Odds overview
Union to win is available at around 1.32, while a draw is quoted at 5.70 and Hapoel Be'er Sheva to win at 9.00. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.48 is a much shorter option than Under 2.5 goals at 2.55. Union (-1.5) is offered at 1.82, compared with 1.98 for Hapoel Be'er Sheva (+1.5).
Why Union are favourites
The bookmakers clearly favour the designated home side: Union to win is quoted at 1.32, a draw at 5.70 and Hapoel Be'er Sheva to win at 9.00.
• The Belgian club have been particularly strong at home in European competition: Union have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 home UEFA Europa League matches.
• The Israeli side's away record is far less impressive: Hapoel have lost or drawn 9 of their last 10 away matches in the competition.
Form and Line-up Union
Union have produced pragmatic results in their recent competitive matches: the Belgian side drew 1:1 with Real Sociedad in the UEFA Europa League and beat Nijlen 3:0 in the domestic cup.
The team have been effective at denying opponents openings around their goal in European competition. Across Union's last 10 home UEFA Europa League matches, their opponents have attempted fewer than 13.5 shots and taken fewer than 4.5 corners per game.
- Union have won the corners count in all 10 of their last 10 home UEFA Europa League matches.
- Union's opponents have registered fewer than 5.5 shots on target in 9 of the club's last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- Union have received more than 1.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
Probable line-up (5-4-1): Hervé Koffi, Nohim Chibani, Massire Sylla, Nikki Havenaar, Kamiel Van de Perre, Guilherme Smith, Besfort Zeneli, Louis Patris, Darius Olaru, Relebohile Mofokeng, Mateo Biondic
Form and Line-up Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Hapoel Be'er Sheva have mixed domestic success with setbacks in Europe: after a 1:2 defeat to AZ Alkmaar in the UEFA Europa League, the Israeli side beat Hapoel Jerusalem 2:1 in the Super League.
Away from home, the Be'er Sheva club focus firmly on defence and struggle to create clear chances. In 9 of their last 10 away UEFA Europa League matches, Hapoel have scored fewer than 1.5 goals and attempted fewer than 12.5 shots.
- Fewer than 10.5 corners have been taken in 8 of Hapoel Be'er Sheva's last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- More than 22.5 fouls have been recorded in 9 of Hapoel Be'er Sheva's last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- More than 3.5 yellow cards have been shown in 8 of Hapoel Be'er Sheva's last 10 away UEFA Europa League matches.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Ofir Marciano, Guy Mizrahi, Miguel Vitor, Pedro Amador, Djibril Diop, Eliel Peretz, Amankwah Forson, Lucas Ventura, Zahi Ahmed, Muhammad Abu Rumi, Igor Zlatanović
The teams' chances
Union to win at 1.32 corresponds to fair odds of 1.38 and a probability of 72.6%. The figures for a draw are 5.70, 5.95 and 16.8%, while those for Hapoel Be'er Sheva to win are 9.00, 9.40 and 10.6%, respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union to win | 1.32 | 1.38 | 72.6% |
| Draw | 5.70 | 5.95 | 16.8% |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva to win | 9.00 | 9.40 | 10.6% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.48 has shorter odds than Under 2.5 goals at 2.55. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals is shorter at 1.67, compared with 2.20 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Total goals line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.55 | 1.48 |
| 3.5 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
Handicap prediction
Union (-1.5) have shorter odds at 1.82 than Hapoel Be'er Sheva (+1.5) at 1.98. For a one-goal handicap, Union (-1) are offered at 1.42 and Hapoel Be'er Sheva (+1) at 2.65; on the handicap (0) line, Union are available at 1.08, compared with 6.00 for Hapoel Be'er Sheva.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.82 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.98 | |
| 1.42 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.65 | |
| 1.08 | 0 | 6.00 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.85, while No is at 1.90. The odds are almost level, with a slight preference for the outcome in which at least one team fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.85 |
| No | 1.90 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
7/100
|
7/50
|
12/5
|
| William Hill |
7/100
|
3/20
|
23/10
|
| 888sport |
3/50
|
3/20
|
23/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Union — 2.5 goals; Hapoel Be'er Sheva — 0.5 goals.
Union team total goals
For Union's team total, Over 2 goals has shorter odds at 1.57 than Under 2 goals at 2.35. At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is offered at 1.73, compared with 2.05 for Over 2.5 goals; at the 3-goal line, Under 3 goals is at 1.40 against 2.80 for Over 3 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.35 | 2 | 1.57 |
| 1.73 | 2.5 | 2.05 |
| 1.40 | 3 | 2.80 |
Hapoel Be'er Sheva team total goals
For Hapoel Be'er Sheva's team total, Over 0.5 goals has shorter odds at 1.75 than Under 0.5 goals at 2.00. At the 1-goal and 1.5-goal lines, Under is the shorter option: 1.35 against 3.00 for Over 1 goal, and 1.16 against 4.30 for Over 1.5 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | 0.5 | 1.75 |
| 1.35 | 1 | 3.00 |
| 1.16 | 1.5 | 4.30 |
