Odds overview
Rayo Vallecano to win is available at around 1.75, the draw at 3.85 and Elche to win at 4.60. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals (1.82) is marginally favoured over Under 2.5 goals (2.00). For handicaps, Rayo Vallecano (-1.5) at 2.85 is favoured over Elche (-1.5) at 8.50.
Why Rayo Vallecano are favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: Rayo Vallecano to win is available at 1.75, compared with 3.85 for a draw and 4.60 for an Elche win.
- Rayo Vallecano are unbeaten in 10 consecutive home matches in La Liga.
- Elche are 18th in the table with 7 points after nine rounds.
- Rayo Vallecano have beaten Elche in four consecutive home meetings.
Form and Line-up Rayo Vallecano
In the last round, Rayo Vallecano drew 1:1 away to Getafe, despite their opponents going down to ten men in the 28th minute. Before that, Rayo Vallecano drew 1:1 with Osasuna and beat Espanyol 2:1.
- Rayo Vallecano took more than 4.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 home matches in La Liga.
- There were more than 9.5 corners in 9 of Rayo Vallecano's last 10 home matches in La Liga.
- Rayo Vallecano had more than 13.5 shots, including blocked shots, in 9 of their last 10 home games in La Liga.
Probable Rayo Vallecano line-up (4-2-3-1):Emil Audero, Iván Balliu, Florian Lejeune, Mujaid Sadick, Adrià Pedrosa, Pedro Díaz, Unai López, Isi Palazón, Sergio Camello, Álvaro García, Alemão.
Absentees:Augusto Batalla, Luiz Felipe (both injured),Andrei Rațiu, Randy Nteka (both doubtful), Pathé Ciss (suspended).Form and Line-up Elche
Elche drew their last two matches 0:0 — first at home to Celta Vigo and then away to Villarreal. Before those games, however, they beat Espanyol 3:1, with Fer Niño scoring twice.
- Elche took fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 away matches in La Liga.
- Elche's opponents committed more than 13.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 away matches in La Liga.
- Elche's opponents received more than 1.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 away games in La Liga.
Probable Elche line-up (5-3-2): Matías Dituro, Buba Sangaré, Javi Morcillo, Víctor Chust, Roy Revivo, Germán Valera, Gonzalo Villar, Federico Redondo, Thomas Lemar, Abiel Osorio, Lucas Cepeda.
Absentees:Marc Aguado (injured).
Teams' chances
Rayo Vallecano to win is offered at 1.75; the fair odds are 1.83, implying a 54.5% probability. The draw is quoted at 3.85, with fair odds of 4.04 and a 24.8% probability; the corresponding figures for an Elche win are 4.60, 4.82 and 20.7%. Rayo Vallecano are clear favourites over Elche.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano win | 1.75 | 1.83 | 54.5% |
| Draw | 3.85 | 4.04 | 24.8% |
| Elche win | 4.60 | 4.82 | 20.7% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.00 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.82, so the market leans slightly towards the over. At 3.5 goals, Under is 1.38 against 2.80 for Over: exceeding that threshold is considered markedly less likely.
| Goals line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.00 | 1.82 |
| 3.5 | 1.38 | 2.80 |
Handicap prediction
Rayo Vallecano (-1.5) are available at 2.85, while Elche (-1.5) are at 8.50. At the 1.5 handicap line, Rayo Vallecano (+1.5) are quoted at 1.04 against 1.37 for Elche (+1.5). At the -1 line, the odds are 2.30 for Rayo Vallecano (-1) and 7.30 for Elche (-1); at the +1 line, they are 1.05 for Rayo Vallecano (+1) and 1.62 for Elche (+1). At a zero handicap, Rayo Vallecano (0) at 1.30 are much shorter than Elche (0) at 3.15.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.85 | -1.5 | 8.50 |
| 1.04 | 1.5 | 1.37 |
| 2.30 | -1 | 7.30 |
| 1.05 | 1 | 1.62 |
| 1.30 | 0 | 3.15 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes is quoted at 1.75, while Both teams to score – No is 2.00. The shorter odds for Yes suggest a slightly greater likelihood of both sides scoring; No means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.75 |
| No | 2.00 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/50
|
29/100
|
1/1
|
| 888sport |
1/5
|
1/4
|
21/20
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Rayo Vallecano at 1.5 goals and Elche at 1 goal.
Rayo Vallecano team total goals
For Rayo Vallecano's team total, Under 0.5 goals is 5.10 and Over 0.5 goals is 1.12; at the 1-goal line, the respective odds are 3.70 and 1.23. At 1.5 goals, the odds are close: Under 1.5 is 1.97 and Over 1.5 is 1.77. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is quoted at 1.48 and Over 2 at 2.55, so the market is more cautious about Rayo Vallecano scoring more than two goals.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.10 | 0.5 | 1.12 |
| 3.70 | 1 | 1.23 |
| 1.97 | 1.5 | 1.77 |
| 1.48 | 2 | 2.55 |
Elche team total goals
For Elche's team total, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 2.50 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.50. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is 1.67 against 2.15 for Over 1; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is 1.30 and Over 1.5 is 3.20. The longer odds for the overs reflect a cautious view of Elche's scoring prospects.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.50 | 0.5 | 1.50 |
| 1.67 | 1 | 2.15 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 3.20 |
