Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Sevilla are favourites: the home win is available at 2.20, compared with 3.55 for the away win, while the draw is 3.20. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.60 is markedly favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 2.30. In the handicap market, Sevilla Draw No Bet at 1.55 looks more likely than Valencia Draw No Bet at 2.45.
Why Sevilla are favourites for the match
A Sevilla win is available at 2.20, the draw at 3.20 and a Valencia win at 3.55. The arguments in favour of this assessment are:
The hosts have made a much more confident start to the season and sit seventh in the La Liga table with seven points from four matches.
The visitors are bottom of the table with a goal difference of 1:9.
In their last eight head-to-head meetings at the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Stadium, Sevilla have lost to Valencia only twice.
Form and Line-up Sevilla
Sevilla began the season with two wins — over Rayo Vallecano (2:1) and Athletic Club (3:1). However, the Andalusians came up short against Atletico Madrid — 1:3. In the previous round, Sevilla drew 1:1 with Espanyol: the team took the lead in the 85th minute while a man down following Aruna Sangante's dismissal, but conceded the win in stoppage time.
Key numbers:
Sevilla have committed at least 13 fouls in 9 of their last 10 home La Liga matches.
In 9 of their last 10 home La Liga matches, Sevilla have received at least two yellow cards.
Sevilla under 2.5 goals has landed in their last 10 home Primera Division matches.
Probable Sevilla line-up (4-2-3-1): Odysseas Vlachodimos — Juan Iglesias, Kike Salas, Andres Castrin, Gabriel Suazo — Lucien Agoume, Giorgi Kochorashvili — Miguel Ortega, Jon Guridi, Chidera Ejuke — Robbie Ure.
Absentees: Aruna Sangante (suspended), Ruben Vargas (injured).
Form and Line-up Valencia
Valencia took one point from their opening match against Celta Vigo (0:0), but then suffered three consecutive defeats. In their most recent match, Los Che were heavily beaten 0:5 by Barcelona, conceding twice before half-time and losing Mouctar Diakhaby to injury. Valencia sit 20th with a goal difference of 1:9.
Key numbers:
Valencia have taken no more than five corners in 8 of their last 10 away La Liga matches.
In 8 of their last 10 away La Liga matches, Valencia have registered no more than four shots on target.
Valencia under 1.5 goals has landed in 6 of their last 8 away Primera Division matches.
Probable Valencia line-up (5-4-1): Stole Dimitrievski — Pablo Maffeo, Arnau Martinez, Iker Cordoba, Pepelu, Jesus Vazquez — David Otorbi, Aliou Dieng, Filip Ugrinic, Javi Guerra — Arnaut Danjuma.
Absentees: Guido Rodriguez, Umar Sadiq, Justin de Haas (all injured), Jose Manuel Copete, Dimitri Foulquier, Alberto Mari, Diego Lopez, Mouctar Diakhaby (all doubts).
Team chances
The home win is available at 2.20; the fair odds are 2.31 and the probability is 43.3%. The draw is available at 3.20, with fair odds of 3.36 and a probability of 29.8%. The away win is quoted at 3.55, with fair odds of 3.72 and a probability of 26.9%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
Sevilla win | 2.20 | 2.31 | 43.3% |
Draw | 3.20 | 3.36 | 29.8% |
Valencia win | 3.55 | 3.72 | 26.9% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.60 and Over 2.5 goals at 2.30. At the 2-goal line, Under is 2.00 and Over is 1.75. At the 3.5-goal line, Under is available at 1.20, compared with 4.20 for Over.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
2 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
3.5 | 1.20 | 4.20 |
Handicap prediction
Sevilla (-1.5) is available at 4.20 and Valencia (-1.5) at 7.50. At a handicap of 1.5, the odds are 1.05 for Sevilla (+1.5) and 1.17 for Valencia (+1.5). Sevilla (-1) is 3.40 compared with 6.50 for Valencia (-1), while Sevilla (+1) is 1.07 compared with 1.27 for Valencia (+1). In the Draw No Bet market, Sevilla are quoted at 1.55, shorter than Valencia at 2.45.
Home | Handicap | Away |
4.20 | -1.5 | 7.50 |
1.05 | 1.5 | 1.17 |
3.40 | -1 | 6.50 |
1.07 | 1 | 1.27 |
1.55 | 0 | 2.45 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.75 is quoted shorter than Both teams to score - Yes at 2.00, meaning the scenario in which at least one team does not score is considered more likely.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 2.00 |
No | 1.75 |
Double chance prediction
1X is available at 1.30, 12 at 1.35 and X2 at 1.67. The 1X option is the shortest, while X2 has the highest odds.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.30 | 1.35 | 1.67 |
Team total goals prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Sevilla — 1 goal, Valencia — 1 goal.
Sevilla team total
Sevilla team total: Under 0.5 goals is 3.25 and Over 0.5 goals is 1.30; at the 1-goal line, they are 2.17 and 1.65 respectively. At the 1.5-goal line, Under is 1.52 and Over is 2.45.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.25 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
2.17 | 1 | 1.65 |
1.52 | 1.5 | 2.45 |
Valencia team total
Valencia team total: Under 0.5 goals is available at 2.40 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.55; at the 1-goal line, they are 1.60 and 2.30 respectively. At the 1.5-goal line, Under is 1.25, while Over is 3.45.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.40 | 0.5 | 1.55 |
1.60 | 1 | 2.30 |
1.25 | 1.5 | 3.45 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Mateo Busquets (Spain)
Matches — 20 (La Liga, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 5.1;
Matches with red cards — 6 of 20;
Matches with penalties — 5 of 20.
