Odds overview
Scotland are clear favourites: a Scotland win is available at 1.19, compared with 7.00 for a draw and 15.00 for a North Macedonia win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 is considered more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.14. Scotland (-1.5) are available at 1.61 in the handicap market, against 2.20 for North Macedonia (-1.5).
Why Scotland are favourites
Bookmakers give Scotland a clear advantage in the upcoming match: a Scotland win is available at 1.19, a draw at 7.00 and a North Macedonia win at 15.00.
- Scotland have the historical edge in head-to-head meetings: they are unbeaten in their last four against North Macedonia, winning three of them.
- North Macedonia have struggled in the current tournament, losing all four of their matches in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League.
Form and Line-up Scotland
Scotland played their last match at home on 6 October, losing 1:2 to Slovenia. They had taken the lead through Ryan Christie's 31st-minute goal, but two second-half strikes from the Balkan side turned the game around. Before that, Sébastien Pocognoli's team had played three matches in which at least one side failed to score: 2:0 against North Macedonia, 0:3 against Switzerland and, in their opener, 0:0 away to Slovenia.
- Scotland have failed to win 6 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Under 9.5 shots on target has landed in Scotland's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Nations League.
Probable Scotland line-up (3-5-1-1): Angus Gunn, Jack Hendry, Aaron Hickey, Luis Binks, Ben Gannon-Doak, Lewis Ferguson, Billy Gilmour, Andy Robertson, John McGinn, Ryan Christie, Oliver McBurnie
Absentees: Scott McKenna, Lawrence Shankland (injured)
Form and Line-up North Macedonia
North Macedonia lost their last match 0:3 away to Switzerland on 6 October, with three off-target attempts at the hosts' goal. It was the Balkan side's eighth consecutive match without scoring.
- North Macedonia have failed to win 8 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Under 5.5 yellow cards has landed in North Macedonia's last 10 away matches in the UEFA Nations League.
Probable North Macedonia line-up (4-2-3-1): Stole Dimitrievski, Bojan Ilievski, Anes Meliqi, Visar Musliu, Ezgjan Alioski, Jani Atanasov, Elif Elmas, Dimitar Mitrovski, Enis Bardhi, Ljupco Doriev, Elmin Rastoder
Teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Scotland an 80.0% chance of winning, with average odds of 1.19 and fair odds of 1.25. The draw has a 13.6% chance, with market odds of 7.00 and fair odds of 7.35. North Macedonia's chance of winning is 6.4%, with odds of 15.00 and 15.75 respectively.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland win | 1.19 | 1.25 | 80.0% |
| Draw | 7.00 | 7.35 | 13.6% |
| North Macedonia win | 15.00 | 15.75 | 6.4% |
Total goals betting
Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.14, while Over 2.5 goals is 1.65. At a line of 2 goals, Under is quoted at 3.25 and Over at 1.29. At a line of 3.5 goals, Under is 1.44 and Over is 2.60.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.14 | 1.65 |
| 2 | 3.25 | 1.29 |
| 3.5 | 1.44 | 2.60 |
Handicap betting
Scotland (-1.5) are available at 1.61 and North Macedonia (-1.5) at 2.20: the market rates a Scotland win with that handicap considerably more likely.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.61 | -1.5 | 2.20 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/25
|
1/10
|
7/2
|
| William Hill |
3/100
|
3/25
|
333/100
|
| LeoVegas |
1/25
|
1/10
|
29/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals betting
Bookmakers have set the following team-goals lines for this match: Scotland — 2.5 goals; North Macedonia — 0.5 goals.
Scotland team goals
For Scotland's team goals, Under 0.5 is available at 6.90 and Over 0.5 at 1.05. At a line of 2 goals, the odds are 2.22 for Under and 1.60 for Over; at 2.5, they are 1.70 and 2.06 respectively. At a line of 3 goals, Under is offered at 1.40 and Over at 2.77.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.90 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
| 2.22 | 2 | 1.60 |
| 1.70 | 2.5 | 2.06 |
| 1.40 | 3 | 2.77 |
North Macedonia team goals
For North Macedonia's team goals, Under 0.5 is available at 1.54 and Over 0.5 at 2.34. At a line of 1.5 goals, Under is offered at 1.05, while Over is available at 6.90.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.54 | 0.5 | 2.34 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 6.90 |
