The first leg of the 2025/26 Conference League round-of-16 tie between SK Sigma Olomouc (Czech Republic) and FSV Mainz 05 (Germany) will take place on 12 March at the Andruv stadion in Olomouc. SK Sigma Olomouc vs FSV Mainz 05: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
SK Sigma Olomouc
SK Sigma Olomouc came through Lausanne in the play-offs. In the first leg, the home side drew 1:1 under Tomas Janotka, before winning the return match away from home 2:1. It is worth noting that this was the team’s first victory in their previous four Conference League matches (one draw, two defeats). At the same time, the club’s scoring run in the competition has reached seven games. However, it should be added that SK Sigma Olomouc have conceded in every match in the 2025/26 Conference League. Recall that the Czechs’ best achievement in European competition is reaching the UEFA Cup quarter-finals back in the 1991/92 season.
- Both teams to score has landed in SK Sigma Olomouc’s previous seven Conference League matches.
- The team have not conceded more than one goal in five of their last seven matches in this competition.
- The Czechs have scored in five of their previous seven home matches on the international stage.
Potential SK Sigma Olomouc Lineup (4-4-2)*
Jan Koutny – Abdoulaye Sylla, Matej Hadash, Jiri Slama, Matus Maly – Jachim Sip, Jan Kliment, Peter Barac, Michal Beran – Antonin Rusek, Daniel Sturm.
The team’s injury list includes forwards Yunusa Muritala and Artur Dolzhnikov, defender Jan Kral, and midfielders David Tkac and Filip Urica. Defender Abdoulay Sylla is suspended.
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05 finished seventh in the league phase. The away side avoided defeat in five of their six matches (four wins, one draw), but scored only seven goals in the process. Notably, 14 opponents recorded a higher scoring output. However, thanks to their defensive reliability, the club finished in the tournament’s top five. Overall, FSV Mainz 05 can already consider this European season a success, especially given that the club had never previously reached the play-offs in European competition.
- No more than two goals have been scored in five of FSV Mainz 05’s previous six Conference League matches.
- In six consecutive away matches in European competition, the team have scored no more than once.
- On the road, the club have failed to win five of their last six matches on the international stage (two draws, three defeats).
Potential FSV Mainz 05 Lineup (3-5-2)*
Daniel Batz – Dominik Kohr, Kacper Potulski, Andreas Hanche-Olsen – Silvan Widmer, Lee Jae-sung, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Danny da Costa – Nelson Weiper, Paul Nebel.
Forward Benedict Hollerbach, as well as defenders Lennard Maloney, Stefan Bell, Maxim Dal, Antoni Caci, and goalkeeper Robin Zentner will miss the match through injury.
Referee
Mohammad Al-Emara (Finland)
Matches officiated – 8 (International matches, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 29;
Yellow cards per match on average – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 0;
Fouls per match on average – 22;
Penalties – 63%.
SK Sigma Olomouc vs FSV Mainz 05: Match Prediction
The Germans are listed as favourites for the upcoming match. The team came through the league phase more convincingly than their next opponents, but FSV Mainz 05 collected a significant share of their points at home. Away from home in this season’s edition of the competition, the club have just one win. What is more, the Germans have won only two of their nine away matches in European competition (three draws, four defeats), and on both occasions they prevailed by the narrowest of margins.
The Czechs have produced poor results on their own ground, recording only one win in this season’s campaign. However, the team have avoided any heavy setbacks: SK Sigma Olomouc’s only defeat came by a one-goal margin. Moreover, two of the club’s three defeats in the 2024/25 Conference League were by exactly one goal. Only away to Fiorentina did Tomas Janotka’s side lose by a bigger margin.
Prediction: SK Sigma Olomouc (+1)
* For each team, the starting XI listed is from their previous match in this competition.
