Odds Overview
Schalke to win at 2.03 looks more attractive than the draw at 3.70 and Elversberg to win at 3.55. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.50 versus 2.50 for Under 2.5 goals, indicating expectations of a high-scoring match. At the handicap (0) level, Schalke Draw No Bet at 1.52 has shorter odds than Elversberg Draw No Bet at 2.55.
Why Schalke Are Favourites
The bookmakers favour the Gelsenkirchen side: Schalke to win is available at 2.03, Elversberg to win at 3.55, and the draw at 3.70.
- Schalke are playing at home, although they have had an uneven start: 4 points from their first three Bundesliga matches after a defeat to Augsburg, a draw with Bayern Munich and an away win over Union Berlin.
- Elversberg have made a stronger start in terms of points, winning two of their three matches against Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Mönchengladbach, while also losing narrowly to Bayern Munich.
Form and Line-up Schalke
In Matchday 3, Schalke recorded their first win of the season, beating Union Berlin 3:1 in Berlin thanks to goals from Robin Gosens, Adil Aouchiche and Maximilian Wöber. There have been changes to the squad: midfielder Dejan Ljubicic is injured, while goalkeeper Loris Karius has trained individually; Ron Schallenberg has served his suspension and is available for selection again.
- At least 11 corners have been recorded in 8 of Schalke's last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
- Schalke's opponents have committed at least 12 fouls in 9 of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
- At least 23 fouls in total have been committed in 9 of Schalke's last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
Probable Schalke line-up (3-4-2-1): Loris Karius, Timo Becker, Nikola Katić, Hasan Kuruçay, Ron Schallenberg, Soufiane El-Faouzi, Ao Tanaka, Robin Gosens, Kenan Karaman, Adil Aouchiche, Junior Adamu
Form and Line-up Elversberg
In the last round, Elversberg lost 1:2 at home to Bayern Munich, although Maurice Krattenmacher equalised after the break and Cole Campbell's goal shortly before half-time was ruled out after a video review. Head coach Vincent Wagner named the same starting line-up against Bayern as the one that won in Mönchengladbach, demonstrating the cohesion of the core group.
- In 8 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions, Elversberg's opponents have taken no more than 5 corners.
- In 8 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions, Elversberg's opponents have had no more than 13 shots, including blocked attempts.
- In 9 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions, Elversberg have not won the yellow-card count.
Probable Elversberg line-up (4-2-3-1): Nicolas Kristof, Jan Gyamerah, Lukas Pinckert, Maximilian Rohr, Lasse Günther, Felix Keidel, Łukasz Poręba, Lukas Petkov, Francis Onyeka, Cole Campbell, David Mokwa
Team Chances
Schalke to win is available at 2.03; the fair odds are 2.12, with a probability of 47.2%. The draw is available at 3.70, with fair odds of 3.86 and a probability of 25.9%; Elversberg to win is at 3.55, 3.71 and 27.0% respectively. The visitors' chances are slightly higher than those of a draw, but the hosts remain favourites.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Schalke to win | 2.03 | 2.12 | 47.2% |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.86 | 25.9% |
| Elversberg to win | 3.55 | 3.71 | 27.0% |
Total Goals Prediction
At the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.50 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.50. At 3.5, Under 3.5 goals has shorter odds at 1.67 versus 2.20 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 3.5 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
Handicap Prediction
Schalke (-1.5) is available at 3.05 and Elversberg (-1.5) at 5.70; at the 1.5 line, the odds are 1.09 for Schalke (+1.5) and 1.32 for Elversberg (+1.5). At the -1 line, Schalke (-1) is offered at 2.60 and Elversberg (-1) at 5.10; at the 1 line, the odds are 1.11 and 1.47 respectively. Schalke Draw No Bet at 1.52 is considerably shorter than Elversberg Draw No Bet at 2.55.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.05 | -1.5 | 5.70 |
| 1.09 | 1.5 | 1.32 |
| 2.60 | -1 | 5.10 |
| 1.11 | 1 | 1.47 |
| 1.52 | 0 | 2.55 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.43, while Both teams to score — No is at 2.65: the market more often expects both teams to score, while the latter option means that at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.43 |
| No | 2.65 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team Total Goals Prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Schalke — 1.5 goals; Elversberg — 1 goal.
Schalke Team Total
Schalke team total: Under 0.5 goals is available at 5.40 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.10; Under 1 goal at 3.65 and Over 1 goal at 1.25. At the 1.5 line, the odds are 2.10 for Under 1.5 goals and 1.70 for Over 1.5 goals; at the 2 line, they are 1.60 and 2.30 respectively.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.40 | 0.5 | 1.10 |
| 3.65 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 2.10 | 1.5 | 1.70 |
| 1.60 | 2 | 2.30 |
Elversberg Team Total
Elversberg team total: Under 0.5 goals is available at 3.55 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.25; Under 1 goal at 2.30 and Over 1 goal at 1.58. At the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 goals is available at 1.55 and Over 1.5 goals at 2.35.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.55 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.30 | 1 | 1.58 |
| 1.55 | 1.5 | 2.35 |
