Odds overview
Leipzig are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.55, while the draw and an away win are quoted at 4.90–5.00. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.30 is much shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 3.25. For the handicap (0) market, Leipzig at 1.25 are much shorter than Eintracht Frankfurt at 3.65.
Why Leipzig are favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: Leipzig are 1.55 to win, the draw is 4.90, and an Eintracht Frankfurt victory is 5.00.
- Leipzig have been highly consistent at home, avoiding defeat in 9 of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
- The hosts' attack regularly causes opponents problems: they have scored more than 1.5 goals in 8 of their previous 10 league matches at the Red Bull Arena.
Form and Line-up Leipzig
Leipzig lost 0:2 away to Bayer Leverkusen in the last round, but they consistently take the initiative at home. In their last 10 home Bundesliga matches, Leipzig have attempted at least 13 shots and limited opponents to no more than 5 shots on target.
- Leipzig have taken more than 4.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
- The total number of offsides exceeded 2.5 in 8 of Leipzig's last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
- The total number of yellow cards was under 4.5 in 8 of Leipzig's last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Maarten Vandevoordt, David Raum, Maxime Estève, Willi Orban, Ridle Baku, Andrija Maksimovic, Ezechiel Banzuzi, Antonio Nusa, Nicolas Seiwald, Johan Bakayoko, Rômulo
Form and Line-up Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt drew 2:2 with Freiburg in their previous match. Away from home, the Frankfurt side prefer to play defensively: in 9 of their last 10 away league matches, they attempted fewer than 13 shots and had no more than 5 shots on target.
- Eintracht Frankfurt did not win the corner count in 9 of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
- Eintracht Frankfurt committed fewer than 11.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
- The total number of offsides was under 4.5 in 9 of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 10 Bundesliga matches.
Probable line-up (3-4-1-2): Kauã Santos, Keita Kosugi, Lilian Brassier, Robin Koch, Elias Baum, Can Uzun, Raphael Onyedika, Noël Aséko Nkili, Ritsu Doan, Jonathan Burkardt, Younes Ebnoutalib
The teams' chances
A Leipzig win is given a 61.5% chance: the odds are 1.55, with fair odds of 1.63. The draw has a 19.5% chance, with odds of 4.90 and fair odds of 5.14; an Eintracht Frankfurt win has a 19.1% chance, with odds of 5.00 and fair odds of 5.25.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leipzig win | 1.55 | 1.63 | 61.5% |
| Draw | 4.90 | 5.14 | 19.5% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt win | 5.00 | 5.25 | 19.1% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.30 is much shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 3.25. The gap is smaller at 3.5 goals: Over 3.5 goals is 1.75 and Under 3.5 goals is 2.07.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 3.25 | 1.30 |
| 3.5 | 2.07 | 1.75 |
Handicap prediction
Leipzig (-1.5) are offered at 2.25, compared with 7.50 for Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5). At the +1.5 line, Leipzig (+1.5) are 1.05 and Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5) are 1.60; at -1, the respective odds are 1.83 and 6.50. Leipzig (+1) at 1.06 are shorter than Eintracht Frankfurt (+1) at 1.98, while Leipzig (0) at 1.25 are shorter than Eintracht Frankfurt (0) at 3.65.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | -1.5 | 7.50 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.83 | -1 | 6.50 |
| 1.06 | 1 | 1.98 |
| 1.25 | 0 | 3.65 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.40 looks more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.75, which requires at least one team to fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.40 |
| No | 2.75 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: Leipzig — 2.5 goals; Eintracht Frankfurt — 1 goal.
Leipzig team goals
For Leipzig team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.03 is much shorter than Under 0.5 at 8.50. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 is 1.60 compared with 2.25 for Under 2; at 2.5, Under 2.5 at 1.75 is slightly shorter than Over 2.5 at 2.05. At 3 goals, Under 3 is 1.40 and Over 3 is 2.75.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 8.50 | 0.5 | 1.03 |
| 2.25 | 2 | 1.60 |
| 1.75 | 2.5 | 2.05 |
| 1.40 | 3 | 2.75 |
Eintracht Frankfurt team goals
For Eintracht Frankfurt team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.30 is shorter than Under 0.5 at 3.20. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 is 1.65 compared with 2.20 for Under 1; at 1.5, Under 1.5 at 1.50 is shorter than Over 1.5 at 2.45.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.20 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.20 | 1 | 1.65 |
| 1.50 | 1.5 | 2.45 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Daniel Siebert (Germany)
Matches — 18 (Bundesliga, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 21;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.1;
Matches with a red card — 2 of 18;
Matches with a penalty — 7 of 18.
