Odds Overview
In the 1X2 market, away win has a slight edge at 2.30: home win is available at around 2.90, with the draw at 3.45. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.75 against 2.00 for Over 2.5 goals. In the main handicap market, Midtjylland Draw No Bet at 1.70 is shorter than Rijeka Draw No Bet at 2.10, which also tilts the line towards the visitors.
Why Midtjylland Are Favourites for the Match
Bookmakers price a Rijeka win at 2.90, offer 3.45 on the draw, and make a Midtjylland win available at 2.30.
- Midtjylland have already shown their superiority in the first home leg, claiming a convincing 2:0 win.
- The Danish club, under Mike Tullberg, also have good match practice in the domestic league: in the latest round, the team beat Randers 1:0 thanks to a Dario Osorio goal.
Form and Line-up Rijeka
In the domestic league, Rijeka won their most recent home match 3:2, showing character in attack. In European competition at home, however, the team rely above all on a disciplined structure without the ball: in 9 of their last 10 home Conference League matches, their opponents scored no more than one goal.
Their defensive discipline also shows in their control of the line: in 9 of the Croatian club's last 10 home European matches, opponents were caught offside no more than twice. To overturn the first-leg deficit, the hosts will need to maintain that balance between pressure and protecting their own goal.
Key numbers:
- No more than three goals were scored in 9 of Rijeka's last 10 home Conference League matches.
- Rijeka took at least five corners in 8 of their last 10 home Conference League matches.
- Rijeka did not lose on the scoreline in 9 of their last 10 home Conference League matches.
Probable Rijeka line-up (4-2-3-1): Aleksa Todorovic — Ante Orec — Ante Majstorovic — Anel Husic — Justas Lasickas — Ivan Cubelic — Tiago Dantas — Samuele Vignato — Toni Fruk — Niko Jankovic — Jakov Puljic
Form and Line-up Midtjylland
Midtjylland consistently control the shot count: in their last 10 Conference League matches, the Danish club have not been outperformed by opponents for total attempts including blocked shots. The team limit opponents effectively around the penalty area and do not allow them to win set pieces regularly — in 9 of their last 10 matches in the tournament, their opponents took no more than four corners.
That solidity is also backed up by overall statistics across all competitions, where Midtjylland's opponents scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches. With a two-goal cushion, the Danes can set up in a compact block and suppress the hosts' attempts to build at high speed.
Key numbers:
- In 8 of Midtjylland's last 10 Conference League matches, their opponents had no more than four shots on target.
- In 8 of Midtjylland's last 10 Conference League matches, they and their opponents took no more than nine corners combined.
- At least three offsides were recorded in 8 of Midtjylland's last 10 Conference League matches.
Probable Midtjylland line-up (3-5-2): Elias Rafn Olafsson — Rasmus Kristensen — Magnus Jensen — Mads Bech Sorensen — Dario Osorio — Philip Billing — Pedro Bravo — Kjell Watjen — Sofus Johannesen — Stanley Iheanacho — Cho Gue-sung
Team Chances
Away win is the most likely outcome: odds of 2.30, a no-margin estimate of 2.46 and a probability of 40.7%. For home win, the figures are 2.90, 3.10 and 32.2%, while for the draw they are 3.45, 3.69 and 27.1% respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average no-margin odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rijeka to win | 2.90 | 3.10 | 32.2% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.69 | 27.1% |
| Midtjylland to win | 2.30 | 2.46 | 40.7% |
Totals Prediction
On the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.75 is rated higher than Over 2.5 goals at 2.00. At the 3.5 mark, there is a clear lean towards Under 3.5 goals — 1.30 against 3.25 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| 3.5 | 1.30 | 3.25 |
Handicap Prediction
Rijeka (-1.5) is priced at 5.60 and Midtjylland (-1.5) at 4.40; Rijeka (+1.5) is 1.15 against 1.10 for Midtjylland (+1.5). For the -1 line, the prices are 4.70 on Rijeka (-1) and 3.55 on Midtjylland (-1), while for the +1 line they are 1.23 on Rijeka (+1) and 1.13 on Midtjylland (+1). On the Draw No Bet handicap, Midtjylland (0) at 1.70 is shorter than Rijeka (0) at 2.10.
| Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
|---|---|---|
| 5.60 | -1.5 | 4.40 |
| 1.15 | 1.5 | 1.10 |
| 4.70 | -1 | 3.55 |
| 1.23 | 1 | 1.13 |
| 2.10 | 0 | 1.70 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.80, while Both teams to score — No is 1.95. The lower price on Yes points to a slight preference for goals from both teams.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.80 |
| No | 1.95 |
Double Chance Prediction
In the double chance market, the lowest odds are on 12 at 1.30. X2 is priced at 1.40 and 1X at 1.58, so the line allows slightly more for no draw and for the hosts to fail to win.
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
29/50
|
3/10
|
2/5
|
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Rijeka — 1 goal, Midtjylland — 1.5 goals.
Rijeka Team Total
Rijeka: Under 0.5 goals is 2.90 against 1.35 for Over 0.5 goals; on the 1 line, the prices are 2.02 for Under 1 and 1.70 for Over 1. For the 1.5 mark, Under 1.5 goals is offered at 1.40 and Over 1.5 goals at 2.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 2.02 | 1 | 1.70 |
| 1.40 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
Midtjylland Team Total
Midtjylland: Under 0.5 goals is priced at 3.45 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.25; on the 1 line, the prices are 2.40 and 1.50 respectively. Under 1.5 goals is 1.55 against 2.30 for Over 1.5 goals, while at the 2 mark it is 1.20 for Under 2 and 4.00 for Over 2.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.45 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.40 | 1 | 1.50 |
| 1.55 | 1.5 | 2.30 |
| 1.20 | 2 | 4.00 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Jasper Vergoote (Belgium)
Matches – 7 (international matches, 2025–2026);
Average fouls per match – 25;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 3.5;
Matches with red cards – 1 of 7;
Matches with penalties – 5 of 7.
