Odds overview
Bournemouth are clear favourites: an away win is available at 1.52, compared with 6.00 for a home win and 4.50 for a draw. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.60 is considerably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. For the handicap (0), Sparta Prague's odds of 4.10 are substantially longer than Bournemouth's 1.18 — the market points to a convincing away win.
Why Bournemouth are favourites
Bookmakers clearly favour Bournemouth: an away win is offered at 1.52, a draw at 4.50 and a Sparta Prague win at 6.00.
- Bournemouth have been creating chances consistently and defending reliably in the Europa League: across three matches in the competition, they have averaged 2.24 xG per game while allowing just 0.62 xG.
- Sparta Prague regularly allow opponents chances in Europe: across three Europa League matches, their opponents have averaged 1.60 xG per game.
Form and Line-up Sparta Prague
On 1 November, Sparta Prague drew 0:0 away to Bohemians 1905. Afterwards, head coach Brian Priske was disappointed with their finishing: he said his team had created several chances and been active in the opposition penalty area but had failed to score.
Earlier, on 28 October, Sparta Prague lost 0:2 at home to Baník Ostrava. It was their second consecutive match without a goal in domestic competitions.
- Sparta Prague have scored no more than three goals in 8 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Sparta Prague have conceded no more than two goals in each of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Jakub Surovcik, Martin Suchomel, Jaroslav Zeleny, Tobias Kvalvågnes Guddal, Ki-Jana Hoever, Santiago Eneme, Roman Macek, Hugo Sochurek, Josimar Alcocer, Matyas Vojta, Matej Jurasek
Form and Line-up Bournemouth
On 31 October, Bournemouth beat Leeds United 2:0 at home to extend their run of wins without conceding.
Three days earlier, on 28 October, Bournemouth had also won convincingly at home, beating Aston Villa 3:0.
- Bournemouth have conceded no more than two goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Under 3.5 goals has landed in 8 of Bournemouth's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Marcus Tavernier, António Silva, Ryan Christie, Tyler Adams, Evanilson, James Hill, Adrien Truffert, Adam Smith, Djordje Petrovic, Justin Kluivert, Rayan
Each team's chances
Sparta Prague to win is offered at 6.00, with fair odds of 6.28 and a probability of 15.9%. A draw is available at 4.50, with fair odds of 4.71 and a probability of 21.2%. Bournemouth to win is 1.52, with fair odds of 1.59 and a probability of 62.8%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Prague to win | 6.00 | 6.28 | 15.9% |
| Draw | 4.50 | 4.71 | 21.2% |
| Bournemouth to win | 1.52 | 1.59 | 62.8% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.60 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. At 3.5 goals, the picture is reversed: Under 3.5 goals is 1.55 and Over 3.5 goals is 2.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.60 |
| 3.5 | 1.55 | 2.35 |
Handicap betting
Bournemouth (-1.5) are offered at 2.30, while Sparta Prague (+1.5) are 1.58. Bournemouth (-1) are 1.80 and Sparta Prague (+1) are 2.00. On the handicap (0), Bournemouth at 1.18 are considerably shorter than Sparta Prague at 4.10.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.30 | |
| 1.58 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 1.80 | |
| 2.00 | 1 | |
| 4.10 | 0 | 1.18 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.70 and is considered more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.10; the latter means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.70 |
| No | 2.10 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
3/2
|
1/5
|
11/100
|
| William Hill |
3/2
|
1/5
|
7/50
|
| 888sport |
3/2
|
1/5
|
7/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team total goals lines: Sparta Prague — 1 goal; Bournemouth — 2 goals.
Sparta Prague team total goals
For Sparta Prague, Under 0.5 goals is 2.35 and Over 0.5 goals is 1.55. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is 1.60 and Over 1 goal is 2.30; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 goals is 1.28 and Over 1.5 goals is 3.35.
| Under | Team total goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.35 | 0.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.60 | 1 | 2.30 |
| 1.28 | 1.5 | 3.35 |
Bournemouth team total goals
For Bournemouth, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 7.30 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.05. Under 1.5 goals is 2.50 compared with 1.50 for Over 1.5 goals; at the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is 1.85 and Over 2 goals is 1.90. At 2.5 goals, Under 2.5 goals is 1.48 and Over 2.5 goals is 2.55.
| Under | Team total goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.30 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
| 2.50 | 1.5 | 1.50 |
| 1.85 | 2 | 1.90 |
| 1.48 | 2.5 | 2.55 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Erik Lambrechts (Belgium)
Matches — 11 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 20;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3;
Matches with a red card — 1 out of 11;
Matches with a penalty — 2 out of 11.
