Romania vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: prediction & betting odds 28 September 2026

Odds overview

Romania are favourites in the 1X2 market at 2.10 to win, while the draw and a Bosnia and Herzegovina win are both around 3.45–3.55. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.00, indicating a slight preference for fewer goals. In the main handicap market, Romania Draw No Bet (0) at 1.53 is clearly favoured over Bosnia and Herzegovina Draw No Bet (0) at 2.50.

Why Romania are favourites

Bookmakers favour the hosts: Romania are 2.10 to win, Bosnia and Herzegovina are offered at 3.55, and the draw is available at 3.45.

• Romania have been fairly reliable at limiting opponents' attacks at home: in 8 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions, they have conceded no more than one goal.
• Bosnia and Herzegovina enter the tournament in mixed condition: head coach Sergej Barbarez has noted that some players are injured and others lack sufficient match practice.
• Romania have won three of their last four home meetings with Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Form and Line-up Romania

In June, Romania beat Wales 2:1 in their most recent friendly, thanks to goals from Adrian Rus and Florinel Coman. The coaching staff are mindful of a packed schedule ahead of the autumn UEFA Nations League fixtures: with four matches in ten days, nine players stayed in Mogoșoaia to prepare before the trip to Sweden. Romania's last campaign in the competition went fairly well — they finished top of League C with a perfect record of six wins and a goal difference of 18:3. Romania face Sweden on 25 September and Bosnia and Herzegovina on 28 September 2026.

• Romania have taken more than 3.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions.
• Romania's opponents have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of Romania's last 10 home matches across all competitions.
• Romania have received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.

Probable Romania line-up (4-3-3): Andrei Radu, Andrei Rațiu, Radu Drăgușin, Andrei Burcă, Nicusor Bancu, Răzvan Marin, Ianis Hagi, Vlad Dragomir, Dennis Man, Daniel Bîrligea, Valentin Mihăilă.

Absentees: Florinel Coman (doubtful).

Form and Line-up Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bosnia and Herzegovina qualified for the FIFA World Cup 2026 by beating Wales and Italy on penalties in the play-offs. They even progressed from the group stage at the tournament, but lost 0:2 to the United States in the Round of 32. Their UEFA Nations League campaign went badly — they were relegated after finishing fourth in League A with just two points. Bosnia and Herzegovina face Poland on 25 September and Romania on 28 September 2026.

• Bosnia and Herzegovina have scored at least one goal in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
• Bosnia and Herzegovina have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
• At least two goals have been scored in 9 of Bosnia and Herzegovina's last 10 matches across all competitions.

Probable Bosnia and Herzegovina line-up (3-4-1-2): Nikola Vasilj, Nikola Katić, Stjepan Radeljic, Tarik Muharemović, Esmir Bajraktarević, Armin Gigovic, Ivan Šunjić, Sead Kolašinac, Kerim Alajbegović, Ermedin Demirović, Edin Džeko.

The teams' chances

Romania are offered at 2.10 to win, with fair odds of 2.20 and a 45.4% probability. The draw is quoted at 3.45, with fair odds of 3.61 and a 27.7% probability; the corresponding figures for a Bosnia and Herzegovina win are 3.55, 3.72 and 26.9%. Romania have the highest chance of winning, although the gap to the other outcomes is not large.

Total goals prediction

In the totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.00, so the market leans slightly towards fewer goals. At the 3.5-goal threshold, Under 3.5 goals at 1.30 is considerably more likely than Over 3.5 goals at 3.15.

Handicap prediction

Romania (-1.5) are offered at 3.85, compared with 6.60 for Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5). At the +1.5 handicap, Romania are quoted at 1.06 and Bosnia and Herzegovina at 1.22; at -1, the respective odds are 3.05 and 5.90. For the +1 handicap, Romania are 1.08 and Bosnia and Herzegovina 1.33, while Romania Draw No Bet (0) at 1.53 is markedly shorter than Bosnia and Herzegovina Draw No Bet (0) at 2.50.

Both teams to score prediction

Both teams to score — Yes at 1.78 is shorter than Both teams to score — No at 1.98, so both sides scoring is considered more likely. The second option means that at least one team will fail to score.

Double chance forecast

Bookmaker	1X	12	X2
Bet365	2/5	9/25	1/2
William Hill	7/20	33/100	31/50
888sport	2/5	33/100	1/2

Odds are current as of the material publication date

Team goals prediction

Bookmakers have set the following team goals lines for this match: Romania — 1.5 goals; Bosnia and Herzegovina — 1 goal.

Romania team goals

For Romania's team goals, Under 0.5 at 4.15 is much longer than Over 0.5 at 1.20; at the 1-goal line, the odds are 2.70 and 1.40 respectively. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is offered at 1.68 and Over 1.5 at 2.12, while at the 2-goal line Under 2 is 1.27 compared with 3.45 for Over 2.

Bosnia and Herzegovina team goals

For Bosnia and Herzegovina's team goals, Under 0.5 at 2.65 is longer than Over 0.5 at 1.42. At the 1-goal line, the odds are almost equal: Under 1 is 1.85 and Over 1 is 1.90. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 at 1.35 is clearly favoured over Over 1.5 at 2.95.