Odds overview
Racing Santander are slight favourites: a home win is available at around 2.30, compared with 3.00 for an away win and 3.55 for a draw. Over 2.5 goals is offered at 1.68, against 2.18 for Under 2.5 goals. In the main handicap market, Racing Santander Draw No Bet is shorter at 1.70, compared with 2.15 for Valencia Draw No Bet.
Why Racing Santander are favourites
Racing Santander to win is offered at 2.30, a draw at 3.55 and Valencia to win at 3.00. The hosts' slight advantage in the odds is consistent with the prospect of a high-scoring match.
- Racing Santander average 1.57 goals per match in La Liga, compared with Valencia's 0.57.
- Racing Santander are unbeaten at home this season, with two wins and a draw, while Valencia have lost both their away matches.
- Valencia go into the match after a change of manager — Javier Aguirre has only just started working with the team. The change does not guarantee an immediate improvement, and the visitors may struggle to play as a cohesive unit in his first match.
Form and Line-up Racing Santander
Racing Santander are an entertaining side — after emphatic wins, they can suffer heavy defeats, conceding at least three goals. At home, they beat Elche (3:2) and Alavés (2:1), and drew with Villarreal (2:2). Painful defeats against Rayo Vallecano (2:3), Barcelona (2:7) and Celta Vigo (0:5) followed; only against Getafe (0:1) did they lose by a single goal.
- Six of Racing Santander's seven matches in the 2026/27 La Liga season have had over 2.5 goals.
- Racing Santander's seven matches in the 2026/27 La Liga season have averaged 4.57 goals.
- Racing Santander have conceded in 18 consecutive matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Julen Agirrezabala, Álvaro Mantilla, Pablo Ramón, Jeanuël Belocian, Jorge Salinas, Matteo Prati, Iván Martín, Pablo García, Sergio Canales, Iñigo Vicente, Yassir Zabiri.
Unavailable: Simon Eriksson (doubtful).
Form and Line-up Valencia
Valencia beat Alavés 1:0 away and played out a goalless draw with Celta Vigo (0:0). They lost their other matches — five defeats by an aggregate score of 3:13, including a heavy loss to Barcelona (0:5).
- Valencia conceded first in five of their previous six matches.
- Six of Valencia's seven matches in the 2026/27 La Liga season have had under 10.5 corners.
- The second halves of six of Valencia's seven matches in the 2026/27 La Liga season have had over 0.5 goals.
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Stole Dimitrievski, Pablo Maffeo, Pepelu, Justin de Haas, José Gayà, Harvey Elliott, Aaron Mayol, Guido Rodríguez, Ryunosuke Sato, Javi Guerra, Hugo Duro.
Unavailable: Sergi Canós, José Copete, Diego Lopez, Umar Sadiq and David Otorbi (all injured); Arnaut Danjuma, Mouctar Diakhaby, Dimitri Foulquier and César Tárrega (all doubtful).
The teams' chances
Racing Santander to win is offered at 2.30, with fair odds of 2.41 and a probability of 41.4%. A draw is available at 3.55, with fair odds of 3.73 and a probability of 26.8%. Valencia to win is offered at 3.00, with fair odds of 3.15 and a probability of 31.8%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander to win | 2.30 | 2.41 | 41.4% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.73 | 26.8% |
| Valencia to win | 3.00 | 3.15 | 31.8% |
Total goals odds
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals has shorter odds than Under 2.5 goals — 1.68 against 2.18. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is the favourite at 1.50, while Over 3.5 goals is available at 2.55.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.18 | 1.68 |
| 3.5 | 1.50 | 2.55 |
Handicap odds
Odds are high for the -1.5 handicap: Racing Santander (-1.5) are at 4.15 and Valencia (-1.5) at 5.00. At +1.5, Racing Santander (+1.5) are offered at 1.12 and Valencia (+1.5) at 1.20. For -1, Racing Santander (-1) are at 3.30 and Valencia (-1) at 4.40; for +1, Racing Santander (+1) are at 1.16 and Valencia (+1) at 1.30. At handicap (0), Racing Santander Draw No Bet has shorter odds — 1.70 against 2.15 for Valencia Draw No Bet.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.15 | -1.5 | 5.00 |
| 1.12 | 1.5 | 1.20 |
| 3.30 | -1 | 4.40 |
| 1.16 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 1.70 | 0 | 2.15 |
Both teams to score odds
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.55, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is available at 2.35.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.55 |
| No | 2.35 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/25
|
29/100
|
57/100
|
| 888sport |
2/5
|
3/10
|
57/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals odds
The bookmakers have set the following team total goals lines for this match: Racing Santander — 1.5 goals; Valencia — 1.5 goals.
Racing Santander team total goals
Racing Santander team total goals: Under 0.5 — 4.20, Over 0.5 — 1.17; Under 1 — 3.05, Over 1 — 1.33. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are close: Under 1.5 — 1.80, Over 1.5 — 1.95. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is offered at 1.32 and Over 2 at 3.10.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 0.5 | 1.17 |
| 3.05 | 1 | 1.33 |
| 1.80 | 1.5 | 1.95 |
| 1.32 | 2 | 3.10 |
Valencia team total goals
Valencia team total goals: Under 0.5 — 3.50, Over 0.5 — 1.25; Under 1 — 2.40, Over 1 — 1.55. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is available at 1.60 against 2.30 for Over 1.5. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is offered at 1.20 and Over 2 at 3.90.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.40 | 1 | 1.55 |
| 1.60 | 1.5 | 2.30 |
| 1.20 | 2 | 3.90 |
