The match of the 21st round of the La Liga between Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna will take place 24 january at Campo de Vallecas stadium in Madrid. Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano secured a long-awaited win over Mallorca (2:1) two weeks ago, but no surge of enthusiasm followed. In the last round of the La Liga the home side suffered a heavy defeat away at Celta (0:3). On the one hand, that loss was only the third in the last nine league matches. At the same time, across the last 10 fixtures in this competition the home side managed to win only that match against Mallorca. In the table the club sits 13th, however the gap from the relegation zone is only 3 points. Note that since the start of the season in La Liga the home side has scored a total of 16 goals; only Getafe (15) and Oviedo (11) have scored fewer.
- The team failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of the previous 7 league matches.
- At least 2 goals were scored in 5 of the last 7 Rayo Vallecano games in La Liga.
- The home side has not conceded more than 1 goal in 10 consecutive home matches in this competition.
Potential Rayo Vallecano Lineup (4-3-3)*
Augusto Batalla – Alfonso Espino, Florian Lejeune, Noblel Mendy, Pep Chavarria – Isi Palazon, Pedro Diaz, Gerard Gumbau – Carlos Martin, Jorge De Frutos, Alvaro Garcia.
Pape Siss returned from national team duty. Defender Andrei Ratiu is unavailable due to injury. The suspension of midfielder Oscar Valentin has ended, but now defender Noblel Mendy is serving a suspension. The participation of defenders Abdula Mumina and Ivan Balliu is in doubt.
Osasuna
Osasuna claimed a hard-fought 3:2 victory over Oviedo in the last La Liga match, with a dramatic winning goal scored in the 92nd minute. The visitors notched their first win since the start of 2026, and across the last seven rounds of La Liga the team has recorded only two defeats. Osasuna are experiencing their best run of the season, which allowed the club to overtake Rayo Vallecano and move up to 12th place in the table. Note that in the current championship the visitors have still not won away from home, with 8 of the last 10 away matches ending in defeat.
- The team conceded in 14 of the last 15 away La Liga games.
- The visitors won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of the previous 7 La Liga matches.
- Osasuna scored in 6 of the last 8 fixtures in this competition.
Potential Osasuna Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
Sergio Herrera – Valentin Rosier, Alejandro Catena, Jorge Herrando, Javier Galan – Moi Gomez, Lucas Torro – Victor Munoz, Aimar Oroz, Ruben Garcia – Ante Budimir.
The suspension of midfielder Jon Moncayola has ended, but defender Alejandro Catena is now serving a suspension. Midfielder Iker Benito is unavailable due to injury.
Referee
Miguel Sesma Espinosa (Spain)
Matches – 10 (La Liga, 2025/26);
Yellow/Red Cards Shown (Including Second Yellows) – 26;
Average Yellow/Red Per Match – 2.6;
Red Cards Shown – 0;
Fouls Average Per Match – 26;
Penalties – 20%.
Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna: Match Prediction
Rayo Vallecano are severely lacking winning results, but at the same time the home side does not lose very often. Crucially, for several months the home side has been losing only on the road. At home the club has suffered only one defeat in nine league matches this season, and the current unbeaten run in this competition stretches to six matches (two wins, four draws). However, it is worth noting the rather low scoring output: at their stadium in La Liga Rayo Vallecano have never scored more than two goals in a game, totaling seven goals in nine matches.
Osasuna are on the rise: last Saturday they extended their best run of the season and avoided defeat in five of the last seven La Liga meetings. However, even during this period, as throughout the tournament, the visitors have not managed to win away from home. Over the last 10 away La Liga games the club has collected only 2 points – the fewest in the league. It should be noted that in those 10 matches Osasuna never kept a clean sheet, but they consistently conceded no more than two goals.
Prediction: Rayo Vallecano Double Chance + Rayo Vallecano Under 2.5 Individual Total
* For each team the starting lineup shown is the one used in its previous match in this competition.
