Odds overview
Belarus are clear favourites: a Belarus win is available at 1.13, compared with 7.60 for a draw and 18.00 for a San Marino win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.59 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.24.
Why Belarus are favourites
Bookmakers strongly favour Belarus, offering odds of 1.13 for them to win. A draw is quoted at 7.60, while a San Marino win is available at 18.00.
- Belarus have a clear head-to-head advantage, having won all three of their meetings with San Marino.
- San Marino are on a prolonged losing run, having lost all 10 of their last 10 matches in official competitions.
Form and Line-up San Marino
San Marino last played on 6 October, losing 1:2 away to Albania. That was their first goal in the current UEFA Nations League campaign. Before that, the minnows lost 0:3 at home to the same opponents without scoring. Earlier still, they lost 0:7 at home to Finland.
- San Marino have not won any of their last 10 matches in official competitions.
- San Marino have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in their last 10 home matches in the UEFA Nations League.
Probable San Marino line-up (4-3-3): Edoardo Colombo, Michele Cevoli, Simone Giocondi, Dante Rossi, Filippo Fabbri, Fausto Salicioni, Lorenzo Capicchioni, Cristian Meloni, Samuele Zannoni, Enea Della Balda, Nicolas Giacopetti
Form and Line-up Belarus
Belarus sit second after four rounds, two points behind leaders Albania. They lost 0:2 away to Albania but kept clean sheets in their other three matches. Viktor Gancharenko's side can still gain direct promotion to the league above if they win both remaining matches, including their home game against Albania.
- Belarus have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in nine of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- More than 0.5 goals have been scored in eight of Belarus's last 10 matches in official competitions.
Probable Belarus line-up (4-4-2): Fedor Lapoukhov, Vladislav Kalinin, Zakhar Volkov, Kirill Gomanov, Kirill Pechenin, Valery Gromyko, Aleksandr Selyava, Valeriy Bocherov, Max Ebong, Artem Shumanskiy, German Barkovskiy
The teams' chances
A San Marino win is available at 18.00; the fair odds are 19.30, implying a 5.2% chance. A draw is quoted at 7.60, with fair odds of 8.15 and a 12.3% chance. A Belarus win at 1.13 corresponds to fair odds of 1.21 and an 82.5% chance.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Marino win | 18.00 | 19.30 | 5.2% |
| Draw | 7.60 | 8.15 | 12.3% |
| Belarus win | 1.13 | 1.21 | 82.5% |
Total goals prediction
In the totals market, Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.24 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.59. At a total of 2 goals, Under is quoted at 3.45 against 1.26 for Over. The odds are reversed at 3.5 goals: Under 3.5 is 1.49 and Over 3.5 is 2.46.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.24 | 1.59 |
| 2 | 3.45 | 1.26 |
| 3.5 | 1.49 | 2.46 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
4/1
|
1/20
|
1/100
|
| William Hill |
9/2
|
2/25
|
3/100
|
| LeoVegas |
7/2
|
7/100
|
3/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: San Marino — 0.5 goals; Belarus — 2.5 goals.
San Marino team total goals
For San Marino, Under 0.5 goals is available at 1.44 and Over 0.5 goals at 2.60. At a line of 1 goal, Under is offered at 1.08 against 6.45 for Over; at 1.5 goals, the respective odds are 1.04 and 7.40.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | 0.5 | 2.60 |
| 1.08 | 1 | 6.45 |
| 1.04 | 1.5 | 7.40 |
Belarus team total goals
For Belarus, Over 0.5 goals is available at 1.04, while Under 0.5 goals is 7.40. At a line of 2 goals, Under is 2.77 and Over is 1.40; at 2.5 goals, the odds are close, with Under at 1.84 and Over at 1.90. At 3 goals, Under is offered at 1.50 and Over at 2.45.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.40 | 0.5 | 1.04 |
| 2.77 | 2 | 1.40 |
| 1.84 | 2.5 | 1.90 |
| 1.50 | 3 | 2.45 |
