Odds overview
Sporting are the favourites: a Sporting win is available at 1.98, compared with 3.60 for Shakhtar Donetsk and 3.75 for the draw. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 is considered more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.14. In the 0-handicap market, Sporting at 1.47 are favoured over Shakhtar Donetsk at 2.51.
Why Sporting are favourites
Sporting are the bookmakers' favourites, with odds of 1.98 for a win by the Portuguese side. The draw is offered at 3.75, while a Shakhtar Donetsk win is 3.60.
- Sporting have regularly avoided defeat over the course of the season: the Portuguese club have lost none of their last 8 out of 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Shakhtar Donetsk have been outshot by their opponents on the international stage: the Donetsk club have had fewer shots than their opponents in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Champions League matches.
Form and Line-up Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk come into this match after a 2:0 win over Obolon-Brovar on 30 October, keeping a clean sheet. Before that, on 27 October, they also kept a clean sheet in a convincing 3:0 victory over Dinamo Kyiv.
The hosts' main absentee is midfielder Pedrinho. Head coach Arda Turan confirmed that the player needs surgery and will be out for a long time. According to Turan, Isaque could take the Brazilian's place. The coaching staff are also considering Newerton and Alisson.
- Shakhtar Donetsk have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Shakhtar Donetsk's opponents have scored fewer than two goals in each of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
Probable line-up: Dmytro Riznyk, Vinícius Tobias, Valeriy Bondar, Mykola Matviyenko, Pedro Henrique, Oleg Ocheretko, Alisson Santana, Newerton, Marlon Gomes, Gleiker Mendoza, Kauã Elias
Pedrinho and Eguinaldo will miss out for Shakhtar Donetsk through injury.
Form and Line-up Sporting
Sporting won their most recent match, beating Casa Pia 2:0 away on 30 October. Earlier, on 27 October, the Lisbon club beat Marítimo 2:1 at home, returning to winning ways after a 1:2 defeat to Académico de Viseu on 25 October.
The visitors have fitness concerns over several players. Zeno Debast and Rodrigo Zalazar are recovering from muscle problems and trained separately from the main group. Nestory Irankunda did recovery work after complaining of a knee problem.
- Sporting have scored at least one goal in each of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Sporting have scored fewer than two goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Champions League.
Probable line-up: Kayke, Iván Fresneda, Eduardo Quaresma, Gonçalo Inácio, Maximiliano Araújo, João Simões, Nestory Irankunda, Sergi Altimira, Issa Doumbia, Geny Catamo, Luis Suárez
Zeno Debast and Rodrigo Zalazar are on Sporting's injury list, while Nuno Santos will also miss the match through injury.
The teams' chances
The margin-free assessment gives Shakhtar Donetsk a 26.5% chance of winning, with average odds of 3.60 and fair odds of 3.78. The draw is rated at 25.4%, with odds of 3.75 against fair odds of 3.94. A Sporting win has the highest probability at 48.1%, with odds of 1.98 and fair odds of 2.08.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk win | 3.60 | 3.78 | 26.5% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.94 | 25.4% |
| Sporting win | 1.98 | 2.08 | 48.1% |
Total goals analysis
Under 2.5 goals is offered at 2.14 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.65. For the 2-goal line, Under 2 is available at 3.25 and Over 2 at 1.29; for the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 is 1.45 and Over 3.5 is 2.57.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.14 | 1.65 |
| 2 | 3.25 | 1.29 |
| 3.5 | 1.45 | 2.57 |
Handicap analysis
Shakhtar Donetsk with a handicap of 1 are available at 1.47, while Sporting with a handicap of 1 are 2.51. The odds are reversed for a 0 handicap: Shakhtar Donetsk are 2.51 and Sporting are 1.47.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.47 | 1 | 2.51 |
| 2.51 | 0 | 1.47 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
4/5
|
29/100
|
1/4
|
| William Hill |
17/20
|
1/4
|
29/100
|
| 888sport |
17/20
|
1/4
|
29/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals analysis
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal lines: Shakhtar Donetsk — 1 goal; Sporting — 1.5 goals.
Shakhtar Donetsk team goals
For Shakhtar Donetsk, Under 0.5 goals is available at 3.05 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.33. On the 1-goal line, Under 1 is offered at 2.10 and Over 1 at 1.68, while Under 1 is also listed at 3.40 and Over 1 at 1.27.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.05 | 0.5 | 1.33 |
| 2.10 | 1 | 1.68 |
| 3.40 | 1 | 1.27 |
Sporting team goals
For Sporting, Under 0.5 goals is available at 4.40 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.16. On the 1.5-goal line, the odds are close: Under 1.5 is 1.92 and Over 1.5 is 1.82. For the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.45 and Over 2 is 2.65.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.40 | 0.5 | 1.16 |
| 1.92 | 1.5 | 1.82 |
| 1.45 | 2 | 2.65 |
