Odds overview
Poland are clear favourites: a Poland win is available at 1.58, compared with 4.15 for a draw and 5.80 for a Romania win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.83 is slightly shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 1.97. For the main handicap, Romania (+1) at 1.85 are rated slightly more likely than Poland (-1) at 1.95.
Why Poland are favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: a Poland win is available at 1.58, a draw at 4.15 and a Romania win at 5.80.
- Romania come into the match on a run of two defeats in September's UEFA Nations League fixtures, having lost to Sweden (1:2) and Bosnia and Herzegovina (2:4).
- Poland have produced more consistent results at home and managed a draw against Bosnia and Herzegovina (0:0).
- Poland have beaten Romania in three consecutive matches.
Form and Line-up Poland
Poland have made a poor start to the UEFA Nations League, first drawing 0:0 with Bosnia and Herzegovina before losing 1:3 to Sweden, with Sebastian Szymański scoring their only goal. At home, however, Poland have looked assured and have lost just once in their last 10 matches.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 8 of Poland's last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
- Poland took fewer than 4.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- More than 3.5 yellow cards were shown in 9 of Poland's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable line-up (3-4-3): Marcin Bulka, Jakub Kiwior, Przemyslaw Wisniewski, Jan Bednarek, Matty Cash, Viktor Novak, Piotr Zieliński, Tymoteusz Puchacz, Sebastian Szymański, Mateusz Żukowski, Nicola Zalewski.
Unavailable: Filip Rózga, Adrian Benedyczak and Kamil Grabara (all injured); Jakub Kamiński (doubtful).
Form and Line-up Romania
Romania have made a poor start to the UEFA Nations League — defeats to Sweden (1:2) and Bosnia and Herzegovina (2:4). Gheorghe Hagi's side lost both matches but did not look helpless. Across the two games, Romania had five shots on target and scored with three of them, despite creating just 1.45 xG.
- Romania have conceded in 8 consecutive matches.
- Romania took fewer than 4.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
- Romania received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Ionuț Radu, Andrei Coubiș, Matei Ilie, Andrei Burca, Lisav Eissat, Darius Olaru, Vladimir Screciu, Vlad Dragomir, Nicolae Stanciu, Daniel Bîrligea, Valentin Mihăilă.
Teams' chances
A Poland win is offered at 1.58, with fair odds of 1.65 and a probability of 60.5%. A draw is quoted at 4.15, with fair odds of 4.34 and a probability of 23.0%; a Romania win is available at 5.80, with fair odds of 6.07 and a probability of 16.5%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Poland win | 1.58 | 1.65 | 60.5% |
| Draw | 4.15 | 4.34 | 23.0% |
| Romania win | 5.80 | 6.07 | 16.5% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.97 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.83, giving the Over a slight edge. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals at 1.38 is markedly shorter than Over 3.5 goals at 2.80.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.97 | 1.83 |
| 3.5 | 1.38 | 2.80 |
Handicap prediction
Poland (-1.5) at 2.50 have longer odds than Romania (+1.5) at 1.50. Between Poland (-1) at 1.95 and Romania (+1) at 1.85, the visitors' option has slightly shorter odds. At a zero handicap, Poland (0) at 1.20 are considerably shorter than Romania (0) at 4.15.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.50 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.50 | |
| 1.95 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.85 | |
| 1.20 | 0 | 4.15 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.85, while No is available at 1.90; the odds are almost equal, with a slight edge for both teams scoring.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.85 |
| No | 1.90 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
7/50
|
1/4
|
69/50
|
| 888sport |
7/50
|
1/4
|
13/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Poland — 1.5 goals; Romania — 0.5 goals.
Poland team total goals
Poland team total: Under 0.5 goals is available at 5.70 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.09; Under 1 goal is offered at 4.15 and Over 1 goal at 1.17. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 goals at 2.10 has longer odds than Over 1.5 goals at 1.70, while at the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals at 1.60 is shorter than Over 2 goals at 2.25.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.70 | 0.5 | 1.09 |
| 4.15 | 1 | 1.17 |
| 2.10 | 1.5 | 1.70 |
| 1.60 | 2 | 2.25 |
Romania team total goals
Romania team total: Under 0.5 goals at 2.20 has longer odds than Over 0.5 goals at 1.63. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is quoted at 1.47 against 2.60 for Over 1 goal, while Under 1.5 goals at 1.22 is markedly shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 3.80.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.20 | 0.5 | 1.63 |
| 1.47 | 1 | 2.60 |
| 1.22 | 1.5 | 3.80 |
