Odds Overview
Ajax are clear favourites: Ajax to win is 1.70, while Sion to win and the draw are around 4.00 and 4.30. In the main total-goals line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.58 is notably preferred to Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. On the handicap, Ajax (-1.5) at 2.60 is rated higher than Sion (-1.5) at 7.20.
Why Ajax Are Favourites for the Match
An Ajax win is priced at 1.70, the draw is offered at 4.30, and a Sion win is 4.00.
No more than four goals were scored in 8 of Ajax's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Sion, meanwhile, are highly productive in attack: the Swiss club have scored at least two goals in 9 of their last 10 games in all competitions.
Form and Line-up Sion
In Conference League qualifying, Sion beat Noah 2:1 in the return match and went through 4:3 on aggregate, showing character after losing the first half. In the Swiss Cup, the team thrashed Kerzers 6:1, scoring five goals after the 48th minute, although the coaching staff rotated and rested first-team players including Lavanchy and Baltazar.
Key numbers:
Sion were unbeaten in 9 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
In 9 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions, Sion had at least 5 shots on target.
No more than 5 yellow cards were shown in 9 of Sion's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Sion line-up (4-2-3-1): Ruberto — Kessler — Sow — Kronig — Hefti — Sylla — Rrudhani — Chipperfield — Kololli — Berdayes — Lukembila.
Absentees: Hajrizi (injury).
Form and Line-up Ajax
In their European tie with Shelbourne, Ajax drew 2:2 away and reached the next round 5:3 on aggregate thanks to their first-leg win. In the Eredivisie, meanwhile, the Amsterdam side let a two-goal lead slip against Heerenveen (2:2). Their attacking resources have also been reduced before the trip to Switzerland by Mika Godts' move to PSG.
Key numbers:
Ajax scored at least one goal in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
At least two goals were scored in 8 of Ajax's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Across the last 10 matches in all competitions, Ajax's opponents did not score more than two goals.
Probable Ajax line-up (4-2-3-1): Marc ter Stegen — Youri Baas — Aaron Bouwman — Caio Henrique — Lucas Rosa — Youri Regeer — Marcos Leonardo — Jorthy Mokio — Tolu Arokodare — Julian Brandt — Oliver Edvardsen.
Team Chances
A Sion win is offered at 4.00; the no-margin estimate is 4.28 and 23.3%. The draw is priced at 4.30, with a no-margin estimate of 4.60 and a probability of 21.7%. Ajax to win at 1.70 is the most likely outcome: no-margin estimate 1.82, probability 54.9%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average no-margin odds | No-margin probability |
Sion win | 4.00 | 4.28 | 23.3% |
Draw | 4.30 | 4.60 | 21.7% |
Ajax win | 1.70 | 1.82 | 54.9% |
Total Goals Prediction
On the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.58 is notably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. At 3.5, the picture is reversed: Under 3.5 goals is 1.55, while Over 3.5 goals is 2.30.
Under | Line | Over |
2.30 | 2.5 | 1.58 |
1.55 | 3.5 | 2.30 |
Handicap Prediction
Ajax (-1.5) at 2.60 is priced significantly shorter than Sion (-1.5) at 7.20. On the 1.5 line, Ajax (+1.5) is shorter — 1.05 versus 1.45 for Sion (+1.5). Ajax (-1) at 2.12 is preferred to Sion (-1) at 6.30, while on the 1 line Ajax (+1) is 1.07 and Sion (+1) is 1.68. With a Draw No Bet handicap, Ajax (0) is 1.33 and Sion (0) is 2.90.
Sion | Handicap | Ajax |
7.20 | (-1.5) | 2.60 |
1.45 | (+1.5) | 1.05 |
6.30 | (-1) | 2.12 |
1.68 | (+1) | 1.07 |
2.90 | (0) | 1.33 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.60 looks more likely than Both teams to score - No at 2.30, which means at least one of the teams will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.60 |
No | 2.30 |
Double Chance Prediction
The shortest double chance is 12 at 1.20; X2 is 1.22. The 1X option is priced higher at 2.10.
1X | 12 | X2 |
11/10
|
1/5
|
11/50
|
Individual Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following individual totals: Sion — 1 goal, Ajax — 1.5 goals.
Sion Individual Total
Sion: Over 0.5 goals at 1.38 is preferred to Under 0.5 goals at 2.80. On the 1 line, the odds are level: Under 1 goal at 1.85 and Over 1 goal at 1.85. For 1.5, Under 1.5 goals is 1.37 and Over 1.5 goals is 2.85.
Under | Individual total | Over |
2.80 | 0.5 | 1.38 |
1.85 | 1 | 1.85 |
1.37 | 1.5 | 2.85 |
Ajax Individual Total
Ajax: Over 0.5 goals at 1.09 is notably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 5.70, while Over 1 goal at 1.19 is shorter than Under 1 goal at 4.10. On the 1.5 line, Over 1.5 goals at 1.65 is preferred to Under 1.5 goals at 2.10. For 2, Under 2 goals is 1.63 and Over 2 goals is 2.15.
Under | Individual total | Over |
5.70 | 0.5 | 1.09 |
4.10 | 1 | 1.19 |
2.10 | 1.5 | 1.65 |
1.63 | 2 | 2.15 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Mohammed Al-Hakim (Sweden)
Matches – 6 (international matches, 2025-2026);
Average fouls per match – 21;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 4.5;
Matches with red cards – 1 out of 6;
Matches with penalties – 1 out of 6.
