Odds overview
Union to win is available at around 1.32, while the draw is 5.70 and Hapoel Be'er Sheva to win is 9.00. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.48 is a much shorter option than Under 2.5 goals at 2.55. Union (-1.5) is offered at 1.82, compared with 1.98 for Hapoel Be'er Sheva (+1.5).
Why Union are favourites
Bookmakers give the nominal home side a clear edge: Union to win is available at 1.32, the draw at 5.70 and Hapoel Be'er Sheva to win at 9.00.
• The Belgian club have been particularly strong at home in European competition: Union have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the UEFA Europa League.
• The Israeli side's away record is much less impressive: Hapoel Be'er Sheva have lost or drawn 9 of their last 10 away matches in the competition.
Form and Line-up Union
Union have produced pragmatic results in their recent competitive matches: the Belgian side drew 1:1 with Real Sociedad in the UEFA Europa League and thrashed Nijlen 3:0 in the Belgian Cup.
The team have been effective at shutting down routes to their goal in European competition. In Union's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Europa League, their opponents have attempted fewer than 13.5 shots and taken fewer than 4.5 corners per game.
- Union have won the corner count in each of their last 10 home matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- In 9 of Union's last 10 UEFA Europa League matches, their opponents have had fewer than 5.5 shots on target.
- Union have received more than 1.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
Probable Union line-up (5-4-1): Hervé Koffi, Nohim Chibani, Massire Sylla, Nikki Havenaar, Kamiel Van de Perre, Guilherme Smith, Besfort Zeneli, Louis Patris, Darius Olaru, Relebohile Mofokeng, Mateo Biondic
Form and Line-up Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Hapoel Be'er Sheva have alternated domestic success with setbacks in European competition: after losing 1:2 to AZ Alkmaar in the UEFA Europa League, the Israeli side beat Hapoel Jerusalem 2:1 in the Super League.
Away from home, the club from Beersheba focus firmly on defending and struggle to create dangerous chances. In 9 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Europa League, Hapoel Be'er Sheva have scored fewer than 1.5 goals and attempted fewer than 12.5 shots.
- Fewer than 10.5 corners have been taken in 8 of Hapoel Be'er Sheva's last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- More than 22.5 fouls have been recorded in 9 of Hapoel Be'er Sheva's last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- More than 3.5 yellow cards have been shown in 8 of Hapoel Be'er Sheva's last 10 away matches in the UEFA Europa League.
Probable Hapoel Be'er Sheva line-up (4-3-3): Ofir Marciano, Guy Mizrahi, Miguel Vitor, Pedro Amador, Djibril Diop, Eliel Peretz, Amankwah Forson, Lucas Ventura, Zahi Ahmed, Muhammad Abu Rumi, Igor Zlatanović
Team chances
Union to win at 1.32 corresponds to fair odds of 1.38 and a probability of 72.6%. For the draw, the figures are 5.70, 5.95 and 16.8%; for Hapoel Be'er Sheva to win, they are 9.00, 9.40 and 10.6%, respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union to win | 1.32 | 1.38 | 72.6% |
| Draw | 5.70 | 5.95 | 16.8% |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva to win | 9.00 | 9.40 | 10.6% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.48 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.55. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals has the shorter odds — 1.67 compared with 2.20 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.55 | 1.48 |
| 3.5 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
Handicap prediction
Union (-1.5) at 1.82 is shorter than Hapoel Be'er Sheva (+1.5) at 1.98. For a one-goal handicap, Union (-1) are offered at 1.42 and Hapoel Be'er Sheva (+1) at 2.65; at the zero handicap, Union (0) are 1.08 compared with 6.00 for Hapoel Be'er Sheva (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.82 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.98 | |
| 1.42 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.65 | |
| 1.08 | 0 | 6.00 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.85 and Both teams to score — No at 1.90: the odds are almost equal, with a slight edge for the option in which at least one team fails to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.85 |
| No | 1.90 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
13/100
|
9/50
|
163/100
|
| William Hill |
11/100
|
9/50
|
9/5
|
| 888sport |
11/100
|
9/50
|
9/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: 2.5 goals for Union and 0.5 goals for Hapoel Be'er Sheva.
Union team goals
For Union team goals, Over 2 goals at 1.57 is shorter than Under 2 goals at 2.35. At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is 1.73 compared with 2.05 for Over 2.5 goals; at 3 goals, Under 3 goals is 1.40 compared with 2.80 for Over 3 goals.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.35 | 2 | 1.57 |
| 1.73 | 2.5 | 2.05 |
| 1.40 | 3 | 2.80 |
Hapoel Be'er Sheva team goals
For Hapoel Be'er Sheva team goals, Over 0.5 goals at 1.75 is shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 2.00. At the 1-goal and 1.5-goal lines, Under has the shorter odds: 1.35 compared with 3.00 for Over 1 goal, and 1.16 compared with 4.30 for Over 1.5 goals.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | 0.5 | 1.75 |
| 1.35 | 1 | 3.00 |
| 1.16 | 1.5 | 4.30 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Mykola Balakin (Ukraine)
Matches – 11 (international fixtures, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 3.5;
Matches with a red card – 0 of 11;
Matches with a penalty – 2 of 11.
