Portugal
Portugal vs Norway, a Matchday 4 fixture in Group A4 of the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, will take place at the Estádio do Dragão on 4 October 2026 at 14:45 EDT / 11:45 PDT.
Below, we examine the bookmakers' odds and betting options for this match.
Portugal beat Norway away (2:1) in September and now host them in Portu. The hosts began the tournament with two consecutive wins, including a victory over Wales (1:0), and will look to consolidate their outright lead in the group on home soil.
The hosts regularly create chances: Portugal scored at least one goal in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions. They also maintain their discipline, keeping their team total under 2.5 in 9 of 10 matches and securing results through measured control.
Norway remain dangerous in attack and scored in each of their last 10 matches across all competitions, with nine of those games producing over 2.5 goals. However, following their home defeat to Portugal, the Scandinavians face a demanding schedule: an away game in Wales on 1 October leaves very little recovery time before the match on 4 October 2026.
The main risk to the bet comes from the visitors' link-up play on the break, where Erling Haaland can punish any lapse in concentration. Another concern is the uncertain availability of Bruno Fernandes, who missed the previous match against Norway due to physical discomfort.
The greater quality throughout their squad, home advantage and the visitors' congested schedule give the hosts a clear edge. Prediction: Portugal to win.
Maurizio Mariani (Italy)
Matches — 12 (international fixtures, 2025/26–2026/27);
Fouls per match — 22;
Yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.8;
Matches with red cards — 2 of 12;
Matches with penalties — 2 of 12.
|
Jorge Jesus
|
coach | ||
| Player | Matches | Goals | |
|
Line-up
|
|||
Diogo Meireles da Costa
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
João Pedro Cavaco Cancelo
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Nuno Alexandre Tavares Mendes
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Renato Veiga
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Rúben Dias
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Bruno Miguel Borges Fernandes
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
João Maria Lobo Alves Palhares Costa Palhinha Gonçalves
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Vítor Machado Ferreira
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Francisco Conceição
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
Gonçalo Matias Ramos
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
João Félix Sequeira
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Substitutes
|
|||
Rui Tiago Dantas da Silva
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
|
Samuel Jumpe Soares
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
|
José Diogo Dalot Teixeira
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Nuno Albertino Varela Tavares
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Tomás Lemos Araújo
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Bernardo Silva
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
João Pedro Gonçalves Neves
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Rúben Diogo da Silva Neves
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Francisco António Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
Fábio Daniel Soares Silva
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
Pedro Lomba Neto
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
Rafael Leão
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Ståle Solbakken
|
coach | ||
| Player | Matches | Goals | |
|
Line-up
|
|||
Egil Selvik
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
David Møller Wolfe
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Kristoffer Vassbakk Köpp Ajer
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Leo Skiri Østigård
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Antonio Eromonsele Nordby Nusa
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Fredrik Aursnes
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Martin Ødegaard
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Patrick Berg
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Sander Gard Bolin Berge
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Andreas Rædergård Schjelderup
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Erling Haaland
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Substitutes
|
|||
|
Sander Tangvik
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
|
Ørjan Håskjold Nyland
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
Marcus Pedersen
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Odin Lurås Bjørtuft
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Sondre Klingen Langås
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Fredrik Sjøvold
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Kristian Thorstvedt
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Ole Didrik Blomberg
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Oscar Bobb
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Thelonious Gerard Aasgaard
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Erik Botheim
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
Jørgen Strand Larsen
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
Denmark
Portugal
Norway
Portugal
Portugal
Wales
Wales
Norway
Norway
Portugal
Norway
Denmark
Norway
Portugal
Portugal
Norway
Portugal
Norway
Norway
Portugal
| # | Team |
|
|
|
|
Matches played
|
W
|
D
|
L
|
G
|
Points
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
Portugal
|
-:- | 2:1 | 1:0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
9:4
|
12 | |
2 |
Denmark
|
2:4 | -:- | 2:0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
7:7
|
6 | |
3 |
Norway
|
1:2 | 3:2 | -:- | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
6:8
|
3 | |
4 |
Wales
|
-:- | 0:1 | 2:1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
2:5
|
3 |
