Odds overview
Real Sociedad are favourites to win at 1.65, while a draw is quoted at 4.30 and a Levante win at 4.80. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. In the handicap market, Real Sociedad Draw No Bet (0) at 1.27 looks more likely than Levante Draw No Bet (0) at 3.45.
Why Real Sociedad are match favourites
Bookmakers give the hosts a clear advantage: a Real Sociedad win is offered at odds of 1.65 (a 57.9% probability without the bookmaker's margin). A draw is available at 4.30, while a Levante win is quoted at 4.80.
- Real Sociedad are fifth in the table, while Levante are only 11th.
- Levante have struggled away from home: they have drawn or lost nine of their last 10 away league matches.
- Real Sociedad have lost to Levante only once in their last five meetings.
Form and Line-up Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad are unbeaten in five consecutive matches across all competitions. During that run, the Basque side beat Valencia (3:2), Deportivo (3:2) and Málaga (5:2) in La Liga. In the UEFA Europa League, Matarazzo's team drew with Union (1:1) and thrashed Lillestrøm (6:0), with Sergio Gómez and Luka Sučić each scoring twice in the latter match.
- Real Sociedad have received more than 1.5 yellow cards in nine of their last 10 home La Liga matches.
- Real Sociedad have taken more than 4.5 corners in all of their last 10 La Liga matches.
- More than 8.5 corners have been recorded in nine Real Sociedad matches this La Liga season.
Probable Real Sociedad line-up (4-4-2): Álex Remiro, Héctor Fort, Jon Martín, Mamadou Sarr, Sergio Gómez, Takefusa Kubo, Jon Gorrotxategi, Carlos Soler, Ander Barrenetxea, Mikel Oyarzabal, Orri Óskarsson.
Absentees: Jon Aramburu, Luken Beitia, Yangel Herrera, Álvaro Odriozola (all injured).
Form and Line-up Levante
Levante have recovered from defeats to Barcelona (2:4) and Villarreal (1:3), drawing with Sevilla (3:3) and Deportivo (1:1) before beating Athletic (3:1) in the latest round.
- Levante have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in nine of their last 10 away La Liga matches.
- Fewer than 5.5 yellow cards have been shown in nine of Levante's last 10 away La Liga matches.
- Levante have committed fewer than 12.5 fouls in nine of their last 10 La Liga matches.
Probable Levante line-up (4-3-3): Mathew Ryan, Jeremy Toljan, Aïssa Mandi, Ifeanyi Ndukwe, Manu Sánchez, Daniel Requena, Oriol Rey, Jon Ander Olasagasti, Víctor García, Iván Romero, Roger Brugué.
Absentees: Karl Etta Eyong, Dela, Hugo Sotelo, Enzo Bardeli (all doubtful), Alejandro Primo (injured).
The teams' chances
The margin-free assessment gives Real Sociedad a 57.9% chance of winning: a home win is quoted at 1.65, compared with fair odds of 1.73. The draw has a 22.2% probability (4.30 and 4.50), while a Levante win has a 19.9% probability (4.80 and 5.03).
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad to win | 1.65 | 1.73 | 57.9% |
| Draw | 4.30 | 4.50 | 22.2% |
| Levante to win | 4.80 | 5.03 | 19.9% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.55 is favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.35. At the 3.5-goal line, by contrast, Under 3.5 at 1.60 has shorter odds than Over 3.5 at 2.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.60 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
Real Sociedad (-1.5) at 2.60 is considered much more likely than Levante (-1.5) at 8.50. At the +1.5 line, Real Sociedad (+1.5) are available at 1.04, compared with 1.47 for Levante (+1.5). At the -1 handicap, Real Sociedad (-1) at 2.05 are favoured over Levante (-1) at 7.20; at the +1 line, Real Sociedad (+1) are quoted at 1.05 and Levante (+1) at 1.77. Real Sociedad Draw No Bet (0) are quoted at 1.27 and Levante Draw No Bet (0) at 3.45.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | -1.5 | 8.50 |
| 1.04 | 1.5 | 1.47 |
| 2.05 | -1 | 7.20 |
| 1.05 | 1 | 1.77 |
| 1.27 | 0 | 3.45 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.60 looks more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.25: the latter requires at least one team to fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.60 |
| No | 2.25 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/50
|
9/50
|
13/10
|
| 888sport |
1/5
|
1/4
|
23/20
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Real Sociedad — 2 goals; Levante — 1 goal.
Real Sociedad team total goals
Real Sociedad's team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.06 is strongly favoured over Under 0.5 at 6.70. At the 1.5-goal line, Over 1.5 is available at 1.55, compared with 2.35 for Under 1.5; at the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 1.73 has shorter odds than Over 2 at 2.05. At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 at 1.40 is favoured over Over 2.5 at 2.70.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.70 | 0.5 | 1.06 |
| 2.35 | 1.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.73 | 2 | 2.05 |
| 1.40 | 2.5 | 2.70 |
Levante team total goals
Levante's team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.45 has shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 2.70. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 at 1.80 is slightly favoured over Over 1 at 1.95, while at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 at 1.35 is much more likely than Over 1.5 at 2.90.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | 0.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.80 | 1 | 1.95 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 2.90 |
