Odds overview
Slovakia are clear favourites: a home win is available at around 1.30, compared with 5.20 for a draw and 11.50 for a Kazakhstan win. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 is slightly favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 2.00. The handicap odds are close for Slovakia (-1.5) at 1.93 and Kazakhstan (+1.5) at 1.87; Slovakia (-1) is available at 1.45, compared with 2.65 for Kazakhstan (+1), while the handicap (0) market favours the hosts much more strongly: Slovakia (0) are at 1.05 and Kazakhstan (0) at 7.10.
Why Slovakia are favourites
Bookmakers strongly favour the hosts: Slovakia are 1.30 to win, the draw is available at 5.20, and a Kazakhstan victory is offered at 11.50.
- Slovakia have backed up their status as favourites with consistent results in the competition, losing only 1 of their last 10 Nations League matches.
- Kazakhstan have struggled to score away from home, netting fewer than 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 away Nations League matches.
Form and Line-up Slovakia
Slovakia began the current campaign with a 2:0 home win over Moldova. They have controlled their home Nations League matches confidently: in 8 of 10 games, the hosts allowed their opponents no more than 13 shots and forced them to commit at least 12 fouls.
- Slovakia took more than 3.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 home Nations League matches.
- More than 7.5 corners were taken in 9 of Slovakia's last 10 Nations League matches.
- Slovakia's opponents received more than 1.5 yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 Nations League matches.
Probable Slovakia line-up (4-3-3): Dominik Greif, Ivan Schranz, Milan Škriniar, Adam Obert, David Hancko, Stanislav Lobotka, Ondrej Duda, Tomáš Suslov, Adrián Kaprálik, Lukas Haraslin, David Strelec.
Form and Line-up Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan head into the second round of matches after a 1:1 draw with the Faroe Islands. They regularly come under heavy pressure away from home in the Nations League: their opponents took more than 4.5 corners in all 10 of their last away matches and had more than 12 shots against them in 9 of those 10 games.
- The total number of corners exceeded 7.5 in 8 of Kazakhstan's last 10 away Nations League matches.
- Kazakhstan received at least as many yellow cards as their opponents in 9 of their last 10 away Nations League matches.
- Kazakhstan committed at least as many fouls as their opponents in all 10 of their last Nations League matches.
Probable Kazakhstan line-up (4-4-2): Stas Pokatilov, Aleksandr Mrynskiy, T. Erlanov, Nuraly Alip, Yan Vorogovskiy, Islambek Kuat, Dinmukhamed Karaman, Bauyrzhan Islamkhan, Zhasulan Amir, Artur Shushenachev, Galymzhan Kenzhebek.
Teams' chances
Slovakia are offered at 1.30 to win, with fair odds of 1.36 and a probability of 73.4%. For the draw, the respective figures are 5.20, 5.45 and 18.3%; for a Kazakhstan win, they are 11.50, 12.06 and 8.3%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovakia to win | 1.30 | 1.36 | 73.4% |
| Draw | 5.20 | 5.45 | 18.3% |
| Kazakhstan to win | 11.50 | 12.06 | 8.3% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is available at 1.80 and Over 2.5 at 2.00. At the 3.5-goal line, the advantage for the under is even clearer: Under 3.5 is at 1.30, compared with 3.25 for Over 3.5.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 3.5 | 1.30 | 3.25 |
Handicap prediction
Slovakia (-1.5) at 1.93 have slightly longer odds than Kazakhstan (+1.5) at 1.87. Slovakia (-1) are offered at 1.45, while Kazakhstan (+1) are available at 2.65. In the handicap (0) market, Slovakia are at 1.05 and Kazakhstan at 7.10.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.93 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.87 | |
| 1.45 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.65 | |
| 1.05 | 0 | 7.10 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – No at 1.45 looks considerably more likely than Both teams to score – Yes at 2.65: the market expects at least one team not to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.65 |
| No | 1.45 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/25
|
13/100
|
5/2
|
| 888sport |
1/20
|
17/100
|
12/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Slovakia — 2 goals; Kazakhstan — 0.5 goals.
Slovakia team goals
Slovakia team goals: Under 0.5 is at 7.10 and Over 0.5 at 1.05; Under 1.5 is at 2.30 and Over 1.5 at 1.57. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is offered at 1.80 and Over 2 at 1.95; at the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is at 1.50 compared with 2.55 for Over 2.5.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.10 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
| 2.30 | 1.5 | 1.57 |
| 1.80 | 2 | 1.95 |
| 1.50 | 2.5 | 2.55 |
Kazakhstan team goals
Kazakhstan team goals: Under 0.5 is at 1.50 and Over 0.5 at 2.50. Under 1 is offered at 1.11 compared with 5.20 for Over 1, while Under 1.5 is at 1.06 compared with 6.80 for Over 1.5.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | 0.5 | 2.50 |
| 1.11 | 1 | 5.20 |
| 1.06 | 1.5 | 6.80 |
