Odds overview
Peterborough United are moderate favourites: the home win is available at 2.20, the away win at 3.10 and the draw at 3.65. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.83 is slightly shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 1.98. At a handicap of 0, Peterborough United Draw No Bet at 1.65 is clearly preferred to Barnsley Draw No Bet at 2.25.
Why Peterborough United are favourites for the match
Peterborough United to win is available at 2.20, the draw at 3.65 and Barnsley to win at 3.10.
• Peterborough United showed an impressive attack in the League Cup, winning 5:1 away to Watford.
• Barnsley approach the match in a vulnerable state after two heavy League One defeats — 0:3 to Plymouth Argyle and 1:5 to Stevenage Borough.
Form and Line-up Peterborough United
In recent League One rounds, Peterborough United have struggled to pick up points, drawing with Milton Keynes Dons (1:1) and Stevenage Borough (0:0), and losing to Sheffield Wednesday (1:2). Their cup matches, however, have been high-tempo: in 8 of their last 10 League Cup games, the two sides combined for at least 8 shots on target.
- Peterborough United were caught offside no more than twice in 9 of their last 10 League Cup matches
- Peterborough United's opponents received no more than 2 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 League Cup matches
- In 8 of Peterborough United's last 10 League Cup matches, their opponents committed at least 10 fouls
Probable Peterborough United line-up (4-3-3): Alex Bass, James Dornelly, David Okagbue, George Nevett, Harley Mills, Liam Kelly, Ben Woods, Harrison Jones, Ethan Williams, Harry Leonard, Bolu Shofowoke
Vernon Masara will miss the match. Carl Johnston and Tom O'Connor remain doubtful.
Form and Line-up Barnsley
In the league, Barnsley have produced inconsistent results but previously enjoyed success by beating Blackpool (2:1) and Leyton Orient (3:1). They have already beaten Crewe Alexandra (3:2) in the League Cup, but defensive problems remain — in 9 of their last 10 cup games, opponents had at least 4 shots on target against Barnsley.
- Barnsley did not receive fewer yellow cards than their opponents in 9 of their last 10 League Cup matches
- There were no more than 4 offsides in 9 of Barnsley's last 10 League Cup matches
- Barnsley's opponents received no more than 2 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 League Cup matches
Probable Barnsley line-up (4-2-3-1): Rogan Ravenhill, Arlie Kay, Sam Gale, Corey O'Keeffe, Cameron McGeehan, Mackenzie Kirk, Tyrese Nouble, Reyes Cleary, Patrick Kelly, Jonathan Bland, Luca William Alker
Team chances
The home win is available at 2.20; the fair odds are 2.31 and the probability is 43.2%. The draw is quoted at 3.65, with fair odds of 3.84 and a probability of 26.1%. The away win is listed at 3.10, with fair odds of 3.26 and 30.7%: the visitors are longer than the hosts but have a higher chance of winning than the draw.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peterborough United win | 2.20 | 2.31 | 43.2% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.84 | 26.1% |
| Barnsley win | 3.10 | 3.26 | 30.7% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.98 is longer than Over 2.5 goals at 1.83. At the 3.5 line, Under 3.5 goals at 1.38 is considerably shorter than Over 3.5 goals at 2.80.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 3.5 | 1.38 | 2.80 |
Handicap prediction
Peterborough United (-1.5) at 3.85 is shorter than Barnsley (-1.5) at 5.70. At the 1.5 line, Peterborough United (+1.5) at 1.09 is shorter than Barnsley (+1.5) at 1.22. At the -1 line, Peterborough United (-1) is 3.15 and Barnsley (-1) is 4.90, while at the 1 line Peterborough United (+1) is 1.12 against 1.30 for Barnsley (+1). At the 0 line, Peterborough United Draw No Bet at 1.65 is preferred to Barnsley Draw No Bet at 2.25.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.85 | -1.5 | 5.70 |
| 1.09 | 1.5 | 1.22 |
| 3.15 | -1 | 4.90 |
| 1.12 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 1.65 | 0 | 2.25 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.67, while Both teams to score - No is at 2.15: the shorter odds indicate an expectation that both teams will score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.67 |
| No | 2.15 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/2
|
11/50
|
57/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Peterborough United — 1.5 goals, Barnsley — 1 goal.
Peterborough United team total
Peterborough United team total: Under 0.5 goals at 4.15 is considerably longer than Over 0.5 goals at 1.20; at the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal at 2.80 is longer than Over 1 goal at 1.38. At the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 goals is 1.72 and Over 1.5 goals is 2.05, while at the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is 1.30 against 3.20 for Over 2 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.15 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.80 | 1 | 1.38 |
| 1.72 | 1.5 | 2.05 |
| 1.30 | 2 | 3.20 |
Barnsley team total
Barnsley team total: Under 0.5 goals at 3.10 is longer than Over 0.5 goals at 1.32. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is available at 2.15 and Over 1 goal at 1.65; at the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.48 is clearly shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 2.55.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.10 | 0.5 | 1.32 |
| 2.15 | 1 | 1.65 |
| 1.48 | 1.5 | 2.55 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Thomas Parsons (England)
Matches — 8 (the Championship and English cups, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.5;
Matches with red cards — 0 out of 8;
Matches with penalties — 3 out of 8.
