Odds overview
Barcelona are clear favourites: Barcelona to win is 1.20 against 13.00 for Sevilla to win, while the draw is 7.00. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.27 is considerably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 3.40. Barcelona (-1.5) at 1.55 looks preferable to Sevilla (+1.5) at 2.40.
Why Barcelona are favourites for the match
Bookmakers consider Barcelona overwhelming favourites: an away win in Fonbet's odds is available at 1.20 (a 79.1% fair probability), Sevilla to win is 13.00 (7.3%), and the draw is 7.00 (13.6%).
- Barcelona rank first in the league for goals scored, averaging 4.2 per game in the pre-match sample.
- Sevilla concede an average of 1 goal per game, ranking second from bottom on that metric among the 20 teams in the league's pre-match sample.
Form and Line-up Sevilla
On 16 September 2026, Sevilla secured a narrow 1:0 win over Deportivo La Coruna thanks to a successful counter-attack. Earlier, on 11 September, the Andalusians beat Valencia 1:0 at home.
At home, Sevilla are resilient and have not been beaten on shots on target in 9 of their last 10 La Liga home matches. However, there are only three days between the trip to Deportivo and the match against Barcelona, increasing the likelihood of squad rotation.
- Over 1.5 goals were scored in 4 of Sevilla's 5 La Liga matches.
- No more than 3 goals were scored in 9 of Sevilla's last 10 home matches in La Liga.
- A maximum of 10 corners were recorded in 9 of Sevilla's last 10 home matches in La Liga.
Probable Sevilla line-up (4-2-3-1): Odysseas Vlachodimos, Juan Iglesias, Andres Castrin, Kike Salas, Gabriel Suazo, Lucien Agoume, Youssouf Fofana, Jon Guridi, Felix Correia, Lucas Stassin, Miguel Sierra
Form and Line-up Barcelona
On 16 September 2026, Barcelona thrashed Racing Santander 7:2, scoring four open-play goals, converting two penalties and forcing an own goal. Three days earlier, the Catalans won 4:2 away to Levante.
The Catalans effectively restrict their opponents' activity: in 9 of their last 10 away league matches, opponents have attempted no more than 13 shots, including blocked efforts. At the same time, the trip to Seville concludes a demanding run of five matches in 14 days, with only three days since the game against Racing, creating a risk of rotation.
- Over 3.5 goals were scored in 4 of Barcelona's 5 La Liga matches.
- Barcelona committed no more than 12 fouls in their last 10 away La Liga matches.
- No more than 10 corners were taken in 9 of Barcelona's last 10 away matches in La Liga.
Probable Barcelona line-up (4-3-3): Joan Garcia, Joao Cancelo, Gerard Martin, Eric Garcia, Andreas Christensen, Rodrigo Hernandez, Dani Olmo, Pedri, Raphinha, Karim Adeyemi, Lamine Yamal
Team chances
The fair-odds estimate gives Barcelona a 79.1% chance of winning at odds of 1.26, while Sevilla to win is estimated at 7.3% and 13.69, and the draw at 13.6% and 7.37. Market odds are 1.20 for Barcelona to win, 13.00 for Sevilla to win and 7.00 for the draw.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla to win | 13.00 | 13.69 | 7.3% |
| Draw | 7.00 | 7.37 | 13.6% |
| Barcelona to win | 1.20 | 1.26 | 79.1% |
Total goals prediction
Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.27 against 3.40 for Under 2.5 goals, indicating expectations of a high-scoring match. At the 3.5 line, Over 3.5 goals also has the edge — 1.70 against 2.15 for Under 3.5 goals — but it is markedly smaller.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 3.40 | 1.27 |
| 3.5 | 2.15 | 1.70 |
Handicap prediction
Barcelona (-1.5) is available at 1.55, while Sevilla (+1.5) is 2.40. At the -1 line, Barcelona (-1) is 1.25 and Sevilla (+1) is 3.55; with the zero handicap, Barcelona (0) is 1.04 against 8.00 for Sevilla (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 1.55 | |
| 2.40 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 1.25 | |
| 3.55 | 1 | |
| 8.00 | 0 | 1.04 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.72 is preferable to Both teams to score - No at 2.05. The higher odds for No mean that the scenario in which at least one team does not score is rated less likely.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.72 |
| No | 2.05 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
333/100
|
1/10
|
1/20
|
| 888sport |
17/5
|
1/10
|
1/20
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Sevilla — 0.5 goals, Barcelona — 3 goals.
Sevilla team total
Sevilla team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.68 is slightly preferable to Under 0.5 goals at 2.12. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is shorter at 1.38 against 2.80 for Over 1 goal, while at 1.5, Under 1.5 goals is 1.20 against 4.20 for Over 1.5 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.12 | 0.5 | 1.68 |
| 1.38 | 1 | 2.80 |
| 1.20 | 1.5 | 4.20 |
Barcelona team total
Barcelona team total: Over 2.5 goals at 1.60 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. At the 3-goal line, the odds are almost even: Under 3 goals is 1.82 and Over 3 goals is 1.93. At 3.5, Under 3.5 goals at 1.53 is preferable to Over 3.5 goals at 2.40.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 2.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.82 | 3 | 1.93 |
| 1.53 | 3.5 | 2.40 |
