Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Serbia are slight favourites: the home win is 2.60 versus 2.75 for the away win, with the draw at 3.35. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.73 looks preferable to Over 2.5 goals at 2.10. On the Draw No Bet market, Serbia are at 1.87 and Greece at 1.95.
Why Serbia are favourites for the match
Serbia to win is available at 2.60, Greece to win at 2.75, and the draw at 3.35.
• Serbia regularly feature in high-scoring matches: over 1.5 goals has landed in 8 of their last 10 games, while their opponents have scored in 9 of those 10 matches.
• Greece also regularly give their opponents opportunities in attack, conceding at least once in 8 of their last 10 matches.
Form and Line-up Serbia
Serbia did not qualify for the FIFA World Cup this year, so they played their last match before it: on 4 June, they were thrashed by one of the tournament hosts, Mexico (1:5).
In recent matches, Serbia have often committed fouls at home, making at least 11 in 8 of their last 10 home fixtures. At the same time, Serbia's games are usually restrained in terms of disciplinary sanctions and offsides: no more than five yellow cards were shown in 8 of 10 matches at their home ground, while the total number of offsides across all competitions did not exceed three.
- At home, Serbia and their opponents committed no more than 25 fouls in 8 of their last 10 matches.
- Serbia received no more than two yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- In 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions, Serbia scored no more than two goals.
Probable Serbia line-up (4-2-3-1): Vanja Milinković-Savić, Nikola Milenković, Strahinja Pavlović, Srđan Babić, Kosta Nedeljkovic, Aleksandar Stanković, Saša Lukić, Filip Kostić, Dušan Tadić, Lazar Samardžić, Dušan Vlahović
Form and Line-up Greece
Greece are consistent in first halves, with no more than four goals scored in each of their last 10 matches. The visitors make active use of the flanks, taking at least four corners in 8 of 10 games, and their matches are characterised by fair play: the two teams combined received no more than five yellow cards in 9 of 10 games.
- In 8 of Greece's last 10 home matches, their opponents were caught offside no more than once.
- Greece's opponents received no more than two yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- In 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions, Greece scored no more than two goals.
Probable Greece line-up (4-2-3-1): Odysseas Vlachodimos, Georgios Vagiannidis, Konstantinos Mavropanos, Konstantinos Koulierakis, Kostas Tsimikas, Dimitrios Kourbelis, Christos Zafeiris, Konstantinos Karetsas, Christos Tzolis, Tasos Douvikas, Vangelis Pavlidis
Team chances
Serbia to win is offered at 2.60; the fair odds are 2.72 and the probability is 36.7%. The draw is 3.35, with fair odds of 3.51 and a probability of 28.5%. Greece to win is 2.75; the fair odds are 2.88 and the probability is 34.7%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serbia to win | 2.60 | 2.72 | 36.7% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.51 | 28.5% |
| Greece to win | 2.75 | 2.88 | 34.7% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.73 versus 2.10 for Over 2.5 goals. For the line of 2, Over 2 is shorter at 1.55, while Under 2 is 2.35. At the 3.5 line, Under 3.5 is 1.27 and Over 3.5 is 3.40.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 2 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.27 | 3.40 |
Handicap prediction
Serbia (-1.5) is 5.00 and Greece (-1.5) is 5.20. On the +1.5 handicap, the odds are almost identical: Serbia (+1.5) is 1.11 and Greece (+1.5) is 1.12. Serbia (-1) is offered at 4.15 versus 4.30 for Greece (-1); Serbia (+1) is 1.16 versus 1.18 for Greece (+1). On the Draw No Bet market, Serbia are 1.87 and Greece 1.95.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.00 | -1.5 | 5.20 |
| 1.11 | 1.5 | 1.12 |
| 4.15 | -1 | 4.30 |
| 1.16 | 1 | 1.18 |
| 1.87 | 0 | 1.95 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is 1.82, while Both teams to score — No is 1.93: the market gives a slightly higher probability to both teams scoring.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.82 |
| No | 1.93 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/25
|
33/100
|
11/25
|
| William Hill |
11/25
|
33/100
|
1/2
|
| 888sport |
11/25
|
33/100
|
1/2
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Serbia — 1 goal, Greece — 1 goal.
Serbia team total
Serbia team total: Over 0.5 goals is 1.30 versus 3.15 for Under 0.5 goals. On the line of 1, Over 1 is 1.65 and Under 1 is 2.18. At the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 is shorter at 1.50, while Over 1.5 is offered at 2.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.15 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.18 | 1 | 1.65 |
| 1.50 | 1.5 | 2.50 |
Greece team total
Greece team total: Over 0.5 goals is offered at 1.35 versus 2.95 for Under 0.5 goals. On the line of 1, Over 1 is 1.75 and Under 1 is 2.05. At the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 is 1.45 and Over 1.5 is 2.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.95 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 2.05 | 1 | 1.75 |
| 1.45 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Glenn Nyberg (Sweden)
Matches — 19 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 2.8;
Matches with red cards — 3 of 19;
Matches with penalties — 4 of 19.
