Odds overview
Portu to win at 2.05 is somewhat favoured over Napoli to win at 3.50, while the draw is available at 3.70. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.75 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.10. Portu Draw No Bet (0) at 1.52 is quoted considerably shorter than Napoli Draw No Bet (0) at 2.55.
Why Portu are favourites
Bookmakers make Portu favourites: a home win is available at 2.05, a Napoli win at 3.50 and a draw at 3.70.
- The Portuguese club have consistently picked up points this season, avoiding defeat in 7 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- The Italian side have struggled to win in Europe's leading club competition: Napoli have failed to win 5 of their last 7 Champions League matches.
Form and Line-up Portu
Portu have won three consecutive domestic matches and take that run into their European fixture. On 31 October, the Dragons thrashed Estoril Praia 4:0 at home. Before that, they edged Académico de Viseu 1:0 on 28 October and beat Gil Vicente 1:0 away on 24 October.
Gabri Veiga and Samu Aghehowa have scored for Portu in this season's Champions League. Pepe has one assist in three appearances.
- Portu have scored over 0.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- The teams have scored under 3.5 goals in 8 of Portu's last 10 home Champions League matches.
Probable line-up: Diogo Costa, Alberto Costa, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Sanusi, Pablo Rosario, Victor Froholdt, Gabri Veiga, André Silva, Borja Sainz, Pepe
Benoît Badiashile is out for Portu with a muscle injury, while Chris Smalling and Oskar Pietuszewski are also unavailable.
Form and Line-up Napoli
Napoli lost their most recent match 0:2 away to Juventus on 1 November. Before that setback, they had thrashed Monza 4:1 away on 28 October and drawn 3:3 with Roma on 24 October.
Scott McTominay is Napoli's top scorer in the Champions League, with 2 goals in 150 minutes. Matteo Politano and defender Amir Rrahmani have scored one goal each.
- Napoli have avoided defeat in 6 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Napoli have scored under 3.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
Probable line-up: Alex Meret, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Amir Rrahmani, Rafa Marín, Mathias Olivera, Kevin De Bruyne, Frank Anguissa, Scott McTominay, Rasmus Højlund, Matteo Politano, Noa Lang
Napoli's David Neres, Leonardo Spinazzola, Costantino Favasuli and Alisson Santos are sidelined with thigh injuries. Alessandro Buongiorno is out with a meniscus injury, Stanislav Lobotka has injured his ankle, and Vanja Milinković-Savić has a muscle injury. Rasmus Højlund is doubtful because of illness.
The teams' chances
A Portu win is quoted at 2.05; the fair odds are 2.14, implying a 46.7% probability. For a draw, the corresponding figures are 3.70, 3.86 and 25.9%; for a Napoli win, they are 3.50, 3.65 and 27.4%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portu win | 2.05 | 2.14 | 46.7% |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.86 | 25.9% |
| Napoli win | 3.50 | 3.65 | 27.4% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Over is shorter at 1.75 than Under at 2.10. At 3.5 goals, Under is favoured at 1.45 against 2.65 for Over.
| Goal line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.10 | 1.75 |
| 3.5 | 1.45 | 2.65 |
Handicap betting
At the -1.5 handicap line, Portu are available at 3.45 and Napoli at 6.00. At the 1.5 handicap, the odds are 1.08 for Portu and 1.25 for Napoli; at -1, they are 2.75 and 5.30. Portu (1) are available at 1.10 against 1.40 for Napoli (1), while the zero-handicap odds are 1.52 for Portu (0) and 2.55 for Napoli (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.45 | -1.5 | 6.00 |
| 1.08 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.75 | -1 | 5.30 |
| 1.10 | 1 | 1.40 |
| 1.52 | 0 | 2.55 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score – Yes is available at 1.63, while Both teams to score – No is available at 2.20; the latter means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.63 |
| No | 2.20 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/4
|
29/100
|
4/5
|
| William Hill |
3/10
|
29/100
|
4/5
|
| 888sport |
3/10
|
29/100
|
4/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals betting
Bookmakers have set the following team-goal lines for this match: Portu — 1.5 goals; Napoli — 1 goal.
Portu team goals
For Portu, Under 0.5 goals is available at 4.50 and Over 0.5 at 1.15. At the 1-goal line, Under is quoted at 3.15 and Over at 1.30; at 1.5 goals, the odds are 1.82 and 1.92 respectively. Under 2 goals is available at 1.40 against 2.80 for Over 2.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.50 | 0.5 | 1.15 |
| 3.15 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 1.82 | 1.5 | 1.92 |
| 1.40 | 2 | 2.80 |
Napoli team goals
For Napoli, Under 0.5 goals is available at 2.95 and Over 0.5 at 1.35. At the 1-goal line, the odds are 2.08 for Under and 1.70 for Over; at 1.5 goals, they are 1.50 and 2.55 respectively.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.95 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 2.08 | 1 | 1.70 |
| 1.50 | 1.5 | 2.55 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Michael Oliver (England)
Matches – 17 (international fixtures, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 4;
Matches with a red card – 1 of 17;
Matches with a penalty – 0 of 17.
