Bologna (-1.5) are quoted at 3.55 and Parma (+1.5) at 1.25. On the 1-goal handicap line, Bologna (-1) are available at 2.75 and Parma (+1) at 1.45. On the 0-goal line, Parma (0) are at 3.05 and Bologna (0) at 1.33.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 3.55 | |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 2.75 | |
| 1.45 | 1 | |
| 3.05 | 0 | 1.33 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.97, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is offered at 1.77.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.97 |
| No | 1.77 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
91/100
|
29/100
|
9/50
|
| 888sport |
19/20
|
3/10
|
1/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals betting
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goals lines: Parma — 0.5 goals; Bologna — 1.5 goals.
Parma team goals
For Parma, Under 0.5 goals is at 2.25 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.60. On the 1-goal line, Under is available at 1.50 and Over at 2.50; on the 1.5-goal line, they are 1.23 and 3.70 respectively.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 0.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.50 | 1 | 2.50 |
| 1.23 | 1.5 | 3.70 |
Bologna team goals
For Bologna, Under 0.5 goals is quoted at 4.20 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.20. On the 1-goal line, the odds are 2.80 for Under and 1.38 for Over; on the 1.5-goal line, they are 1.72 and 2.07, and on the 2-goal line, 1.28 and 3.35 respectively.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.80 | 1 | 1.38 |
| 1.72 | 1.5 | 2.07 |
| 1.28 | 2 | 3.35 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Luca Zufferli (Italy)
Matches — 21 (Serie A, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 2.8;
Matches with a red card — 2 out of 21;
Matches with a penalty — 11 out of 21.
