Odds overview
AS Roma are clear favourites to win at 1.30, while the draw is quoted at 6.10 and a Sassuolo win at 9.00. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.35 is much shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.90. AS Roma (-1.5) are shorter at 1.78 than Sassuolo (+1.5) at 2.05 in the handicap market.
Why AS Roma are favourites
The bookmakers' odds make the favourites clear — AS Roma. A win for the Rome side is available at 1.30, the draw at 6.10 and a Sassuolo win at 9.00.
- AS Roma have been picking up points consistently at home: they are unbeaten in their last 10 home matches in Serie A.
- Sassuolo have not won any of their last 10 away matches in the competition.
Form and Line-up AS Roma
In their most recent match, on 3 November, AS Roma lost 2:3 to Manchester United. They stayed overnight in England after the game before returning to Rome to prepare for the meeting with Sassuolo.
Overall, AS Roma are in solid form: they have avoided defeat in 8 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions. Donyell Malen stands out in attack, with 8 goals in 9 Serie A appearances.
- AS Roma's opponents have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches in Serie A.
- AS Roma have taken more than 13.5 shots in 9 of their last 10 home matches in Serie A.
Probable line-up: Devis Vásquez, Leonardo Balerdi, Evan Ndicka, Mario Hermoso, Nahuel Molina, Bryan Cristante, Marten de Roon, Wesley, Matías Soulé, Niccolo Pisilli, Donyell Malen.
AS Roma will be without injured goalkeepers Mile Svilar and Pierluigi Gollini, as well as midfielders Manu Koné and Lorenzo Pellegrini. Defender Devyne Rensch remains doubtful with a muscle injury, while the coaching staff do not intend to risk Paulo Dybala's fitness.
Form and Line-up Sassuolo
Sassuolo come into this match after a home defeat to Fiorentina: they lost 2:4 on 2 November. Earlier, on 27 October, they suffered a heavy 2:6 defeat to Lazio.
Sassuolo have failed to win 8 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- The teams have scored more than 2.5 goals in 8 of Sassuolo's last 10 Serie A matches.
- Sassuolo's opponents have had more than 3.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 away matches in Serie A.
Probable line-up: Stefano Turati, Sebastian Walukiewicz, Jay Idzes, Fali Candé, Josh Doig, Vasilije Adžić, Nemanja Matić, Sulemana, Domenico Berardi, Sebastiano Esposito, Armand Laurienté.
Sassuolo's injured players include Cristian Volpato, who has a muscle injury, and Fedde Leysen and Mouhamed Ba, both of whom have torn cruciate ligaments. Daniel Boloca and Ismaël Koné are also on the provisional list of absentees.
The teams' chances
AS Roma's win odds of 1.30 correspond to fair odds of 1.36 and a probability of 73.7%. The draw is quoted at 6.10, with fair odds of 6.37 and a probability of 15.7%; the corresponding figures for a Sassuolo win are 9.00, 9.40 and 10.6%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma to win | 1.30 | 1.36 | 73.7% |
| Draw | 6.10 | 6.37 | 15.7% |
| Sassuolo to win | 9.00 | 9.40 | 10.6% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.90 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.35, making the higher-scoring option the clear favourite. At the 3.5-goal line, the odds are almost equal: Under 3.5 goals is 1.88 and Over 3.5 goals is 1.92.
| Goal line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.90 | 1.35 |
| 3.5 | 1.88 | 1.92 |
Handicap betting
AS Roma (-1.5) are offered at 1.78 and Sassuolo (+1.5) at 2.05. AS Roma (-1) at 1.40 are shorter than Sassuolo (+1) at 2.75. For the zero handicap, AS Roma (0) are at 1.08 against 6.00 for Sassuolo (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.78 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 2.05 | |
| 1.40 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.75 | |
| 1.08 | 0 | 6.00 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score — Yes is quoted at 1.68, while Both teams to score — No is 2.12; the latter means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.68 |
| No | 2.12 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
7/100
|
13/100
|
12/5
|
| 888sport |
3/50
|
7/50
|
5/2
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals betting
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team goals lines: AS Roma — 2.5 goals; Sassuolo — 0.5 goals.
AS Roma team goals
For AS Roma, Under 2 team goals is available at 2.65 and Over 2 at 1.42. At the 2.5-goal line, the odds are almost equal: Under 2.5 at 1.88 and Over 2.5 at 1.87. At the 3-goal line, Under 3 is 1.53 and Over 3 is 2.45.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 2 | 1.42 |
| 1.88 | 2.5 | 1.87 |
| 1.53 | 3 | 2.45 |
Sassuolo team goals
For Sassuolo, Under 0.5 team goals is offered at 2.25 and Over 0.5 at 1.60. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is quoted at 1.48 and Over 1 at 2.55; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is 1.22 and Over 1.5 is 3.80.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 0.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.48 | 1 | 2.55 |
| 1.22 | 1.5 | 3.80 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Marco Di Bello (Italy)
Matches — 16 (Serie A, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 25;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 2.6;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 16;
Matches with a penalty — 3 of 16.
