Odds overview
Real Sociedad to win at 1.68 makes them clear favourites over the draw at 4.20 and Rayo Vallecano to win at 4.70. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.60, compared with 2.35 for Under 2.5 goals. In the handicap markets, Real Sociedad (-1.5) at 2.65 has much shorter odds than Rayo Vallecano (-1.5) at 7.80, while Real Sociedad (0) at 1.28 are favoured over Rayo Vallecano (0) at 3.35 on the zero-handicap line.
Why Real Sociedad are favourites
The bookmakers favour Real Sociedad: the hosts are available at 1.68 to win. A draw is offered at 4.20, while Rayo Vallecano to win is 4.70.
- Real Sociedad have avoided defeat in 7 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Rayo Vallecano have failed to win 7 of their last 10 La Liga matches.
- Real Sociedad have lost to Rayo Vallecano only twice in their last 8 meetings in San Sebastián.
Form and Line-up Real Sociedad
On 5 November, Real Sociedad drew 1:1 with Lyon in the UEFA Europa League. Before that, they lost away to Athletic Bilbao in La Liga: the match on 1 November ended 1:2. Prior to that defeat, however, Real Sociedad had gone six matches unbeaten in all competitions. They have someone to rely on in attack this La Liga season: Luka Sučić has scored 4 goals in 10 appearances.
- Real Sociedad have scored in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Real Sociedad's opponents have had fewer than 7.5 shots on target in each of their last 10 matches.
Probable Real Sociedad line-up (4-2-3-1):Álex Remiro, Jon Aramburu, Jon Martín, Mamadou Sarr, Sergio Gómez, Jon Gorrotxategi, Carlos Soler, Ander Barrenetxea, Luka Sučić, Gonçalo Guedes, Mikel Oyarzabal.
Absentees: Arsen Zakharyan, Álvaro Odriozola (both injured).
Form and Line-up Rayo Vallecano
On 31 October, Rayo Vallecano thrashed Celta Vigo 3:0 at home. Before that win, however, they had suffered a 0:3 home defeat to Elche. Their main attacking threat is Sergio Camello, who has scored 7 goals and provided 2 assists in 10 La Liga matches.
- Rayo Vallecano's opponents have scored more than 0.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Rayo Vallecano's opponents have had more than 11.5 shots in 9 of their last 10 away matches in La Liga.
Probable Rayo Vallecano line-up (4-3-3):Emil Audero, Andrei Rațiu, Florian Lejeune, Mujaid Sadick, Adrià Pedrosa, Pathé Ciss, Pedro Díaz, Unai López, Jorge de Frutos, Sergio Camello, Heorhiy Tsitaishvili.
Absentees:Augusto Batalla, Álvaro García, Luiz Felipe, Óscar Valentín (all injured), Marash Kumbulla (doubtful).
Teams' chances
Real Sociedad to win is available at 1.68, with fair odds of 1.76 and a probability of 56.9%. The corresponding figures for a draw are 4.20, 4.39 and 22.8%, while those for Rayo Vallecano to win are 4.70, 4.92 and 20.3%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad to win | 1.68 | 1.76 | 56.9% |
| Draw | 4.20 | 4.39 | 22.8% |
| Rayo Vallecano to win | 4.70 | 4.92 | 20.3% |
Total goals prediction
On the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.35 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.60. At 3.5 goals, the odds are reversed: Under 3.5 goals is offered at 1.55 and Over 3.5 goals at 2.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.60 |
| 3.5 | 1.55 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
On the -1.5 handicap line, Real Sociedad (-1.5) are available at 2.65 and Rayo Vallecano (-1.5) at 7.80. On the 1.5 line, Real Sociedad (+1.5) are offered at 1.05 and Rayo Vallecano (+1.5) at 1.45. For the -1 line, the odds are 2.10 for Real Sociedad (-1) and 6.80 for Rayo Vallecano (-1); for the 1 line, they are 1.06 and 1.75 respectively. On the zero-handicap line, Real Sociedad (0) are available at 1.28, compared with 3.35 for Rayo Vallecano (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | -1.5 | 7.80 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 1.45 |
| 2.10 | -1 | 6.80 |
| 1.06 | 1 | 1.75 |
| 1.28 | 0 | 3.35 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes is available at 1.62, while Both teams to score – No is 2.25: the latter means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.62 |
| No | 2.25 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/50
|
11/50
|
11/10
|
| LeoVegas |
11/50
|
6/25
|
51/50
|
| 888sport |
1/5
|
1/4
|
11/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: 2 goals for Real Sociedad and 1 goal for Rayo Vallecano.
Real Sociedad team goals
For Real Sociedad, Under 0.5 goals is available at 5.90 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.08. On the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is offered at 2.25 and Over 1.5 goals at 1.60; on the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is 1.70 and Over 2 goals is 2.10. At 2.5 goals, the odds are 1.40 for Under 2.5 goals and 2.70 for Over 2.5 goals.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.90 | 0.5 | 1.08 |
| 2.25 | 1.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.70 | 2 | 2.10 |
| 1.40 | 2.5 | 2.70 |
Rayo Vallecano team goals
For Rayo Vallecano, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 2.65 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.45. On the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is available at 1.75, compared with 2.00 for Over 1 goal; at 1.5 goals, the odds are 1.35 for Under 1.5 goals and 2.90 for Over 1.5 goals.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 0.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.75 | 1 | 2.00 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 2.90 |
