Odds overview
Leipzig are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.55, while the draw and an away win are quoted at 4.60 and 5.50. In the main total market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.45 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.60. In the handicap market, Leipzig (-1) at 1.83 looks more likely than Borussia Mönchengladbach (+1) at 1.97.
Why Leipzig are favourites
Bookmakers consider the hosts clear favourites: RB Leipzig to win is available at 1.55, the draw is offered at 4.60, and Borussia Mönchengladbach to win is available at 5.50.
- RB Leipzig have consistently dominated at home in ball progression and dangerous chances, winning the shot-count battle in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach's away statistics point to persistent problems: they have lost the shots-on-target count and failed to win any of their last 10 league away matches.
Form and Line-up RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig begin the new season under Martin Demichelis. The team significantly strengthened their attacking options during the summer, with the return of Christopher Nkunku one of the most notable developments. The French forward returned to the club on loan, giving the coaching staff another strong option between the lines and in the final third.
In home matches, Leipzig traditionally look to take the initiative and apply constant pressure on the opposition goal.
Key numbers:
RB Leipzig committed no more than 11 fouls in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
At least three goals were scored in 8 of RB Leipzig's last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
RB Leipzig's opponents registered a maximum of five shots on target in 9 of their last 10 home league matches.
Probable RB Leipzig line-up (4-3-3): Maarten Vandevoordt — Ridle Baku, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba, David Raum — Nicolas Seiwald, Ezechiel Banzuzi, Brian Gruda — Johan Bakayoko, Tidiam Gomis, Antonio Nusa.
Form and Line-up Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach retained Eugen Polanski as head coach, giving him the opportunity to prepare the team fully for the new season. Tim Kleindienst's return to fitness is an important development for the visitors: after a lengthy recovery period, he is once again regarded as one of the key players in attack.
The squad has also added further options in attack. Isac Lidberg, Shuto Machino, Tomas Cvancara, Franck Honorat and Hugo Bolin are available, so the starting combination may vary depending on Polanski's chosen system.
Mönchengladbach face a difficult task away from home: against Leipzig, they are likely to spend more time without the ball and look for opportunities on the break.
Key numbers:
Borussia Mönchengladbach scored no more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga away matches.
In 8 of their last 10 away league matches, the team registered no more than four shots on target.
Borussia Mönchengladbach players received no more than two yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 away matches.
Probable Borussia Mönchengladbach line-up (4-2-3-1): Moritz Nicolas — Daiki Hashioka, Ko Itakura, Kevin Diks, Lukas Ullrich — Philipp Sander, Kevin Stoger — Wael Mohya, Hugo Bolin, Robin Hack — Tim Kleindienst.
Team chances
A home win at 1.55 corresponds to fair odds of 1.62 and a probability of 61.8%. The draw is quoted at 4.60, with fair odds of 4.80 and a probability of 20.8%; an away win is offered at 5.50, with fair odds of 5.74 and a probability of 17.4%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
Leipzig to win | 1.55 | 1.62 | 61.8% |
Draw | 4.60 | 4.80 | 20.8% |
Borussia Mönchengladbach to win | 5.50 | 5.74 | 17.4% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.45 is considerably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.60. At the 3.5-goal total, the balance changes: Under 3.5 goals is available at 1.72, with Over 3.5 goals at 2.13.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.60 | 1.45 |
3.5 | 1.72 | 2.13 |
Handicap prediction
Leipzig (-1.5) are quoted at 2.30, while Borussia Mönchengladbach (+1.5) are at 1.60. On the one-goal line, Leipzig (-1) are available at 1.83 compared with 1.97 for Borussia Mönchengladbach (+1). With a zero handicap, Leipzig (0) at 1.20 are considerably shorter than Borussia Mönchengladbach (0) at 3.90.
Home | Handicap | Away |
2.30 | -1.5 | — |
— | 1.5 | 1.60 |
1.83 | -1 | — |
— | 1 | 1.97 |
1.20 | 0 | 3.90 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.55 and looks more likely than Both teams to score - No at 2.35, which means at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.55 |
No | 2.35 |
Double chance prediction
The 1X and 12 double-chance markets are priced almost identically at 1.17 and 1.20 respectively. X2 at 2.50 looks less likely.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.17 | 1.20 | 2.50 |
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Leipzig — 2 goals, Borussia Mönchengladbach — 1 goal.
Leipzig team total
Leipzig: Over 0.5 goals at 1.05 is considerably more likely than Under 0.5 goals at 7.10. At the 1.5-goal line, Over 1.5 goals is available at 1.50 compared with 2.55 for Under 1.5 goals; at 2 goals, Over 2 goals is at 1.78 and Under 2 goals at 1.97. For the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is shorter at 1.60, while Over 2.5 goals is at 2.30.
Under | Team total | Over |
7.10 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
2.55 | 1.5 | 1.50 |
1.97 | 2 | 1.78 |
1.60 | 2.5 | 2.30 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach team total
Borussia Mönchengladbach: Over 0.5 goals at 1.42 is more likely than Under 0.5 goals at 2.65. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is quoted at 1.75 and Over 1 goal at 2.02; at the 1.5-goal mark, Under 1.5 goals at 1.35 is considerably shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 2.95.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.65 | 0.5 | 1.42 |
1.75 | 1 | 2.02 |
1.35 | 1.5 | 2.95 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Sven Jablonski (Germany)
Matches — 17 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 21;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 2.9;
Matches with red cards — 0 of 17;
Matches with penalties — 3 of 17.
