Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Leipzig are clear favourites: an away win is available at 1.87, compared with 4.00 for a Schalke win and 3.80 for a draw. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.45 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.60. For a handicap of 0, Leipzig Draw No Bet at 1.40 is favoured over Schalke Draw No Bet at 2.75.
Why Leipzig are favourites
Leipzig are the bookmakers' favourites, with an away win offered at 1.87. A Schalke win is available at 4.00 and a draw at 3.80.
- Leipzig have consistently scored heavily, averaging 2.4 goals per game in their last ten Bundesliga matches.
- Schalke have rarely won in the league, failing to win nine of their last ten Bundesliga matches.
Form and Line-up Schalke
On 28 October, Schalke lost 0:2 away to Dynamo Dresden. Before that, on 24 October, they drew 0:0 with Cologne.
Midfielder Dejan Ljubicic has returned to training after a knee injury. Head coach Miron Muslic says he could return against Leipzig if his recovery goes well.
- Under 3.5 goals has landed in eight of Schalke's last ten matches in all official competitions.
- Schalke's opponents have scored fewer than 3.5 goals in each of their last ten matches in all official competitions.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Loris Karius, Eric Ebimbe, Timo Becker, Vitalie Becker, Nikola Katić, Hasan Kuruçay, Jannik Bachmann, Satoshi Tanaka, Adil Aouchiche, Junior Adamu, Hwang Hee-chan
Form and Line-up Leipzig
On 27 October, Leipzig beat Rot-Weiss Essen 2:1 away. In that cup tie, they were reduced to ten men in the 44th minute when Nicolas Seiwald was sent off. But substitute Christoph Baumgartner secured the win for the visitors, scoring twice in the 78th and 82nd minutes.
Before that, Leipzig thrashed Elversberg 4:0 in the Bundesliga on 24 October and lost 1:4 to Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League on 21 October.
- Leipzig have scored at least once in nine of their last ten matches in all official competitions.
- Leipzig's opponents have scored fewer than 3.5 goals in seven of their last ten matches in all official competitions.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Ørjan Nyland, Benjamin Henrichs, Willi Orban, Maxime Estève, Max Finkgräfe, Andrija Maksimovic, Rocco Reitz, Neil El Aynaoui, Ezechiel Banzuzi, Antonio Nusa, Tidiam Gomis
The teams' chances
The margin-free assessment gives Leipzig a 51.0% chance of winning at fair odds of 1.96; a Schalke win has a 23.9% chance and fair odds of 4.19, while a draw has a 25.1% chance and fair odds of 3.98. The average odds are 1.87 for a Leipzig win, 4.00 for a Schalke win and 3.80 for a draw.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Schalke win | 4.00 | 4.19 | 23.9% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.98 | 25.1% |
| Leipzig win | 1.87 | 1.96 | 51.0% |
Total goals prediction
At a line of 2.5 goals, Over 2.5 at 1.45 is favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.60. At 3.5 goals, the positions are reversed: Under 3.5 is available at 1.73 and Over 3.5 at 2.10.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.60 | 1.45 |
| 3.5 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
Handicap prediction
Schalke (-1.5) are offered at 6.10, while Leipzig (-1.5) are at 2.85. At a handicap line of 1.5, the odds are 1.37 for Schalke (+1.5) and 1.08 for Leipzig (+1.5); at a line of 1, they are 1.58 for Schalke (+1) and 1.10 for Leipzig (+1). With a handicap of 0, Leipzig Draw No Bet at 1.40 is favoured over Schalke Draw No Bet at 2.75.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.10 | -1.5 | 2.85 |
| 1.37 | 1.5 | 1.08 |
| 5.50 | -1 | 2.40 |
| 1.58 | 1 | 1.10 |
| 2.75 | 0 | 1.40 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes is offered at 1.45, while Both teams to score – No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is available at 2.70.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.45 |
| No | 2.70 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
91/100
|
11/50
|
1/4
|
| 888sport |
91/100
|
11/50
|
29/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Schalke — 1 goal; Leipzig — 2 goals.
Schalke team total goals
For Schalke, Over 0.5 goals at 1.28 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 3.35. At a line of 1 goal, Over 1 at 1.63 has shorter odds than Under 1 at 2.20, while at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 at 1.53 is favoured over Over 1.5 at 2.45.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.35 | 0.5 | 1.28 |
| 2.20 | 1 | 1.63 |
| 1.53 | 1.5 | 2.45 |
Leipzig team total goals
For Leipzig, Over 0.5 goals at 1.09 has much shorter odds than Under 0.5 goals at 5.80. Over 1.5 at 1.58 is favoured over Under 1.5 at 2.30; at a line of 2 goals, Under 2 at 1.73 has shorter odds than Over 2 at 2.05, while at 2.5 goals, Under 2.5 is available at 1.40 compared with 2.70 for Over 2.5.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.80 | 0.5 | 1.09 |
| 2.30 | 1.5 | 1.58 |
| 1.73 | 2 | 2.05 |
| 1.40 | 2.5 | 2.70 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Max Burda (Germany)
Matches — 18 (Bundesliga, 2. Bundesliga, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 5.3;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 18;
Matches with a penalty — 7 of 18.
