Odds overview
Sevilla are favourites to win at 1.92, while the draw is available at around 3.40 and an Osasuna win at 4.30. Under 2.5 goals at 1.72 is considerably shorter than Over 2.5 at 2.12. On the handicap, Sevilla Draw No Bet (0) at 1.37 is favoured over Osasuna Draw No Bet (0) at 2.85.
Why Sevilla are match favourites
Bookmakers offer 1.92 for a Sevilla win, 3.40 for a draw and 4.30 for an Osasuna win.
- The Andalusian side go into the match higher in the table: Sevilla are sixth with 14 points, while Osasuna are 10th with 11.
- The visitors have struggled defensively: Osasuna concede an average of two goals per game, the joint third-worst record by this measure.
- Sevilla have lost to Osasuna only once in their last 16 home matches.
Form and Line-up Sevilla
Sevilla suffered a heavy 1:4 away defeat to Real Madrid in the last round, extending their winless run in La Liga to three matches. Before that, they lost to Barcelona (1:3) and drew with Levante (3:3).
- There have been under 3.5 goals in 8 of Sevilla's last 10 home matches in La Liga.
- Sevilla and their opponents have taken fewer than 10.5 corners combined in 9 of Sevilla's last 10 home matches in La Liga.
- Sevilla's opponents have had fewer than 13.5 shots in 9 of Sevilla's last 10 home matches in La Liga.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Odysseas Vlachodimos, Juan Iglesias, Kike Salas, Andrés Castrín, Gabriel Suazo, Youssouf Fofana, Lucien Agoumé, Chidera Ejuke, Giorgi Kochorashvili, Félix Correia, Robbie Ure.
Absentees: Marcão, Miguel Ortega and Jon Guridi (all injured); Lucas Stassin (doubtful).
Form and Line-up Osasuna
Osasuna beat Racing Santander 2:0 in their previous match, ending a five-match winless run of one draw and four defeats. It was their first match since Jagoba Arrasate's return, and he immediately emphasised high pressing, direct attacks and a compact defensive structure.
- Osasuna have had fewer than 13.5 shots in each of their last 10 away matches in La Liga.
- Osasuna have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 away matches in La Liga.
- Osasuna have committed more than 11.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 away matches in La Liga.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Aitor Fernandez, Valentin Rosier, Enzo Boyomo, Alejandro Catena, Abel Bretones, Jon Moncayola, Moi Gómez, Iker Muñoz, Ruben Garcia, Ante Budimir, Jonathan Dubasin.
Absentees: Aimar Oroz and Romen Del Kastilo (both injured).
Both teams' chances
A Sevilla win is offered at 1.92, with fair odds of 2.01 and a fair probability of 49.7%. The draw is available at 3.40, with fair odds of 3.56 and a probability of 28.1%; the corresponding figures for an Osasuna win are 4.30, 4.50 and 22.2%. The hosts remain clear favourites.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla win | 1.92 | 2.01 | 49.7% |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.56 | 28.1% |
| Osasuna win | 4.30 | 4.50 | 22.2% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.72, compared with 2.12 for Over 2.5. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is quoted at the higher odds of 2.25, while Over 2 is at 1.60. For the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 is available at 1.23 and Over 3.5 at 3.75 — the market is considerably more cautious about a high-scoring match.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.72 | 2.12 |
| 2 | 2.25 | 1.60 |
| 3.5 | 1.23 | 3.75 |
Handicap prediction
Sevilla (-1.5) are available at 3.75, while Osasuna (-1.5) are at 8.50. On the +1.5 line, Sevilla (+1.5) and Osasuna (+1.5) are quoted at 1.04 and 1.23 respectively. For the -1 line, Sevilla (-1) are offered at 2.95 and Osasuna (-1) at 7.30; for the +1 line, Sevilla (+1) are at 1.05 and Osasuna (+1) at 1.40. On the zero handicap, Sevilla Draw No Bet (0) at 1.37 are favoured over Osasuna Draw No Bet (0) at 2.85.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.75 | -1.5 | 8.50 |
| 1.04 | 1.5 | 1.23 |
| 2.95 | -1 | 7.30 |
| 1.05 | 1 | 1.40 |
| 1.37 | 0 | 2.85 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – No is shorter at 1.80 than Both teams to score – Yes at 1.95, so the market gives slightly more weight to at least one team failing to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.95 |
| No | 1.80 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/50
|
33/100
|
91/100
|
| 888sport |
1/4
|
33/100
|
4/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Sevilla at 1.5 goals and Osasuna at 0.5 goals.
Sevilla team total goals
For Sevilla's team total, Under 0.5 is available at 3.90 and Over 0.5 at 1.20; at the 1-goal line, the respective odds are 2.70 and 1.40. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is quoted at 1.67 and Over 1.5 at 2.15; at 2 goals, Under 2 is at 1.25 and Over 2 at 3.50. The market expects the hosts to score at least once but is more cautious about two or more goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.90 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.70 | 1 | 1.40 |
| 1.67 | 1.5 | 2.15 |
| 1.25 | 2 | 3.50 |
Osasuna team total goals
For Osasuna's team total, Under 0.5 is available at 2.30 and Over 0.5 at 1.60. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is quoted at 1.53 and Over 1 at 2.45; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is at 1.25 against 3.65 for Over 1.5. The market allows for one goal from the visitors but considers a higher tally unlikely.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 0.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.53 | 1 | 2.45 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 3.65 |
