Odds Overview
Poland are favourites: a home win is around 1.70, compared with 3.85 for a draw and 5.00 for an away win. In the main 2.5-goal totals market, Under is 1.85 and Over is 1.95, with a slight edge towards the lower-scoring scenario. Poland Draw No Bet is 1.25, while Bosnia and Herzegovina Draw No Bet is 3.45.
Why Poland Are Favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: Poland to win is available at 1.70, Bosnia and Herzegovina to win at 5.00, and the draw at 3.85.
- Poland's coaching staff have called up a tried-and-tested squad for the September matches, led by Robert Lewandowski and Piotr Zielinski, retaining their core players.
- In their most recent competitive match, Bosnia and Herzegovina lost 0:2 to the United States in the Round of 32 of the World Cup, showing vulnerability in attack.
- Poland are playing at home — in front of their supporters, the team are more confident and rarely drop points against opponents of inferior quality.
Form and Line-up Poland
Poland ended their 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifying campaign unsuccessfully: after getting past Albania in the play-offs, they lost 2:3 to Sweden after conceding the decisive goal in the 88th minute. Poland also failed to make an impact in the UEFA Nations League — they were relegated from League A after finishing fourth with four points from six matches.
Poland's most recent friendlies also went poorly — a 0:2 defeat to Ukraine and a 2:2 draw with Nigeria.
- Poland have scored at least one goal in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- At least two goals have been scored in 9 of Poland's last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Fewer than five goals have been scored in 8 of Poland's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Poland line-up (3-5-2): Marcin Bulka, Jan Bednarek, Przemyslaw Wisniewski, Jakub Kiwior, Matty Cash, Nicola Zalewski, Piotr Zielinski, Sebastian Szymanski, Tymoteusz Puchacz, Karol Swiderski, Robert Lewandowski.
Absentees: Adrian Benedyczak, Filip Rozga (both injured).
Form and Line-up Bosnia and Herzegovina
Bosnia and Herzegovina remarkably reached the 2026 FIFA World Cup by beating Wales and Italy on penalties in the play-offs. At the tournament itself, Bosnia and Herzegovina even made it out of the group, but then lost in the Round of 32.
The UEFA Nations League also went poorly for Bosnia and Herzegovina — they were relegated from League A after finishing fourth with only two points.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina have scored at least one goal in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- At least two goals have been scored in 9 of Bosnia and Herzegovina's last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Fewer than five goals have been scored in 9 of Bosnia and Herzegovina's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Bosnia and Herzegovina line-up (3-4-1-2): Nikola Vasilj, Nikola Katic, Stjepan Radeljic, Tarik Muharemovic, Esmir Bajraktarevic, Armin Gigovic, Ivan Sunjic, Sead Kolasinac, Kerim Alajbegovic, Ermedin Demirovic, Edin Dzeko.
Team Chances
A Poland win is offered at 1.70; the fair odds are 1.78, with a probability of 56.1%. The draw is 3.85, with fair odds of 4.03 and a probability of 24.8%, while a Bosnia and Herzegovina win is 5.00, 5.24 and 19.1% respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Poland win | 1.70 | 1.78 | 56.1% |
| Draw | 3.85 | 4.03 | 24.8% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina win | 5.00 | 5.24 | 19.1% |
Total Goals Prediction
Under 2.5 goals is 1.85 and Over 2.5 goals is 1.95. At the 3.5-goal mark, Under is clearly preferred at 1.32, compared with 3.10 for Over.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 3.5 | 1.32 | 3.10 |
Handicap Prediction
Poland (-1.5) is 2.75, while Bosnia and Herzegovina (+1.5) is 1.40. For the 1-goal line, Poland (-1) is available at 2.25 and Bosnia and Herzegovina (+1) at 1.65. Poland Draw No Bet is 1.25, compared with 3.45 for Bosnia and Herzegovina Draw No Bet.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.75 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.40 | |
| 2.25 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.65 | |
| 1.25 | 0 | 3.45 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - No is slightly shorter at 1.85, compared with 1.90 for Both teams to score - Yes, meaning at least one side may fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.90 |
| No | 1.85 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
17/100
|
1/4
|
23/20
|
| William Hill |
17/100
|
1/4
|
23/20
|
| 888sport |
17/100
|
1/4
|
23/20
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team Total Prediction
The team-total markets rate Poland's scoring potential considerably higher than Bosnia and Herzegovina's.
Poland Team Total
Poland team total: Under 0.5 is 4.80 and Over 0.5 is 1.13; Under 1 is 3.40 and Over 1 is 1.27. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are close: Under is 1.92 and Over is 1.83. For a team total of 2, Under is 1.45 and Over is 2.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.80 | 0.5 | 1.13 |
| 3.40 | 1 | 1.27 |
| 1.92 | 1.5 | 1.83 |
| 1.45 | 2 | 2.65 |
Bosnia and Herzegovina Team Total
Bosnia and Herzegovina team total: Under 0.5 is offered at 2.25 and Over 0.5 at 1.60. At the 1-goal line, Under is 1.50 compared with 2.50 for Over; at 1.5, it is 1.23 compared with 3.70.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 0.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.50 | 1 | 2.50 |
| 1.23 | 1.5 | 3.70 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Anastasios Papapetrou (Greece)
Matches — 6 (international fixtures, 2025/26 - 2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 25;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 4.1;
Matches with red cards — 0 of 6;
Matches with penalties — 1 of 6.
