Odds overview
Real Sociedad are the favourites to win at 1.65, while the draw is available at 4.30 and a Levante win at 4.80. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. For a handicap of 0, Real Sociedad at 1.27 look more likely to win than Levante at 3.45.
Why Real Sociedad are favourites
Bookmakers give the home side a clear edge: Real Sociedad are 1.65 to win, with a 57.9% probability after removing the margin. The draw is offered at 4.30 and a Levante win at 4.80.
- Real Sociedad are fifth in the table, while Levante are only 11th.
- Levante have struggled away from home, losing or drawing nine of their last 10 away league matches.
- Real Sociedad have lost to Levante only once in their last five meetings.
Form and Line-up Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad are unbeaten in five consecutive matches in all competitions. During that run, the Basque side beat Valencia (3:2), Deportivo La Coruña (3:2) and Málaga (5:2) in La Liga. In the UEFA Europa League, Pellegrino Matarazzo's side drew with Union (1:1) and thrashed Lillestrøm (6:0), with Sergio Gómez and Luka Sučić each scoring twice in the latter match.
- Real Sociedad received more than 1.5 yellow cards in nine of their last 10 La Liga home matches.
- Real Sociedad took more than 4.5 corners in all of their last 10 La Liga matches.
- More than 8.5 corners were recorded in nine Real Sociedad matches this La Liga season.
Probable Real Sociedad line-up (4-4-2): Álex Remiro, Héctor Fort, Jon Martín, Mamadou Sarr, Sergio Gómez, Takefusa Kubo, Jon Gorrotxategi, Carlos Soler, Ander Barrenetxea, Mikel Oyarzabal, Orri Óskarsson.
Absentees: Jon Aramburu, Luken Beitia, Yangel Herrera, Álvaro Odriozola (all injured).
Form and Line-up Levante
Levante have recovered from defeats to Barcelona (2:4) and Villarreal (1:3), drawing with Sevilla (3:3) and Deportivo La Coruña (1:1) before beating Athletic Bilbao (3:1) in the latest round.
- Levante took fewer than 5.5 corners in nine of their last 10 La Liga away matches.
- Fewer than 5.5 yellow cards were shown in nine of Levante's last 10 La Liga away matches.
- Levante committed fewer than 12.5 fouls in nine of their last 10 La Liga matches.
Probable Levante line-up (4-3-3): Mathew Ryan, Jeremy Toljan, Aïssa Mandi, Ifeanyi Ndukwe, Manu Sánchez, Daniel Requena, Oriol Rey, Jon Ander Olasagasti, Víctor García, Iván Romero, Roger Brugué.
Absentees: Karl Etta Eyong, Dela, Hugo Sotelo, Enzo Bardeli (all doubtful), Alejandro Primo (injured).
The teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Real Sociedad a 57.9% chance of winning: they are available at 1.65, with fair odds of 1.73. The draw is rated at 22.2% (4.30 and 4.50), and a Levante win at 19.9% (4.80 and 5.03).
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad to win | 1.65 | 1.73 | 57.9% |
| Draw | 4.30 | 4.50 | 22.2% |
| Levante to win | 4.80 | 5.03 | 19.9% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. At the 3.5-goal line, by contrast, Under 3.5 goals at 1.60 has shorter odds than Over 3.5 goals at 2.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.60 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
Real Sociedad (-1.5) at 2.60 look considerably more likely to cover the handicap than Levante (-1.5) at 8.50. At the +1.5 line, Real Sociedad (+1.5) are 1.04, compared with 1.47 for Levante (+1.5). For a -1 handicap, Real Sociedad (-1) at 2.05 are favoured over Levante (-1) at 7.20; at the +1 line, Real Sociedad (+1) are 1.05 and Levante (+1) are 1.77. Real Sociedad (0) are quoted at 1.27 and Levante (0) at 3.45.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | -1.5 | 8.50 |
| 1.04 | 1.5 | 1.47 |
| 2.05 | -1 | 7.20 |
| 1.05 | 1 | 1.77 |
| 1.27 | 0 | 3.45 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.60 looks more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.25: the latter requires at least one team to fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.60 |
| No | 2.25 |
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Real Sociedad — 2 goals; Levante — 1 goal.
Real Sociedad team total goals
Real Sociedad team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.06 is clearly favoured over Under 0.5 goals at 6.70. At the 1.5-goal line, Over 1.5 goals is 1.55, compared with 2.35 for Under 1.5 goals; at the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals at 1.73 has shorter odds than Over 2 goals at 2.05. At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.40 is favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 2.70.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.70 | 0.5 | 1.06 |
| 2.35 | 1.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.73 | 2 | 2.05 |
| 1.40 | 2.5 | 2.70 |
Levante team total goals
Levante team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.45 has shorter odds than Under 0.5 goals at 2.70. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal at 1.80 is slightly favoured over Over 1 goal at 1.95, while at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.35 is considerably more likely than Over 1.5 goals at 2.90.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | 0.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.80 | 1 | 1.95 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 2.90 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Javier Alberola (Spain)
Matches — 25 (La Liga, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 28;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.1;
Matches with a red card — 6 of 25;
Matches with a penalty — 10 of 25.
