Odds overview
Racing Santander are slight favourites: a home win is available at around 2.30, compared with 3.00 for an away win and 3.55 for a draw. Over 2.5 goals is offered at 1.68, against 2.18 for Under 2.5. In the main handicap market, Racing Santander (0) are shorter at 1.70 than Valencia (0) at 2.15.
Why Racing Santander are favourites
Racing Santander to win is available at 2.30, the draw at 3.55 and Valencia to win at 3.00. The home side's slight advantage in the odds is consistent with a high-scoring match.
- Racing Santander average 1.57 goals per match in La Liga, compared with Valencia's 0.57.
- Racing Santander are unbeaten at home this season, with two wins and a draw, while Valencia have lost both of their two away matches.
- Valencia go into the match after a change of manager — Javier Aguirre has only just begun working with the team. The change does not guarantee an immediate improvement, and the visitors may struggle to play as a cohesive unit in his first match.
Form and Line-up Racing Santander
Racing Santander are an entertaining side — emphatic wins can be followed by heavy defeats in which they concede at least three goals. At home, they beat Elche (3:2) and Alavés (2:1) and drew with Villarreal (2:2). Painful defeats to Rayo Vallecano (2:3), Barcelona (2:7) and Celta Vigo (0:5) followed; only against Getafe (0:1) did they lose by a single goal.
- Six of Racing Santander's seven La Liga matches in 2026/27 have featured over 2.5 goals.
- Racing Santander's seven La Liga matches in 2026/27 have averaged 4.57 goals.
- Racing Santander have conceded in 18 consecutive matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Julen Agirrezabala, Álvaro Mantilla, Pablo Ramón, Jeanuël Belocian, Jorge Salinas, Matteo Prati, Iván Martín, Pablo García, Sergio Canales, Iñigo Vicente, Yassir Zabiri.
Unavailable: Simon Eriksson (doubtful).
Form and Line-up Valencia
Valencia beat Alavés 1:0 away from home and played out a goalless draw with Celta Vigo (0:0). They lost their other matches — five defeats by an aggregate score of 3:13, including a heavy loss to Barcelona (0:5).
- Valencia conceded first in five of their previous six matches.
- Six of Valencia's seven La Liga matches in 2026/27 have featured fewer than 10.5 corners.
- The second halves of six of Valencia's seven La Liga matches in 2026/27 have featured over 0.5 goals.
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Stole Dimitrievski, Pablo Maffeo, Pepelu, Justin de Haas, José Gayà, Harvey Elliott, Aaron Mayol, Guido Rodríguez, Ryunosuke Sato, Javi Guerra, Hugo Duro.
Unavailable: Sergi Canós, José Copete, Diego Lopez, Umar Sadiq and David Otorbi (all injured); Arnaut Danjuma, Mouctar Diakhaby, Dimitri Foulquier and César Tárrega (all doubtful).
The teams' chances
Racing Santander to win is offered at 2.30, with fair odds of 2.41 and a probability of 41.4%. The draw is at 3.55, with fair odds of 3.73 and a probability of 26.8%. Valencia to win is available at 3.00, with fair odds of 3.15 and a probability of 31.8%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander to win | 2.30 | 2.41 | 41.4% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.73 | 26.8% |
| Valencia to win | 3.00 | 3.15 | 31.8% |
Total goals prediction
At a line of 2.5 goals, Over 2.5 is shorter than Under 2.5 — 1.68 against 2.18. At a line of 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 becomes the favourite at 1.50, while Over 3.5 is available at 2.55.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.18 | 1.68 |
| 3.5 | 1.50 | 2.55 |
Handicap prediction
Odds are high for a -1.5 handicap: Racing Santander (-1.5) are at 4.15 and Valencia (-1.5) at 5.00. At a +1.5 handicap, Racing Santander (+1.5) are offered at 1.12 and Valencia (+1.5) at 1.20. For -1, Racing Santander (-1) are at 3.30 and Valencia (-1) at 4.40; for +1, Racing Santander (+1) are at 1.16 and Valencia (+1) at 1.30. At handicap (0), Racing Santander are shorter at 1.70 than Valencia at 2.15.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.15 | -1.5 | 5.00 |
| 1.12 | 1.5 | 1.20 |
| 3.30 | -1 | 4.40 |
| 1.16 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 1.70 | 0 | 2.15 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.55, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is at 2.35.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.55 |
| No | 2.35 |
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goals lines for this match: Racing Santander — 1.5 goals; Valencia — 1.5 goals.
Racing Santander team goals
Racing Santander team goals: Under 0.5 — 4.20, Over 0.5 — 1.17; Under 1 — 3.05, Over 1 — 1.33. At a line of 1.5, the odds are close: Under 1.5 — 1.80, Over 1.5 — 1.95. At a line of 2, Under 2 is offered at 1.32 and Over 2 at 3.10.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 0.5 | 1.17 |
| 3.05 | 1 | 1.33 |
| 1.80 | 1.5 | 1.95 |
| 1.32 | 2 | 3.10 |
Valencia team goals
Valencia team goals: Under 0.5 — 3.50, Over 0.5 — 1.25; Under 1 — 2.40, Over 1 — 1.55. At a line of 1.5, Under 1.5 is at 1.60 against 2.30 for Over 1.5. At a line of 2, Under 2 is offered at 1.20 and Over 2 at 3.90.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.40 | 1 | 1.55 |
| 1.60 | 1.5 | 2.30 |
| 1.20 | 2 | 3.90 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Luis Bestard (Spain)
Matches — 23 (La Liga and Segunda División, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 27;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 5.2;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 23;
Matches with a penalty — 4 of 23.
