Odds Overview
Rakow Czestochowa are favourites for Rakow Czestochowa to win at 1.85; the draw is priced at 3.65, while Hajduk Split to win is 3.90. In the main totals market, over 2.5 goals at 1.75 looks preferable to under 2.5 goals at 2.00. In the handicap market, Rakow Czestochowa Draw No Bet at 1.40 is notably shorter than Hajduk Split Draw No Bet at 2.75.
Why Rakow Czestochowa Are Favourites for the Match
A Rakow Czestochowa win is priced at 1.85, the draw is available at 3.65, and a Hajduk Split success is 3.90.
Rakow Czestochowa have had a full week of rest before the second leg thanks to the postponement of their domestic league match.
Hajduk Split played a league match four days before the return fixture and have had a shorter recovery period before their trip to Poland.
Form and Line-up Rakow Czestochowa
In the first meeting in Split, Rakow Czestochowa earned a draw (2:2), playing the closing spell with a man advantage after the 55th minute. Earlier in the UEFA Conference League, the Polish club beat Hammarby away (1:0), but lost to Cracovia (1:2) in a league match.
At the same time, in home European matches the team from Czestochowa have become reliable defensively: opponents have scored no more than one goal in 9 of the last 10 fixtures.
Key numbers:
Rakow Czestochowa have received no more than 2 yellow cards in their last 10 matches on the international stage.
There have been no more than 4 offsides in Rakow Czestochowa's last 10 home European matches.
Rakow Czestochowa have attempted more than 10 shots, including blocked efforts, in 8 of their last 10 home matches on the international stage.
Probable Rakow Czestochowa line-up (3-4-3): Kacper Trelowski — Fran Tudor — Bogdan Racovitan — Stratos Svarnas — Michael Ameyaw — Oskar Repka — Vladyslav Kochergin — Eric Otieno — Mohamed Diaby-Fadiga — Mahir Emreli — Oliwier Kwiatkowski.
Form and Line-up Hajduk Split
The Croatian club led twice in their home game against Rakow Czestochowa, but finished it at 2:2 while holding the result with 10 men. After that, Hajduk Split thrashed Osijek (4:0) in the Croatian league, where their opponents were down to 10 men as early as the 32nd minute, having previously beaten Gorica (2:1).
Opponents of the team from Split have managed no more than five shots on target in 9 of their last 10 European matches, while the total number of goals has not exceeded four in 9 of the last 10 games involving Hajduk Split in all competitions.
Key numbers:
Hajduk Split's opponents have been caught offside a maximum of 2 times in each of their last 10 European matches.
Hajduk Split have landed Both teams to score in five of their last seven matches in all competitions.
Hajduk Split have scored 2+ goals in six consecutive games.
Probable Hajduk Split line-up (4-2-3-1): Toni Silic — Ron Raci — Dario Maresic — Simun Hrgovic — Niko Sigur — Rokas Pukstas — Dalisson De Almeida — Marin Soticek — Abdoulie Sanyang — Michele Sego — Alberto del Moral.
Team Chances
The no-margin assessment gives Rakow Czestochowa to win a 50.5% chance at average odds of 1.85 and a fair price of 1.98. The draw accounts for 25.6%: 3.65 versus 3.91; Hajduk Split to win is at 23.9%, with 3.90 and 4.18 respectively.
Outcome | Average odds | No-margin average odds | No-margin probability |
Rakow Czestochowa win | 1.85 | 1.98 | 50.5% |
Draw | 3.65 | 3.91 | 25.6% |
Hajduk Split win | 3.90 | 4.18 | 23.9% |
Total Goals Prediction
On the 2.5 line, over 2.5 goals at 1.75 is priced shorter than under 2.5 goals at 2.00. At the 3.5 mark, by contrast, under 3.5 goals at 1.40 is significantly preferable to over 3.5 goals at 2.70.
Under | Line | Over |
2.00 | 2.5 | 1.75 |
1.40 | 3.5 | 2.70 |
Handicap Prediction
Rakow Czestochowa handicap (-1.5) at 3.00 is priced shorter than Hajduk Split handicap (-1.5) at 6.90. On the 1.5 handicap, Rakow Czestochowa (+1.5) is shorter — 1.06 versus 1.30 for Hajduk Split (+1.5); on the -1 line, it is Rakow Czestochowa (-1) at 2.50 versus Hajduk Split (-1) at 6.00. For a handicap of 1, the prices are 1.08 on Rakow Czestochowa (+1) and 1.50 on Hajduk Split (+1), while on the zero handicap it is 1.40 on Rakow Czestochowa Draw No Bet against 2.75 on Hajduk Split Draw No Bet.
Rakow Czestochowa | Handicap | Hajduk Split |
3.00 | (-1.5) | 6.90 |
1.06 | (+1.5) | 1.30 |
2.50 | (-1) | 6.00 |
1.08 | (+1) | 1.50 |
1.40 | (0) | 2.75 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.67 is priced shorter than Both teams to score — No at 2.13: the second option means at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.67 |
No | 2.13 |
Double Chance Prediction
The shortest prices are on 1X at 1.23 and 12 at 1.25, while X2 is rated higher at 1.90.
1X | 12 | X2 |
23/100
|
1/4
|
9/10
|
Individual Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following individual totals: Rakow Czestochowa — 1.5 goals, Hajduk Split — 1 goal.
Rakow Czestochowa Individual Total
Rakow Czestochowa: over 0.5 goals at 1.14 is significantly shorter than under 0.5 goals at 4.70; on the 1 line, it is 1.28 on over 1 goal versus 3.35 on under 1 goal. For the 1.5 mark, the prices are almost level: under 1.5 goals at 1.88, over 1.5 goals at 1.82. On the 2 line, under 2 goals at 1.43 is preferable, while over 2 goals is priced at 2.65.
Under | Individual total | Over |
4.70 | 0.5 | 1.14 |
3.35 | 1 | 1.28 |
1.88 | 1.5 | 1.82 |
1.43 | 2 | 2.65 |
Hajduk Split Individual Total
Hajduk Split: over 0.5 goals at 1.40 is priced shorter than under 0.5 goals at 2.70. On the 1 line, the prices are close — 1.80 on under 1 goal and 1.90 on over 1 goal; at the 1.5 mark, under 1.5 goals at 1.38 is notably shorter than over 1.5 goals at 2.80.
Under | Individual total | Over |
2.70 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
1.80 | 1 | 1.90 |
1.38 | 1.5 | 2.80 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Aliyar Aghayev (Azerbaijan)
Matches — 9 (international matches, 2025-2026);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.6;
Matches with red cards — 3 out of 9;
Matches with penalties — 1 out of 9.
