Odds overview
Switzerland are clear favourites: a Switzerland win is available at 1.67, compared with 3.75 for a draw and 5.40 for a Slovenia win. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.70 is favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 2.06. Slovenia (1) is quoted at 1.63, while Switzerland (1) is offered at 2.17.
Why Switzerland are favourites
The bookmakers favour Switzerland: an away win is offered at 1.67, a Slovenia win at 5.40 and a draw at 3.75.
- Switzerland have consistently avoided defeat: they are unbeaten in their last ten matches across all official competitions.
- Slovenia have rarely taken all three points: they have failed to win eight of their last ten matches across all official competitions.
Form and Line-up Slovenia
In their previous UEFA Nations League match on 6 October, Slovenia beat Scotland 2:1 away from home.
Slovenia go into the tournament's decisive matches with players missing: midfielder Timi Max Elsnik and defender Jure Balkovec are both absent from the current squad because of injuries.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in nine of Slovenia's last ten UEFA Nations League matches.
- Slovenia had fewer than 5.5 shots on target in each of their last ten matches across all official competitions.
Probable Slovenia line-up (5-4-1): Jan Oblak, Zan Karnicnik, David Brekalo, Jaka Bijol, Vanja Drkušić, Jošt Urbančič, Aljosa Matko, Mark Zabukovnik, Adam Gnezda Čerin, Daniel Sturm, Žan Vipotnik.
Erik Janža and David Zec are suspended after accumulating yellow cards, while Benjamin Sesko is listed as absent with a shin injury.
Form and Line-up Switzerland
Switzerland thrashed North Macedonia 3:0 at home in their most recent UEFA Nations League round on 6 October. Before that, they beat Scotland 3:0 away from home.
Switzerland head coach Murat Yakin has recalled Granit Xhaka and Breel Embolo — both missed the previous squad gathering. Xhaka will remain captain, as Yakin has confirmed.
- Switzerland's opponents scored fewer than 1.5 goals in each of their last ten matches across all official competitions.
- The two teams combined for more than 7.5 shots on target in nine of Switzerland's last ten UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable Switzerland line-up: Gregor Kobel, Zachary Athekame, Manuel Akanji, Nico Elvedi, Sascha Brichgi, Djibril Sow, Ruben Vargas, Remo Freuler, Dan Ndoye, Breel Embolo, Fabian Rieder
Switzerland are without Joël Monteiro because of a calf injury, while Winsley Boteli Mokango's fitness remains in doubt because of stomach problems.
The teams' chances
The average odds for a Slovenia win are 5.40, with fair odds of 5.67 and a probability of 17.6%. A draw has average odds of 3.75 and fair odds of 3.94, corresponding to 25.4%. A Switzerland win is offered at 1.67; the fair odds are 1.75 and the probability is 57.0%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenia win | 5.40 | 5.67 | 17.6% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.94 | 25.4% |
| Switzerland win | 1.67 | 1.75 | 57.0% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.70 and Over 2.5 goals at 2.06. For the 2-goal total, the odds are 2.30 for Under 2 goals and 1.56 for Over 2 goals. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals is offered at 1.25 and Over 3.5 goals at 3.50.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.70 | 2.06 |
| 2 | 2.30 | 1.56 |
| 3.5 | 1.25 | 3.50 |
Handicap prediction
Slovenia (1) is offered at 1.63, considerably shorter odds than Switzerland (1) at 2.17.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.63 | 1 | 2.17 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
23/20
|
29/100
|
7/50
|
| William Hill |
6/5
|
29/100
|
3/20
|
| LeoVegas |
27/25
|
7/25
|
4/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Slovenia — 0.5 goals; Switzerland — 1.5 goals.
Slovenia team total goals
For Slovenia, Under 0.5 goals is available at 2.08 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.69. On one row for the 1-goal total, Under 1 goal is offered at 1.40 and Over 1 goal at 2.77; on another, Under 1 goal is 3.47 and Over 1 goal is 1.27.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.08 | 0.5 | 1.69 |
| 1.40 | 1 | 2.77 |
| 3.47 | 1 | 1.27 |
Switzerland team total goals
For Switzerland, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 4.15 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.18. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is available at 1.85 and Over 1.5 goals at 1.89. For the 2-goal total, the odds are 1.44 for Under 2 goals and 2.63 for Over 2 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.15 | 0.5 | 1.18 |
| 1.85 | 1.5 | 1.89 |
| 1.44 | 2 | 2.63 |
