Odds overview
Real Madrid are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.27, while the draw and a Sevilla win are around 6.30 and 10.00 respectively. In the goals market, Over 2.5 at 1.42 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.65. In the handicap market, Real Madrid (-1.5) are at 1.75, shorter than Sevilla (+1.5) at 2.10; for a handicap of 0, Real Madrid are at 1.06, much shorter than Sevilla at 6.60.
Why Real Madrid are favourites
The bookmakers give the hosts a clear advantage: Real Madrid are offered at 1.27 to win, the draw is at 6.30 and a Sevilla victory is available at 10.00.
- Real Madrid are fourth in the table with 18 points from 8 matches and a goal difference of 19:8.
- Real Madrid are unbeaten in nine consecutive matches at the Santiago Bernabéu in all competitions.
- Real Madrid are unbeaten in 15 consecutive meetings with Sevilla.
Form and Line-up Real Madrid
In their latest UEFA Champions League match, Real Madrid beat AS Roma 4:3, scoring three times in seven minutes late on to come back from 1:3. In La Liga, after losing to Atlético Madrid (1:2), Real Madrid beat Villarreal (1:0), with Yan Diomande scoring his first goal for the club.
- Real Madrid have scored at least two goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches in La Liga.
- Over 8.5 corners have been taken in 8 of Real Madrid's last 10 home league matches.
- The total number of fouls has not exceeded 26.5 in 9 of Real Madrid's last 10 home games in La Liga.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Antonio Rüdiger, Ibrahima Konaté, Álvaro Carreras, Federico Valverde, Aurélien Tchouaméni, Arda Güler, Jude Bellingham, Yan Diomande, Kylian Mbappé.
Unavailable: Vinicius Junior (suspended); Raul Asencio, Ferland Mendy, Rodrygo and Éder Militão (all injured).
Form and Line-up Sevilla
In the previous round, Sevilla let a lead slip away to Levante (3:3): they led 2:0, went back in front in stoppage time, but conceded an equaliser. Sevilla have lost only once in their last five matches (1:3 to Barcelona) and taken eight points.
- At least two goals have been scored in 6 of Sevilla's 8 La Liga matches this season.
- Sevilla have committed more than 11.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 away league matches.
- At least one goal has been scored in the second half of all 8 of Sevilla's La Liga matches this season.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Odysseas Vlachodimos, Juan Iglesias, Kike Salas, Andrés Castrín, Gabriel Suazo, Giorgi Kochorashvili, Lucien Agoumé, Alfonso González, Youssouf Fofana, Peque Fernández, Robbie Ure.
Unavailable: Marcão, Lucas Stassin and Iker Muñoz (all injured); Isaac Romero (suspended).
Teams' chances
Real Madrid to win is offered at 1.27, with fair odds of 1.33 and a fair probability of 75.3%. The corresponding figures are 6.30, 6.59 and 15.2% for a draw, and 10.00, 10.46 and 9.6% for Sevilla to win.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid to win | 1.27 | 1.33 | 75.3% |
| Draw | 6.30 | 6.59 | 15.2% |
| Sevilla to win | 10.00 | 10.46 | 9.6% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.42 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.65. The odds are closer at the 3.5-goal line: Under 3.5 is 1.75 and Over 3.5 is 2.10.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.65 | 1.42 |
| 3.5 | 1.75 | 2.10 |
Handicap prediction
Real Madrid (-1.5) are at 1.75 and Sevilla (+1.5) at 2.10. At the one-goal handicap line, Real Madrid (-1) are listed at 1.35 and Sevilla (+1) at 2.90. For a handicap of 0, Real Madrid are at 1.06 and Sevilla at 6.60.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 2.10 | |
| 1.35 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.90 | |
| 1.06 | 0 | 6.60 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.83, while No is 1.91: the odds are close, with a slight edge for both teams finding the net.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.83 |
| No | 1.91 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
3/50
|
1/10
|
3/1
|
| 888sport |
1/20
|
3/25
|
29/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team total goals lines: Real Madrid — 2.5 goals; Sevilla — 0.5 goals.
Real Madrid team total goals
For Real Madrid's team total, Under 2 goals is at 2.60 and Over 2 at 1.47; at the 2.5-goal line, the odds are almost equal — Under 2.5 at 1.85 and Over 2.5 at 1.90. At the three-goal line, Under 3 is 1.45 and Over 3 is 2.60.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | 2 | 1.47 |
| 1.85 | 2.5 | 1.90 |
| 1.45 | 3 | 2.60 |
Sevilla team total goals
For Sevilla's team total, Under 0.5 goals is at 2.00 and Over 0.5 at 1.75. At the higher lines, Under is favoured: Under 1 is 1.33 against Over 1 at 3.05, while Under 1.5 is 1.16 against Over 1.5 at 4.30.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | 0.5 | 1.75 |
| 1.33 | 1 | 3.05 |
| 1.16 | 1.5 | 4.30 |
