Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Rayo Vallecano are slight favourites at 2.35; Celta de Vigo are 3.10 to win and the draw is 3.30. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.70 is considered more likely than Over 2.5 goals at 2.13. Rayo Vallecano Draw No Bet (0) is available at 1.70, while Celta de Vigo Draw No Bet (0) is 2.17.
Why Rayo Vallecano are favourites
The bookmakers make Rayo Vallecano favourites. A Rayo Vallecano win is available at 2.35, the draw at 3.30 and a Celta de Vigo win at 3.10.
- Rayo Vallecano are unbeaten in 9 of their last 10 home matches in La Liga.
- Celta de Vigo have failed to win 6 of their last 7 away matches in all competitions.
- Rayo Vallecano are unbeaten in 10 consecutive home matches against Celta de Vigo.
Form and Line-up Rayo Vallecano
On 24 October, Rayo Vallecano suffered a heavy 0:3 home defeat to Elche, having previously drawn 1:1 with Osasuna and 1:1 with Getafe. Their most recent match went better, however — Rayo Vallecano beat Recreativo 3:2 after extra time in the Copa del Rey, scoring twice in extra time.
- Rayo Vallecano's opponents have scored at least once in each of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Rayo Vallecano have taken more than 13.5 shots in 9 of their last 10 home matches in La Liga.
Probable Rayo Vallecano line-up (4-2-3-1): Emil Audero, Iván Balliu, Florian Lejeune, Mouad Sadiq, Adrià Pedrosa, Pedro Díaz, Unai López, Isi Palazón, Jorge de Frutos, Álvaro García, Alemão.
Absentees: Augusto Batalla, Andrei Rațiu, Luiz Felipe, Pathé Ciss (all injured).
Form and Line-up Celta de Vigo
On 25 October, Celta de Vigo drew 0:0 at home with Real Betis. Before that, they won 2:1 away to Celtic in the UEFA Europa League and 2:1 away to Alavés in La Liga. Celta de Vigo were due to face Salamanca in the cup before travelling to Madrid, but the match was postponed until the November break after the programme of fixtures was cancelled following a railway disaster.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in 9 of Celta de Vigo's last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Celta de Vigo have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in each of their last 10 away matches in La Liga.
Probable Celta de Vigo line-up (3-4-3): Ionuț Radu, Javi Rodríguez, Yoel Lago, Marcos Alonso, Javier Rueda, Ilaix Moriba, Aleix Febas, Javi Galan, Hugo González, Pablo Durán, Hugo Álvarez.
Absentees: Carl Starfelt, Borja Iglesias, Miguel Román, Álvaro Núñez, Jones El-Abdellaoui (all injured).
Match outcome probabilities
A Rayo Vallecano win has average odds of 2.35, fair odds of 2.47 and a probability of 40.5%. The corresponding figures are 3.30, 3.47 and 28.8% for a draw, and 3.10, 3.26 and 30.7% for a Celta de Vigo win.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano win | 2.35 | 2.47 | 40.5% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.47 | 28.8% |
| Celta de Vigo win | 3.10 | 3.26 | 30.7% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.70 is favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 2.13. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 goals at 1.62 is favoured over Under 2 goals at 2.20. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals at 1.23 is the clear favourite, while Over 3.5 goals is 3.75.
| Goals line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.70 | 2.13 |
| 2 | 2.20 | 1.62 |
| 3.5 | 1.23 | 3.75 |
Handicap prediction
Rayo Vallecano (-1.5) at 4.60 has shorter odds than Celta de Vigo (-1.5) at 6.30. The odds for a +1.5 handicap are close: Rayo Vallecano (+1.5) are 1.07 and Celta de Vigo (+1.5) are 1.14. At the -1 line, Rayo Vallecano (-1) are 3.80 and Celta de Vigo (-1) are 5.40; at the +1 line, they are 1.10 and 1.22 respectively. At a handicap of 0, Rayo Vallecano Draw No Bet (0) at 1.70 are favoured over Celta de Vigo Draw No Bet (0) at 2.17.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.60 | -1.5 | 6.30 |
| 1.07 | 1.5 | 1.14 |
| 3.80 | -1 | 5.40 |
| 1.10 | 1 | 1.22 |
| 1.70 | 0 | 2.17 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes and Both teams to score — No are both offered at 1.88; the latter means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.88 |
| No | 1.88 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/25
|
33/100
|
53/100
|
| 888sport |
9/25
|
33/100
|
3/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal lines: Rayo Vallecano — 1 goal; Celta de Vigo — 1 goal.
Rayo Vallecano team goals
For Rayo Vallecano, Over 0.5 goals at 1.30 has much shorter odds than Under 0.5 goals at 3.25. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal at 1.63 is favoured, while Under 1 goal is 2.20. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals has shorter odds at 1.53; Over 1.5 goals is 2.45.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.25 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.20 | 1 | 1.63 |
| 1.53 | 1.5 | 2.45 |
Celta de Vigo team goals
For Celta de Vigo, Over 0.5 goals at 1.42 has much shorter odds than Under 0.5 goals at 2.65. At the 1-goal line, the odds are close: Under 1 goal is 1.80 and Over 1 goal is 1.95. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is 1.35 and Over 1.5 goals is 2.90.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 0.5 | 1.42 |
| 1.80 | 1 | 1.95 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 2.90 |
