Odds overview
Romania are favourites in the 1X2 market, with a home win at 2.10, while the draw and a Bosnia and Herzegovina win are around 3.45–3.55. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 has shorter odds than Over 2.5 goals at 2.00, suggesting a slight preference for fewer goals. In the main handicap market, Romania Draw No Bet at 1.53 is clearly favoured over Bosnia and Herzegovina Draw No Bet at 2.50.
Why Romania are favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: Romania are offered at 2.10 to win, Bosnia and Herzegovina at 3.55 and the draw at 3.45.
- Romania have been fairly reliable at containing opponents at home: in 8 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions, the visitors scored no more than one goal.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina approach the start of the tournament in mixed condition: head coach Sergej Barbarez has noted that some players are injured and others lack sufficient match practice.
- Romania have won three of their last four home meetings with Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Form and Line-up Romania
In June, Romania beat Wales 2:1 in their most recent friendly thanks to goals from Adrian Rus and Florinel Coman. The coaching staff are taking a congested schedule into account ahead of the autumn UEFA Nations League fixtures: with four matches in ten days, nine players stayed in Mogoșoaia to prepare before the trip to Sweden. The previous edition of the tournament ended fairly successfully for Romania — they topped League C with a perfect record of six wins and an 18:3 goal difference. Romania will play Sweden on 25 September, followed by Bosnia and Herzegovina 28 September 2026.
- Romania took more than 3.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions.
- Romania's opponents took fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions.
- Romania received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
Probable Romania line-up (4-3-3): Andrei Radu, Andrei Rațiu, Radu Drăgușin, Andrei Burcă, Nicusor Bancu, Răzvan Marin, Ianis Hagi, Vlad Dragomir, Dennis Man, Daniel Bîrligea, Valentin Mihăilă.
Absentees: Florinel Coman (doubtful).
Form and Line-up Bosnia and Herzegovina
Bosnia and Herzegovina qualified for the 2026 FIFA World Cup by beating Wales and Italy on penalties in the play-offs. They even progressed from the group stage at the tournament, but lost 0:2 to the United States in the Round of 32. The UEFA Nations League went badly for Bosnia and Herzegovina — they were relegated after finishing fourth in League A with just two points. Bosnia and Herzegovina will play Poland on 25 September, followed by Romania 28 September 2026.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina scored at least one goal in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- At least two goals were scored in 9 of Bosnia and Herzegovina's last 10 matches across all competitions.
Probable Bosnia and Herzegovina line-up (3-4-1-2): Nikola Vasilj, Nikola Katić, Stjepan Radeljic, Tarik Muharemović, Esmir Bajraktarević, Armin Gigovic, Ivan Šunjić, Sead Kolašinac, Kerim Alajbegović, Ermedin Demirović, Edin Džeko.
The teams' chances
A Romania win is offered at 2.10, with fair odds of 2.20 and an implied probability of 45.4%. The draw is quoted at 3.45, with fair odds of 3.61 and a probability of 27.7%; the corresponding figures for a Bosnia and Herzegovina win are 3.55, 3.72 and 26.9%. Romania have the best chance, although the gap to the other outcomes is not large.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Romania win | 2.10 | 2.20 | 45.4% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.61 | 27.7% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina win | 3.55 | 3.72 | 26.9% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 has shorter odds than Over 2.5 goals at 2.00, so the market leans slightly towards fewer goals. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals at 1.30 is considerably more likely than Over 3.5 goals at 3.15.
| Goal line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 3.5 | 1.30 | 3.15 |
Handicap prediction
Romania (-1.5) are offered at 3.85, compared with 6.60 for Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5). At the +1.5 handicap line, Romania (+1.5) are quoted at 1.06 and Bosnia and Herzegovina (+1.5) at 1.22; at -1, the respective odds are 3.05 and 5.90. At +1, Romania (+1) are offered at 1.08 and Bosnia and Herzegovina (+1) at 1.33, while Romania Draw No Bet, a handicap of 0, at 1.53 is considerably shorter than Bosnia and Herzegovina Draw No Bet, a handicap of 0, at 2.50.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.85 | -1.5 | 6.60 |
| 1.06 | 1.5 | 1.22 |
| 3.05 | -1 | 5.90 |
| 1.08 | 1 | 1.33 |
| 1.53 | 0 | 2.50 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes at 1.78 has shorter odds than Both teams to score – No at 1.98, so both sides finding the net is considered more likely. The latter outcome means that at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.78 |
| No | 1.98 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
3/10
|
33/100
|
67/100
|
| William Hill |
3/10
|
3/10
|
7/10
|
| 888sport |
3/10
|
3/10
|
7/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals total prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goals totals for this match: Romania at 1.5 goals and Bosnia and Herzegovina at 1 goal.
Romania team goals total
For Romania's team goals total, Under 0.5 at 4.15 has much longer odds than Over 0.5 at 1.20; at the 1-goal line, the odds are 2.70 and 1.40 respectively. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is quoted at 1.68 and Over 1.5 at 2.12, while at the 2-goal line Under 2 is offered at 1.27 against 3.45 for Over 2.
| Under | Team goals total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.15 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.70 | 1 | 1.40 |
| 1.68 | 1.5 | 2.12 |
| 1.27 | 2 | 3.45 |
Bosnia and Herzegovina team goals total
For Bosnia and Herzegovina's team goals total, Under 0.5 at 2.65 has longer odds than Over 0.5 at 1.42. At the 1-goal line, the odds are almost equal: Under 1 at 1.85 and Over 1 at 1.90. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 at 1.35 is clearly favoured over Over 1.5 at 2.95.
| Under | Team goals total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 0.5 | 1.42 |
| 1.85 | 1 | 1.90 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 2.95 |
