Odds overview
Sparta Prague are clear favourites: a home win is offered at 1.34, a draw at 5.60 and an away win at 8.00. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.52 is considered much more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.39. Sparta Prague (-1.5) is offered at 1.94, while Lillestrøm (-1.5) is at 1.80.
Why Sparta Prague are favourites
Sparta Prague are available to win at 1.34, while a draw is offered at 5.60 and a Lillestrøm victory at 8.00.
- Sparta Prague won their opening match 4:1 against Ararat-Armenia, while Lillestrøm lost to Torrense (1:2).
- Sparta Prague are unbeaten in five matches, while Lillestrøm have won only once in their last four, beating Bærum (5:1) in the cup.
- Sparta Prague's squad is valued at €91 million, while Lillestrøm's is worth barely €15 million.
Form and Line-up Sparta Prague
The Czech club are performing convincingly in domestic competitions: on 11 October, Sparta Prague beat Pardubice 2:0 at home, scoring once in each half. They also played a friendly against Vysočina to maintain their sharpness, winning 5:3. Sparta Prague made a strong start in the UEFA Europa League too — a 4:1 win over Ararat-Armenia in which Tobias Kvalvågnes Guddal scored twice in two minutes to help his side take three points.
- Over 2.5 goals were scored in 8 of Sparta Prague's last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- Sparta Prague's opponents took fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- The total number of corners did not exceed 10.5 in 9 of Sparta Prague's last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Jakub Surovcik, Martin Suchomel, Loic Mbe Soh, Tobias Kvalvågnes Guddal, Jaroslav Zelený, Patrik Vydra, Roman Macek, Hugo Sochůrek, John Mercado, Jonatan Braut Brunes, Josimar Alcocer.
Absentees: Magnus Andersen, Elias Cobbaut, Adam Karabec, Ondřej Penxa, Matej Rynes, Emmanuel Uchenna (all injured).
Form and Line-up Lillestrøm
Lillestrøm have been inconsistent this autumn: on 11 October, they drew 2:2 with Molde in the Norwegian league, having thrashed Bærum 5:1 in the cup earlier in the month. Before that, they lost to Viking (0:3) in the domestic league and 1:2 to Torrense in the UEFA Europa League. A packed October schedule of six matches in 25 days will force the Norwegian club to manage their energy carefully.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 9 of Lillestrøm's last 10 away matches across all competitions.
- Lillestrøm had fewer than 5.5 shots on target in 8 of their last 10 away matches across all competitions.
- More than 9.5 corners were taken in 9 of Lillestrøm's last 10 away matches across all competitions.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Pontus Dahlberg, Lars Ranger, Ruben Gabrielsen, Sander Moen Foss, Frederik Elkær, Gustav Nyheim, Filip Ottosson, Eric Kitolano, Daniel Bassi, Fredrik Gulbrandsen, Felix Va.
Absentees: Espen Bjørnsen Garnås, Camil Jebara (both injured).
The teams' chances
Sparta Prague are available to win at 1.34; their fair odds are 1.41, with a probability of 71.1%. A draw is offered at 5.60, with fair odds of 5.88 and a probability of 17.0%. The corresponding figures for a Lillestrøm win are 8.00, 8.40 and 11.9%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Prague to win | 1.34 | 1.41 | 71.1% |
| Draw | 5.60 | 5.88 | 17.0% |
| Lillestrøm to win | 8.00 | 8.40 | 11.9% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is offered at 2.39 and Over 2.5 at 1.52. At the 2-goal line, the odds are 3.75 for Under 2 and 1.22 for Over 2; at 3.5 goals, they are 1.56 for Under 3.5 and 2.30 for Over 3.5.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.39 | 1.52 |
| 2 | 3.75 | 1.22 |
| 3.5 | 1.56 | 2.30 |
Handicap betting
Sparta Prague (-1.5) are offered at 1.94, while Lillestrøm (-1.5) are at 1.80. At the -1 handicap line, Sparta Prague (-1) have the shorter odds at 1.52, while Lillestrøm (-1) are offered at 2.39.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.94 | -1.5 | 1.80 |
| 1.52 | -1 | 2.39 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.83, while Both teams to score — No is at 1.91. The odds therefore leave room for either both sides to score or only one team to find the net.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.57 |
| No | 2.35 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
7/50
|
17/100
|
163/100
|
| William Hill |
1/10
|
17/100
|
19/10
|
| 888sport |
11/100
|
9/50
|
9/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Sparta Prague — 2 goals; Lillestrøm — 0.5 goals.
Sparta Prague team total goals
For Sparta Prague's team total, Under 0.5 is offered at 6.50 and Over 0.5 at 1.06; Under 1.5 is at 2.77 and Over 1.5 at 1.39. At the 2-goal line, the odds are 2.05 for Under 2 and 1.70 for Over 2; at the 2.5-goal line, they are 1.61 for Under 2.5 and 2.20 for Over 2.5.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.50 | 0.5 | 1.06 |
| 2.77 | 1.5 | 1.39 |
| 2.05 | 2 | 1.70 |
| 1.61 | 2.5 | 2.20 |
Lillestrøm team total goals
For Lillestrøm's team total, Under 0.5 is offered at 2.14 and Over 0.5 at 1.65. Under 1.5 is at 1.20, compared with 3.95 for Over 1.5; at the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is at 1.02 and Over 2.5 at 8.40.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.14 | 0.5 | 1.65 |
| 1.20 | 1.5 | 3.95 |
| 1.02 | 2.5 | 8.40 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Martin Matosa (Slovenia)
Matches — 8 (international fixtures, 2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 26;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.1;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 8;
Matches with a penalty — 1 of 8.
