Odds overview
Real Sociedad to win at 1.82 are clear favourites, while the draw is offered at 4.00 and Lyon to win at 4.05. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is available at around 1.55, compared with 2.35 for Under 2.5 goals. For the handicap (0), Real Sociedad are at 1.35 and Lyon at 2.85: the odds strongly favour the hosts.
Why Real Sociedad are favourites
Real Sociedad are the bookmakers' favourites. The hosts are offered at 1.82 to win, the draw at 4.00 and a Lyon win at 4.05.
- Real Sociedad are unbeaten in seven of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Lyon have lost three of their last six matches in all competitions and conceded in five of those games.
- The French club have won only two of their eight away matches in all competitions this season.
Form and Line-up Real Sociedad
In their previous Spanish league match, on 1 November, Real Sociedad lost 1:2 to Athletic Bilbao. Before that, on 25 October, the San Sebastián side beat Levante 2:1 at home. The Basque side have improved their position in the Europa League, however: after losing to Bournemouth (1:2), they drew with Union (1:1) and thrashed Lillestrøm (6:0).
- Real Sociedad have taken more than 11.5 shots in each of their last 10 Europa League home matches.
- In nine of Real Sociedad's last 10 matches across all official competitions, the two teams have combined for more than 5.5 shots on target.
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Unai Marrero, Igor Zubeldia, Jon Martín, Mamadou Sarr, Sergio Gómez, Takefusa Kubo, Jon Gorrotxategi, Carlos Soler, Gonçalo Guedes, Mikel Oyarzabal, Luka Sučić.
Absentees: Luken Beitia, Arsen Zakharyan, Álvaro Odriozola (all injured).
Form and Line-up Lyon
Lyon lost 0:2 to Paris Saint-Germain in the French league on 26 October, then beat Angers 2:0 on 1 November. But the postponement of that match cut their break before the trip to San Sebastián by more than 20 hours: according to media reports, the league moved the game from 31 October to 1 November at the request of the Rhône prefecture. The French side began their Europa League campaign with two straight wins — against Anderlecht (2:1) and Crystal Palace (3:2). In their most recent round, however, Lyon suffered a heavy 0:3 defeat to Hoffenheim, allowing eight shots on target and 2.09 xGA.
- Lyon are unbeaten in seven of their last 10 Europa League matches.
- In eight of Lyon's last 10 Europa League matches, the two teams have combined for fewer than 25.5 shots.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Dominik Greif, Zachary Athekame, Felix Bacher, Moussa Niakhaté, Abner, Tanner Tessmann, Mads Bidstrup, Corentin Tolisso, Keito Nakamura, Ernest Nuamah, Julien Duranville.
Absentees: Loïs Openda, Tyler Morton, Mamadou Ouédraogo, Steeve Kango, Pavel Sulc (all injured).
Teams' chances
Real Sociedad to win are offered at 1.82; their fair odds are 1.90, implying a 52.5% probability. The draw is available at 4.00, with fair odds of 4.19 and a probability of 23.9%; the corresponding figures for Lyon to win are 4.05, 4.24 and 23.6%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad to win | 1.82 | 1.90 | 52.5% |
| Draw | 4.00 | 4.19 | 23.9% |
| Lyon to win | 4.05 | 4.24 | 23.6% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is offered at 2.35 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.55. At the 3.5-goal line, the odds are reversed: Under 3.5 goals is available at 1.60 and Over 3.5 goals at 2.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.60 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
Real Sociedad (-1.5) are offered at 2.75 and Lyon (-1.5) at 7.00. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are 1.05 for Real Sociedad (+1.5) and 1.40 for Lyon (+1.5). Real Sociedad (-1) are at 2.30 versus 6.10 for Lyon (-1), while Real Sociedad (+1) are at 1.08 versus 1.62 for Lyon (+1). For the handicap (0), Real Sociedad are at 1.35 and Lyon at 2.85.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.75 | -1.5 | 7.00 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 1.40 |
| 2.30 | -1 | 6.10 |
| 1.08 | 1 | 1.62 |
| 1.35 | 0 | 2.85 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.55, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is at 2.35.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.55 |
| No | 2.35 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/50
|
1/4
|
91/100
|
| William Hill |
1/4
|
1/4
|
19/20
|
| 888sport |
1/4
|
1/4
|
19/20
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team total lines: Real Sociedad — 1.5 goals; Lyon — 1 goal.
Real Sociedad team total goals
For Real Sociedad, Under 0.5 goals is at 5.30 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.11. At the 1-goal line, the odds are 3.75 for Under 1 goal and 1.23 for Over 1 goal; at 1.5 goals, they are 2.15 and 1.65 respectively. Under 2 goals is offered at 1.65 and Over 2 goals at 2.15.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.30 | 0.5 | 1.11 |
| 3.75 | 1 | 1.23 |
| 2.15 | 1.5 | 1.65 |
| 1.65 | 2 | 2.15 |
Lyon team total goals
For Lyon, Under 0.5 goals is available at 2.90 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.35. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is at 1.90 and Over 1 goal at 1.85. Under 1.5 goals is offered at 1.40, compared with 2.70 for Over 1.5 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 1.90 | 1 | 1.85 |
| 1.40 | 1.5 | 2.70 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Anastasios Papapetrou (Greece)
Matches — 8 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.7;
Matches with a red card — 0 of 8;
Matches with a penalty — 1 of 8.
